These three exchange-traded funds (ETFs) represent specialized vehicles for accessing the long end of the U.S. Treasury yield curve. Each tracks a distinct index focused on extended-maturity government debt, making them relevant for investors seeking duration exposure in a single product. While they compete within the long-duration Treasury category, differences in index rules, security type (coupon bonds versus STRIPS), and expense ratios create tiered risk and cost profiles that warrant direct comparison in the current macroeconomic environment.
EDV seeks to track the Bloomberg U.S. Treasury STRIPS 20–30 Year Equal Par Bond Index. The fund holds approximately 80 bonds and uses index sampling for passive replication. Its expense ratio stands at 0.05%. Top holdings consist of long-maturity Treasury STRIPS, with sector allocation concentrated entirely in U.S. government securities. Distinguishing features include the lowest cost among peers and a focus on equal-par weighting of stripped principal and interest components, providing precise extended-duration exposure without active management.
TLT tracks the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index. The fund typically holds 47 to 48 coupon-paying U.S. Treasury bonds with remaining maturities greater than 20 years. Its expense ratio is 0.15%. Sector allocation remains 100% U.S. Treasuries. Key characteristics include monthly distributions from coupon income and a market-capitalization-weighted approach that balances liquidity and duration within the long Treasury segment.
ZROZ seeks to track the ICE BofA Long U.S. Treasury Principal STRIPS Index. The fund holds roughly 22 zero-coupon STRIPS with maturities of 25 years or longer. Its expense ratio is 0.15%. Allocation is limited to U.S. Treasury principal strips. Distinguishing elements include the exclusive use of zero-coupon securities, which eliminates periodic coupon payments and amplifies price sensitivity to interest-rate changes compared with coupon-bearing alternatives.
The long-duration U.S. Treasury segment is shaped by Federal Reserve monetary policy, inflation expectations, and fiscal dynamics. Capital flows into these ETFs often reflect investor positioning for rate-cut cycles or hedging against equity volatility. Regulatory developments around Treasury issuance and macroeconomic drivers such as employment data and geopolitical events influence yield movements across the curve. Earnings trends are irrelevant for these government-only funds, but sector risks center on duration extension amid shifting rate environments and potential changes in Treasury supply.
In recent market cycles, the three ETFs have exhibited correlated movements driven by interest-rate fluctuations, yet structural differences produce varying volatility and drawdown profiles. EDV’s broader holdings and lower cost may support more stable tracking over extended periods. TLT’s inclusion of coupon bonds provides modest income buffering relative to pure STRIPS products. ZROZ’s concentrated zero-coupon exposure typically amplifies both gains and losses during rate shifts, resulting in higher sensitivity to macroeconomic factors such as inflation surprises or policy pivots. Relative positioning favors lower-cost, diversified structures for core allocations and higher-duration vehicles for tactical duration bets.
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Based on observable structural strength, diversification profile, cost efficiency, and risk-adjusted positioning, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign the highest probability of preference to EDV. Its lowest expense ratio and broader holdings within the long-duration Treasury STRIPS segment support more consistent tracking and lower structural drag over time compared with the higher-cost, more concentrated alternatives.
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The RSI Oscillator for EDV moved out of oversold territory on October 08, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 37 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 36 of the 37 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 90%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 13, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on EDV as a result. In 72 of 91 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for EDV just turned positive on October 13, 2026. Looking at past instances where EDV's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 38 of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.
EDV moved above its 50-day moving average on October 21, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +1.63% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where EDV advanced for three days, in 209 of 283 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 6 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where EDV declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 85%.
EDV broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 15, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for EDV entered a downward trend on October 14, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The RSI Indicator for TLT moved out of oversold territory on October 08, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 37 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 33 of the 37 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 89%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 13, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on TLT as a result. In 71 of 95 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TLT just turned positive on October 12, 2026. Looking at past instances where TLT's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 32 of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
Following a +0.98% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TLT advanced for three days, in 194 of 281 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 7 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TLT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 78%.
TLT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 15, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for TLT entered a downward trend on October 14, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The RSI Oscillator for ZROZ moved out of oversold territory on October 08, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 35 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 31 of the 35 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 89%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 13, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on ZROZ as a result. In 73 of 91 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ZROZ just turned positive on October 13, 2026. Looking at past instances where ZROZ's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 41 of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 87%.
ZROZ moved above its 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +2.02% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ZROZ advanced for three days, in 197 of 268 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 6 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ZROZ declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 87%.
ZROZ broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 15, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for ZROZ entered a downward trend on October 12, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
| EDV | TLT | ZROZ | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 89% | 2 days ago 89% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 88% | 2 days ago 90% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 80% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 87% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 78% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 89% | 2 days ago 82% | 2 days ago 89% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 74% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 85% | 18 days ago 78% | 4 days ago 87% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 90% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 86% | 2 days ago 90% |
| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| IFED | 45.75 | 0.38 | +0.83% |
| ETRACS IFED Invest with the Fed TR Index ETN due September 15, 2061 (IFED) | |||
| TOGA | 30.39 | 0.25 | +0.83% |
| Tremblant Global ETF (TOGA) | |||
| DFIS | 36.04 | 0.16 | +0.45% |
| Dimensional International Small Cap ETF (DFIS) | |||
| FDHY | 47.73 | 0.11 | +0.23% |
| Fidelity Enhanced High Yield ETF (FDHY) | |||
| TAOZ | 90.41 | 0.12 | +0.13% |
| Thornburg American Opportunities Fund (TAOZ) | |||