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CHRD or DVN or MGY
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Chord Energy Corporation (CHRD) vs. Devon Energy Corporation (DVN) vs. Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (MGY) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- CHRD leads year-to-date (YTD) performance among the three at approximately 58%, driven by strong operational execution in the Williston Basin.
- DVN offers the largest market capitalization at $31.42 billion and the lowest trailing price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 12.12, appealing to value-oriented investors.
- MGY provides a balanced profile with solid profitability (ROE of 17.01%) and recent dividend declarations, focused on the Eagle Ford Shale.
- All three stocks have delivered robust one-year returns exceeding 46%, benefiting from elevated oil prices and sector momentum in recent market activity.
- Enterprise value to EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) ratios cluster around 5-6.5 times, indicating comparable valuation sensitivity to commodity prices.
- Recent merger discussions for DVN and upcoming Q1 2026 earnings across all could influence near-term sentiment.
Introduction
Chord Energy Corporation (CHRD), Devon Energy Corporation (DVN), and Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (MGY) are independent exploration and production companies focused on high-quality U.S. onshore assets. This comparison analyzes their recent performance amid volatile oil prices and sector tailwinds, highlighting differences in scale, valuation, and momentum. Traders seeking short-term opportunities and long-term investors evaluating energy exposure will find insights into relative strengths, such as growth drivers in key basins like the Permian and Williston, and sensitivities to commodity cycles.
CHRD Overview and Recent Performance
Chord Energy Corporation (CHRD) operates primarily in the Williston Basin (Bakken formation), emphasizing efficient drilling and low-cost production. In recent weeks, the stock has traded around $145, reflecting stability near its 52-week high of $148.42. Year-to-date gains of about 58% outpace peers, supported by strong Q4 2025 results where earnings per share beat estimates, robust free cash flow generation, and a 3.58% dividend yield. Sentiment has been bolstered by capital efficiency and a conservative balance sheet (debt-to-equity at 18.69%), though high trailing P/E of 196 signals earnings volatility tied to oil prices. Upcoming Q1 2026 earnings on May 5 may provide further catalysts.
DVN Overview and Recent Performance
Devon Energy Corporation (DVN), a larger producer with assets in the Delaware Basin, Eagle Ford, and Williston, trades near $50.56 with a market cap of $31.42 billion. Recent market activity shows resilience, with YTD returns of 38.75% and one-year gains of 66.46%, amid speculation of a merger with Coterra Energy enhancing scale. Attractive valuation (trailing P/E 12.12, EV/EBITDA 5.10) and improving earnings estimates have driven positive sentiment, despite a lower 1.90% dividend yield. Strong ROE of 17.74% underscores profitability, with Q1 earnings due May 5 potentially reinforcing momentum in a supportive oil environment.
MGY Overview and Recent Performance
Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (MGY) targets the Eagle Ford and Gulf Coast regions, prioritizing multi-zone resource plays for steady output. The stock hovers at $30.09, with YTD performance of 38.30% and a 46.46% one-year return, recently buoyed by a quarterly dividend of $0.165 per share. Trading below its 52-week high of $32.76, MGY exhibits moderate volatility (beta 0.83) and solid fundamentals, including ROA of 9.59% and low debt-to-equity of 20.99%. Expectations for Q1 earnings beats on May 6 have supported recent stability, influenced by operational discipline amid fluctuating energy prices.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
In business models, DVN’s diversified portfolio across major basins contrasts with CHRD’s Bakken focus and MGY’s Eagle Ford emphasis, affecting exposure to regional dynamics. Growth drivers include DVN’s potential M&A (mergers and acquisitions) scale versus peers’ organic efficiency. Recent momentum favors CHRD on YTD gains, while DVN edges one-year returns. Risk factors involve commodity sensitivity, with CHRD and MGY showing lower betas (0.53 and 0.83) than implied sector norms. Valuation-wise, DVN appears cheapest on forward P/E (9.55), trading at a premium for MGY’s higher EV/Revenue (4.39). Market sentiment tilts positive across the board, buoyed by oil price support despite volatility.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI models currently lean toward CHRD for its superior YTD momentum, high dividend yield, low beta indicating stability, and proximity to 52-week highs, positioning it well for continued trend consistency amid energy sector strength. However, DVN’s scale and valuation offer compelling alternatives if merger catalysts materialize. Outcomes remain probabilistic based on oil trends and earnings.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
CHRD’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileDVN’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s), and MGY’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).
- CHRD’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- DVN’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- MGY’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
CHRD’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while DVN’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s), and MGY’s TA Score reflects 2 bullish TA indicator(s).
- CHRD’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
- DVN’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
- MGY’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
CHRD (@Oil & Gas Production) experienced а -4.58% price change this week, while DVN (@Oil & Gas Production) price change was -3.00% , and MGY (@Oil & Gas Production) price fluctuated -3.44% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Oil & Gas Production industry was -4.36%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -6.71%, and the average quarterly price growth was +19.14%.
Reported Earning Dates
CHRD is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
DVN is expected to report earnings on Aug 04, 2026.
MGY is expected to report earnings on Aug 04, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Oil & Gas Production (-4.36% weekly)The oil and gas production segment includes companies that specialize in exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas. These companies are focused on upstream operations. Companies typically identify deposits, drill wells, and extract raw materials from underground. The industry also includes related services like rig operations, feasibility studies, machinery rentals etc. Several operators in this industry work with various types of contractors such as engineering procurement and construction contractors, as well as with joint-venture partners and oil field service companies. Oil and gas often involves large fixed costs of production; so, declining crude oil prices, for example, is a potential negative for this industry. Conoco Phillips, EOG Resources, Inc. and Pioneer Natural Resources Company are some examples of companies operating in this space.
| CHRD | DVN | MGY | |
| Capitalization | 7.53B | 51.5B | 5.04B |
| EBITDA | 1.64B | 7.06B | 875M |
| Gain YTD | 46.980 | 22.422 | 25.888 |
| P/E Ratio | 201.57 | 12.43 | 15.74 |
| Revenue | 5.33B | 16.5B | 1.32B |
| Total Cash | 226M | 1.82B | 124M |
| Total Debt | 1.62B | 8.59B | 413M |
CHRD | DVN | MGY | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 81 | 81 | 27 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 87 Overvalued | 68 Overvalued | 39 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 48 | 65 | 31 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 92 | 57 | 55 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 42 | 45 | 49 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 1 | 18 | 26 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 75 | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
MGY's Valuation (39) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as DVN (68) and is somewhat better than the same rating for CHRD (87). This means that MGY's stock grew similarly to DVN’s and somewhat faster than CHRD’s over the last 12 months.
MGY's Profit vs Risk Rating (31) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as CHRD (48) and is somewhat better than the same rating for DVN (65). This means that MGY's stock grew similarly to CHRD’s and somewhat faster than DVN’s over the last 12 months.
MGY's SMR Rating (55) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as DVN (57) and is somewhat better than the same rating for CHRD (92). This means that MGY's stock grew similarly to DVN’s and somewhat faster than CHRD’s over the last 12 months.
CHRD's Price Growth Rating (42) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as DVN (45) and is in the same range as MGY (49). This means that CHRD's stock grew similarly to DVN’s and similarly to MGY’s over the last 12 months.
CHRD's P/E Growth Rating (1) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as DVN (18) and is in the same range as MGY (26). This means that CHRD's stock grew similarly to DVN’s and similarly to MGY’s over the last 12 months.
| CHRD | DVN | MGY | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 69% | 1 day ago 78% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 69% | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 65% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 70% | 1 day ago 65% | 1 day ago 68% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 65% | 1 day ago 66% | 1 day ago 64% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 66% | 1 day ago 66% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 73% | 11 days ago 69% | 8 days ago 70% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 64% | 7 days ago 68% | 16 days ago 66% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 79% | 1 day ago 60% | N/A |
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| SPSM | 55.36 | 1.32 | +2.44% |
| State Street SPDR Port S&P 600 Sm CpETF | |||
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| Swan Hedged Equity US Large Cap ETF | |||
| PHEQ | 34.25 | 0.22 | +0.63% |
| Parametric Hedged Equity ETF | |||
| PBMY | 30.95 | 0.19 | +0.63% |
| PGIM S&P 500 Buffer 20 ETF - May | |||
| EAOK | 28.01 | N/A | N/A |
| iShares ESG Aware 30/70 Cnsrv Allc ETF | |||
CHRD and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CHRD has been closely correlated with NOG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 88% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if CHRD jumps, then NOG could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CHRD | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHRD | 100% | -3.32% | ||
| NOG - CHRD | 88% Closely correlated | -4.36% | ||
| OVV - CHRD | 86% Closely correlated | -2.43% | ||
| MGY - CHRD | 86% Closely correlated | -2.09% | ||
| MTDR - CHRD | 85% Closely correlated | -2.35% | ||
| DVN - CHRD | 85% Closely correlated | -4.27% | ||
More | ||||
MGY and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MGY has been closely correlated with CHRD. These tickers have moved in lockstep 86% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if MGY jumps, then CHRD could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MGY | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MGY | 100% | -2.09% | ||
| CHRD - MGY | 86% Closely correlated | -3.32% | ||
| OVV - MGY | 85% Closely correlated | -2.43% | ||
| MTDR - MGY | 84% Closely correlated | -2.35% | ||
| PR - MGY | 83% Closely correlated | -2.38% | ||
| DVN - MGY | 83% Closely correlated | -4.27% | ||
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