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DELL or HPE or SMCI
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Dell Technologies (DELL) vs. Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) vs. Super Micro Computer (SMCI) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- DELL shares surged over 20% in recent market activity following record AI server revenue of $9 billion in Q4 fiscal 2026, with a projected doubling to $50 billion in fiscal 2027.
- HPE demonstrates steady positioning in AI infrastructure with new networking and compute solutions, though YTD performance lags at around -10%, trading near $22 with analyst targets implying upside.
- SMCI focuses on high-performance AI servers but faces margin pressures, with shares down over 20% in the past year despite revenue growth exceeding 100% in recent quarters.
- DELL holds a forward P/E of about 13x, lower than peers, supported by diversified revenue and a 20% dividend hike, contrasting SMCI's higher volatility.
- All three benefit from AI data center demand, but DELL leads in backlog scale at $43 billion, while HPE and SMCI emphasize edge and modular innovations.
Introduction
Dell Technologies (DELL), Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE), and Super Micro Computer (SMCI) are key players in the AI server and data center infrastructure market, capitalizing on surging demand for high-performance computing. This stock comparison analyzes their recent performance, growth drivers, and relative positioning amid the AI boom. Traders seeking momentum in volatile tech sectors and investors focused on long-term data center expansion will find insights into business models, sentiment shifts, and valuation trade-offs relevant for portfolio decisions in today's market environment.
DELL Overview and Recent Performance
Dell Technologies (DELL) is a global leader in IT infrastructure, spanning servers, storage, PCs, and cloud solutions through its Infrastructure Solutions Group and Client Solutions Group. Recent market activity has propelled shares upward, with gains exceeding 20% following Q4 fiscal 2026 results showing $33.4 billion in revenue, up 39% year-over-year, driven by record $9 billion in AI-optimized server sales. A $43 billion AI backlog and forecast for $50 billion in fiscal 2027 AI revenue underscore robust demand from hyperscalers and enterprises. Sentiment has shifted positively with a 20% dividend increase and analyst upgrades, though rising memory costs pose near-term pressures. YTD returns stand at around 22%, reflecting strong AI catalysts amid broader PC market stabilization.
HPE Overview and Recent Performance
Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) specializes in enterprise IT, including servers, storage, networking, and edge-to-cloud platforms, bolstered by its Juniper Networks acquisition for AI networking. Shares have shown resilience around $22, with recent gains tied to AI infrastructure announcements ahead of MWC 2026, featuring low-latency compute for service providers. Performance reflects mixed YTD results at about -10%, influenced by AI server delays but offset by 29% server segment growth in prior quarters. Sentiment benefits from undervaluation signals and upcoming earnings expectations of 20% EPS growth, though competition in AI systems tempers momentum compared to pure-play peers.
SMCI Overview and Recent Performance
Super Micro Computer (SMCI) designs energy-efficient, modular servers tailored for AI, cloud, and high-performance computing, with liquid-cooling innovations for GPU-dense systems. Recent quarters posted over 100% revenue growth to $12.7 billion, fueled by NVIDIA partnerships, yet shares declined over 20% annually due to margin compression and supply chain issues. YTD performance hovers near 10%, with volatility from accounting concerns and competition. Positive catalysts include new high-density platforms, but investor sentiment remains cautious amid execution risks in scaling AI factories.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
DELL, HPE, and SMCI operate in AI-driven data centers but differ in scale and focus: DELL's diversified model balances servers with PCs/storage for stability, while SMCI excels in customizable, high-density AI racks and HPE in hybrid edge networking post-Juniper. Growth drivers favor DELL's massive backlog versus SMCI's rapid scaling risks. Recent momentum shines for DELL (22% YTD), lags for HPE (-10%) and SMCI (mixed). Risks include memory costs for all, but SMCI faces higher volatility. Valuations show DELL at 13x forward P/E most attractive, HPE undervalued at 9x, and SMCI at 14x reflecting growth trade-offs. Sentiment tilts toward established players amid sector expansion.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors DELL due to consistent trend strength from AI backlog visibility, earnings beats, and relative stability versus peers' volatility. Probabilistic edge stems from catalysts like doubled AI revenue outlook and capital returns, positioning it ahead in momentum and risk-adjusted positioning, though monitoring memory costs remains key.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
DELL’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileHPE’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s), and SMCI’s FA Score reflects 1 green FA rating(s).
- DELL’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- HPE’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- SMCI’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
DELL’s TA Score shows that 2 TA indicator(s) are bullish while HPE’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s), and SMCI’s TA Score reflects 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- DELL’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 6 bearish.
- HPE’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 4 bearish.
- SMCI’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
DELL (@Computer Processing Hardware) experienced а +2.07% price change this week, while HPE (@Telecommunications Equipment) price change was -1.70% , and SMCI (@Computer Processing Hardware) price fluctuated -29.87% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Computer Processing Hardware industry was +3.75%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +22.43%, and the average quarterly price growth was +42.11%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Telecommunications Equipment industry was +1.79%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +6.60%, and the average quarterly price growth was +73.87%.
Reported Earning Dates
DELL is expected to report earnings on Sep 03, 2026.
HPE is expected to report earnings on Sep 01, 2026.
SMCI is expected to report earnings on Aug 11, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Computer Processing Hardware (+3.75% weekly)Computer Processing Hardware industry produces central processing unit, monitor, keyboard, computer data storage devices, and graphics card. Business activity and economic growth are potential drivers of this industry – if more businesses are growing or flourishing, so would their investments in computer equipment. Dell Technologies, Inc, Hewlett Packard Enterprise Co., NCR Corporation are key producers of computer processing hardware.
@Telecommunications Equipment (+1.79% weekly)The Telecommunications Equipment industry produces voice and data communications equipment, which includes fiber optic delivery products, digital signal processors, high-speed voice, data and video delivery. Additionally, satellite systems, global positioning systems, wireless data systems, personal communications equipment, telephone handsets and payload equipment for satellites also fall into this category. Apple Inc., QUALCOMM Incorporated and Nokia are major global players in this segment.
| DELL | HPE | SMCI | |
| Capitalization | 265B | 64.9B | 18.6B |
| EBITDA | 11.9B | 5.56B | 1.76B |
| Gain YTD | 227.400 | 105.391 | 5.398 |
| P/E Ratio | 32.60 | 45.81 | 16.24 |
| Revenue | 114B | 38.8B | 33.7B |
| Total Cash | 11.5B | 5.29B | 1.29B |
| Total Debt | 31.5B | 21.2B | 8.81B |
DELL | HPE | SMCI | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 92 | 92 | 86 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 41 Fair valued | 39 Fair valued | 29 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 9 | 10 | 81 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 17 | 84 | 49 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 34 | 2 | 71 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 13 | 6 | 82 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 25 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
SMCI's Valuation (29) in the Computer Communications industry is in the same range as HPE (39) in the Computer Processing Hardware industry, and is in the same range as DELL (41) in the Computer Processing Hardware industry. This means that SMCI's stock grew similarly to HPE’s and similarly to DELL’s over the last 12 months.
DELL's Profit vs Risk Rating (9) in the Computer Processing Hardware industry is in the same range as HPE (10) in the Computer Processing Hardware industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for SMCI (81) in the Computer Communications industry. This means that DELL's stock grew similarly to HPE’s and significantly faster than SMCI’s over the last 12 months.
DELL's SMR Rating (17) in the Computer Processing Hardware industry is in the same range as SMCI (49) in the Computer Communications industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for HPE (84) in the Computer Processing Hardware industry. This means that DELL's stock grew similarly to SMCI’s and significantly faster than HPE’s over the last 12 months.
HPE's Price Growth Rating (2) in the Computer Processing Hardware industry is in the same range as DELL (34) in the Computer Processing Hardware industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for SMCI (71) in the Computer Communications industry. This means that HPE's stock grew similarly to DELL’s and significantly faster than SMCI’s over the last 12 months.
HPE's P/E Growth Rating (6) in the Computer Processing Hardware industry is in the same range as DELL (13) in the Computer Processing Hardware industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for SMCI (82) in the Computer Communications industry. This means that HPE's stock grew similarly to DELL’s and significantly faster than SMCI’s over the last 12 months.
| DELL | HPE | SMCI | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 82% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 88% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | N/A | 2 days ago 81% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 76% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 78% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 75% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 73% | 15 days ago 84% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 62% | 7 days ago 62% | 7 days ago 81% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 90% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 87% |
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HPE and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, HPE has been loosely correlated with CSCO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 49% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if HPE jumps, then CSCO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To HPE | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HPE | 100% | +1.76% | ||
| CSCO - HPE | 49% Loosely correlated | -0.77% | ||
| ITRN - HPE | 42% Loosely correlated | -0.08% | ||
| NTGR - HPE | 42% Loosely correlated | +0.12% | ||
| CRNT - HPE | 41% Loosely correlated | +0.33% | ||
| EXTR - HPE | 41% Loosely correlated | +1.80% | ||
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