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FTWO or MXI or XME
Which ETF would AI Choose? Strive Natural Resources and Security ETF (FTWO) vs. iShares Global Materials ETF (MXI) vs. SPDR S&P Metals & Mining ETF (XME)
Key Takeaways
- FTWO targets a concentrated thematic basket of natural resources and national security sectors with a 0.49% expense ratio and roughly 35–51 holdings.
- MXI provides broad, market-cap-weighted exposure to global materials companies at a 0.37% expense ratio across approximately 91 holdings.
- XME delivers equal-weighted access to U.S. metals and mining firms at the lowest cost of 0.35% with about 39 holdings.
- Structural differences include FTWO’s thematic tilt versus MXI’s global materials breadth and XME’s modified equal-weight U.S. focus.
- Cost efficiency favors XME and MXI, while diversification depth is strongest in MXI’s larger holdings count.
- Positioning varies by investor preference for thematic security exposure, global materials breadth, or pure-play U.S. mining volatility.
Introduction
These three exchange-traded funds (ETFs) offer distinct approaches to materials and resources exposure. FTWO emphasizes companies tied to natural resources and national security. MXI tracks global materials equities. XME focuses on U.S. metals and mining. They do not track identical indexes and instead represent tiered strategic approaches to overlapping yet differentiated themes, allowing investors to compare thematic concentration, geographic scope, and weighting methodologies within the broader natural resources sector.
Strive Natural Resources and Security ETF (FTWO) Overview
FTWO seeks to track the Bloomberg Natural Resources & Security Index. The fund holds 35–51 securities focused on fuel, aerospace and defense, agriculture, nuclear, and gold and precious metals. Top holdings typically include companies such as Constellation Energy, Deere, and Exxon Mobil. Sector allocations center on industrials, energy, basic materials, and utilities. The expense ratio stands at 0.49%. The ETF employs a passive, market-cap-tilted methodology with quarterly rebalancing and operates as a non-diversified fund launched in 2023.
iShares Global Materials ETF (MXI) Overview
MXI tracks the S&P Global 1200 Materials (Sector) Capped Index. The fund holds approximately 91 global equities in the materials sector, including metals, chemicals, and forestry products. Top holdings commonly feature Linde, Newmont, and Freeport-McMoRan. Allocations concentrate in basic materials with smaller weights in other sectors. The expense ratio is 0.37%. MXI uses passive market-cap weighting, semi-annual distributions, and launched in 2006.
SPDR S&P Metals & Mining ETF (XME) Overview
XME seeks to track the S&P Metals & Mining Select Industry Index. The fund holds about 39 U.S. stocks across aluminum, coal, copper, diversified metals, gold, precious metals, silver, and steel sub-industries. Holdings are modified equal-weighted to limit concentration. The expense ratio is 0.35%. XME applies a passive, equal-weight methodology with quarterly rebalancing and launched in 2006.
Industry and Thematic Landscape
The materials and natural resources sector faces ongoing capital flows driven by energy transition demands, infrastructure spending, and supply-chain security priorities. Regulatory shifts around mining permits and environmental standards, combined with macroeconomic factors such as commodity price cycles and geopolitical tensions, influence earnings trends for major holdings. Sector risks include volatility from resource price swings and sensitivity to global trade policies, creating an environment where thematic, global, and U.S.-focused exposures respond differently to the same external drivers.
Performance and Positioning Comparison
In recent months, performance differences have reflected structural distinctions. FTWO’s thematic concentration has shown sensitivity to defense and energy sub-sector momentum. MXI’s global materials exposure has provided broader participation across regions and sub-industries. XME’s equal-weighted U.S. metals and mining focus has exhibited higher relative volatility tied to domestic commodity trends. Concentration risk remains higher in FTWO, while MXI offers greater diversification depth and XME balances exposure across market-cap tiers within its niche.
AI Screener
Tickeron’s AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps identify trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI would currently favor MXI on a probabilistic basis. Its combination of moderate expense ratio, broad global holdings count, and diversified materials exposure supports stronger risk-adjusted positioning relative to the more concentrated thematic profile of FTWO and the narrower U.S. metals-and-mining focus of XME.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
FTWO's Indicator enters downward trend
The Aroon Indicator for FTWO entered a downward trend on October 12, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 65 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In 49 of the 65 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at 75%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 22, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on FTWO as a result. In 36 of 48 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 75%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for FTWO turned negative on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 32 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 24 of the 32 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 75%.
FTWO moved below its 50-day moving average on September 24, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for FTWO crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 28, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 8 of 11 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 73%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FTWO declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 75%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where FTWO's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 7 of 12 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 58%.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
Following a +1.04% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FTWO advanced for three days, in 200 of 221 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
FTWO may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Momentum Indicator for MXI turns negative, indicating new downward trend
MXI saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on October 22, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 80 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In 73 of the 80 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for MXI turned negative on October 23, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 43 of the 47 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 90%.
MXI moved below its 50-day moving average on September 23, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for MXI crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 23, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 16 of 19 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 84%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MXI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 82%.
The Aroon Indicator for MXI entered a downward trend on October 12, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where MXI's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 24 of 27 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 89%.
The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.
Following a +1.06% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MXI advanced for three days, in 283 of 333 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.
MXI may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
XME sees MACD Histogram crosses below signal line
XME saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on October 13, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 42 of the 46 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
XME moved below its 50-day moving average on September 23, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for XME crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 23, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 13 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 87%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where XME declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 88%.
The Aroon Indicator for XME entered a downward trend on October 23, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
Following a +2.36% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where XME advanced for three days, in 337 of 363 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
XME may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
| FTWO | MXI | XME | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 58% | 2 days ago 89% | 2 days ago 89% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 81% | 2 days ago 90% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 90% | N/A |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 90% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 82% | 2 days ago 87% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 85% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 90% | 9 days ago 85% | 19 days ago 90% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 82% | 2 days ago 88% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 88% | 2 days ago 89% | 2 days ago 83% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 79% |
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| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| KBA | 28.81 | 0.31 | +1.09% |
| KraneShares Bosera MSCI China A 50 Connect Index ETF (KBA) | |||
| FOPC | 24.64 | -0.01 | -0.03% |
| Frontier Asset Opportunistic Credit ETF | |||
| VIOV | 112.93 | -0.21 | -0.19% |
| Vanguard S&P Small-Cap 600 Value ETF (VIOV) | |||
| FXZ | 74.33 | -0.28 | -0.38% |
| First Trust Materials AlphaDEX Fund (FXZ) | |||
| UDI | 36.86 | -0.17 | -0.46% |
| USCF Dividend Income Fund (UDI) | |||
FTWO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, FTWO has been closely correlated with WPM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 75% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if FTWO jumps, then WPM could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To FTWO | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FTWO | 100% | -0.05% | ||
| WPM - FTWO | 75% Closely correlated | -2.14% | ||
| NEM - FTWO | 75% Closely correlated | -4.59% | ||
| AEM - FTWO | 75% Closely correlated | -1.25% | ||
| FNV - FTWO | 73% Closely correlated | -1.38% | ||
| BWXT - FTWO | 63% Loosely correlated | -0.09% | ||
More | ||||
MXI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MXI has been closely correlated with BHP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 85% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if MXI jumps, then BHP could also see price increases.
XME and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, XME has been closely correlated with CDE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 77% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if XME jumps, then CDE could also see price increases.