GDX
Price
$80.21
Change
-$1.48 (-1.81%)
Updated
Oct 23, 04:59 PM (EDT)
Net Assets
26.43B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
GDXJ
Price
$99.36
Change
-$1.84 (-1.82%)
Updated
Oct 23, 04:59 PM (EDT)
Net Assets
8.02B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
SIL
Price
$74.08
Change
-$1.91 (-2.51%)
Updated
Oct 23, 04:59 PM (EDT)
Net Assets
4.13B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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GDX or GDXJ or SIL

GDX vs GDXJ vs SIL Comparison Chart in %
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A.I.Advisor
Oct 21, 2026

Which ETF would AI Choose? VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX) vs. VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ) vs. Global X Silver Miners ETF (SIL)

Key Takeaways

  • VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX) offers the broadest exposure to large-cap gold miners with the lowest expense ratio among the three at 0.51%.
  • VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ) provides higher-risk, higher-reward access to smaller-capitalization gold and silver miners through a more diversified portfolio of approximately 160 holdings.
  • Global X Silver Miners ETF (SIL) delivers concentrated exposure to silver-focused companies, resulting in greater sensitivity to silver price movements but higher costs at 0.65%.
  • GDX and GDXJ share the same issuer and similar passive indexing approach, while SIL targets a distinct precious metal theme with fewer holdings and elevated concentration risk.
  • Structural differences in market-capitalization focus and commodity tilt (gold versus silver) drive varying volatility profiles and correlation to broader precious metals cycles.
  • Expense ratios and holding counts position GDX as the most cost-efficient option for diversified large-cap precious metals mining exposure.

Introduction

These three exchange-traded funds (ETFs) provide targeted exposure to the precious metals mining sector, allowing investors to compare tiered risk and thematic approaches within the same industry. VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX) and VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ) both track gold mining indexes but differ in company size focus, while Global X Silver Miners ETF (SIL) shifts emphasis to silver producers. The comparison highlights variations in index construction, diversification, costs, and macro sensitivity that matter for portfolio allocation in the current environment of fluctuating commodity prices and mining sector dynamics.

VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX) Overview

VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX) seeks to replicate the MarketVector Global Gold Miners Index, which tracks companies primarily involved in gold mining. The fund holds approximately 65 securities and maintains a passive, rules-based structure with annual or semi-annual rebalancing aligned to the index methodology. Top holdings typically include Newmont Corp, Agnico Eagle Mines Ltd, Barrick Mining Corp, Wheaton Precious Metals Corp, and Franco-Nevada Corp. The portfolio concentrates in the materials sector with a focus on large- and mid-capitalization producers. Its net expense ratio stands at 0.51%. Distinguishing features include high liquidity, options availability, and leveraged beta characteristics to gold price movements through established mining operations.

VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ) Overview

VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ) tracks the MVIS Global Junior Gold Miners Index, targeting small- and mid-capitalization companies engaged in gold and silver mining. The ETF holds roughly 160 securities in a passive, index-replicating framework with periodic rebalancing. Leading positions often feature Coeur Mining Inc, Alamos Gold Inc, Equinox Gold Corp, Endeavour Mining Plc, and IAMGOLD Corp. Allocation remains centered in the materials sector but skews toward smaller firms compared with larger-cap peers. The net expense ratio is 0.52%. Key characteristics encompass greater growth potential alongside elevated volatility, broader geographic and company-size diversification within the junior mining space, and options trading availability.

Global X Silver Miners ETF (SIL) Overview

Global X Silver Miners ETF (SIL) aims to replicate the Solactive Global Silver Miners Total Return Index, focusing on companies active in silver mining. The fund maintains a compact portfolio of approximately 40 holdings under a passive management approach with semi-annual reconstitution and rebalancing. Prominent positions frequently include Wheaton Precious Metals Corp, Pan American Silver Corp, Coeur Mining Inc, Hecla Mining Co, and Industrias Penoles SAB de CV. Exposure centers on the materials sector with a pronounced silver thematic tilt. Its total expense ratio is 0.65%. Notable attributes involve higher concentration, direct sensitivity to silver market dynamics, and options availability for tactical positioning.

Industry and Thematic Landscape

The precious metals mining sector operates within a broader commodities environment influenced by gold and silver price trends, central bank policies, inflation expectations, and geopolitical developments. Capital flows into mining equities often accelerate during periods of monetary easing or heightened uncertainty. Regulatory factors such as permitting timelines, environmental standards, and resource nationalism in key producing regions (including Canada, Australia, Mexico, and South Africa) affect operational costs and expansion plans. Earnings trends among major holdings reflect metal price realizations, production volumes, and cost management. Sector risks encompass commodity price volatility, currency fluctuations, labor disruptions, and evolving sustainability requirements that shape long-term capital allocation across gold and silver producers.

Performance and Positioning Comparison

In recent market cycles, VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX) has demonstrated more stable trend consistency due to its large-cap orientation and lower expense ratio, resulting in moderated drawdowns relative to smaller-cap counterparts. VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ) exhibits higher volatility and amplified sensitivity to metal price rallies, driven by its smaller-company focus and greater number of holdings that capture emerging producers. Global X Silver Miners ETF (SIL) displays distinct performance dynamics tied to silver-specific supply-demand factors, often showing sharper movements during industrial demand shifts or monetary policy changes. Concentration differences explain much of the relative positioning: broader diversification in GDX and GDXJ tempers idiosyncratic risks compared with SIL’s concentrated silver exposure.

AI Screener

Tickeron’s AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps identify trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening. Investors seeking data-driven insights into sector exposures like precious metals mining may explore the platform for tailored screening capabilities.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Based on observable structural characteristics, Tickeron’s AI would likely assign the highest probability of favorable risk-adjusted positioning to VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX). Its combination of the lowest expense ratio, established large-cap holdings, and solid diversification depth supports more consistent exposure across market cycles compared with the higher-cost, more concentrated Global X Silver Miners ETF (SIL) or the elevated-volatility profile of VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ). Momentum stability and cost efficiency further reinforce this probabilistic preference within the current thematic landscape.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

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SUMMARIES
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for GDX with price predictions
Oct 22, 2026

GDX sees MACD Histogram just turned negative

GDX saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on October 22, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 49 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 45 of the 49 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 51 of 62 cases where GDX's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 82%.

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 22, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on GDX as a result. In 70 of 78 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

GDX moved below its 50-day moving average on September 28, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for GDX crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 02, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 11 of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GDX declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 88%.

The Aroon Indicator for GDX entered a downward trend on October 22, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The 50-day moving average for GDX moved above the 200-day moving average on October 01, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

Following a +5.17% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GDX advanced for three days, in 292 of 319 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

GDX may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for GDXJ with price predictions
Oct 23, 2026

GDXJ in downward trend: 10-day moving average crossed below 50-day moving average on October 02, 2026

The 10-day moving average for GDXJ crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 02, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 13 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 23, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on GDXJ as a result. In 68 of 78 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 87%.

GDXJ moved below its 50-day moving average on September 28, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GDXJ declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 86%.

The Aroon Indicator for GDXJ entered a downward trend on October 23, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator entered the oversold zone -- be on the watch for GDXJ's price rising or consolidating in the future. That's also the time to consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

The 50-day moving average for GDXJ moved above the 200-day moving average on October 08, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

Following a +4.93% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GDXJ advanced for three days, in 268 of 296 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

GDXJ may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for SIL with price predictions
Oct 22, 2026

SIL's Indicator enters downward trend

The Aroon Indicator for SIL entered a downward trend on October 22, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 150 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In 132 of the 150 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at 88%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

SIL moved below its 50-day moving average on September 28, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for SIL crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 02, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 12 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 86%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SIL declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 86%.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator entered the oversold zone -- be on the watch for SIL's price rising or consolidating in the future. That's also the time to consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.

The 50-day moving average for SIL moved above the 200-day moving average on October 07, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

Following a +3.73% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SIL advanced for three days, in 296 of 321 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

SIL may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
GDXGDXJSIL
RSI
ODDS (%)
N/A
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
89%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
82%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
87%
N/A
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
90%
N/A
N/A
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
86%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
87%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
87%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
86%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
85%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
88%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 8 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 8 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 8 days ago
90%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 4 days ago
88%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
86%
Bearish Trend 4 days ago
86%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
89%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
85%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
88%
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GDX
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
GDXJ
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
SIL
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
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SIL and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SIL has been closely correlated with PAAS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 95% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if SIL jumps, then PAAS could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To SIL
1D Price
Change %
SIL100%
-6.65%
PAAS - SIL
95%
Closely correlated
-5.91%
WPM - SIL
95%
Closely correlated
-6.54%
CDE - SIL
91%
Closely correlated
-8.26%
OR - SIL
90%
Closely correlated
-4.25%
VZLA - SIL
82%
Closely correlated
-5.06%
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