GDXY
Price
$9.21
Change
-$0.59 (-6.02%)
Updated
Oct 22, 04:59 PM (EDT)
Net Assets
305.86M
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
GLD
Price
$369.02
Change
-$9.93 (-2.62%)
Updated
Oct 22, 04:59 PM (EDT)
Net Assets
141.35B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
SGOL
Price
$38.33
Change
-$1.01 (-2.57%)
Updated
Oct 22, 04:59 PM (EDT)
Net Assets
7.12B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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GDXY or GLD or SGOL

GDXY vs GLD vs SGOL Comparison Chart in %
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A.I.Advisor
Oct 21, 2026

Which ETF would AI Choose? YieldMax Gold Miners Option Income Strategy ETF (GDXY) vs. SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) vs. abrdn Physical Gold Shares ETF (SGOL)

Key Takeaways

  • YieldMax Gold Miners Option Income Strategy ETF (GDXY) employs an active synthetic covered call strategy on the VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX), prioritizing monthly income with capped upside potential and an expense ratio of approximately 1.00%.
  • SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) and abrdn Physical Gold Shares ETF (SGOL) both provide direct physical gold exposure through grantor trusts, tracking the LBMA Gold Price PM with no equity holdings or options overlays.
  • Cost structures differ markedly: SGOL features the lowest expense ratio at 0.17%, followed by GLD at 0.40%, while GDXY carries the highest at around 1.00% due to its options-based approach.
  • GDXY offers thematic tilt toward gold miners via derivatives but introduces concentration in options positions and U.S. Treasuries, contrasting the pure commodity focus of the physical gold ETFs.
  • Liquidity and structural simplicity favor the physical gold ETFs for long-term holdings, whereas GDXY suits income-oriented investors willing to accept volatility from its covered call mechanics.
  • In recent market cycles, physical gold ETFs have delivered closer tracking to spot gold prices with lower costs, while GDXY’s strategy has emphasized yield generation amid fluctuating miner valuations.

Introduction

These three exchange-traded funds (ETFs) warrant comparison because they address gold exposure through distinct mechanisms in a market environment shaped by macroeconomic uncertainty, inflation hedging demands, and interest rate dynamics. YieldMax Gold Miners Option Income Strategy ETF (GDXY) adopts an active, options-driven approach tied indirectly to gold miners, while SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) and abrdn Physical Gold Shares ETF (SGOL) compete as physically backed vehicles tracking spot gold prices. The differences in structure, cost, and risk profile position them as alternatives rather than direct substitutes, allowing investors to select based on priorities such as income generation versus cost-efficient commodity tracking.

YieldMax Gold Miners Option Income Strategy ETF (GDXY) Overview

YieldMax Gold Miners Option Income Strategy ETF (GDXY) is an actively managed ETF launched in May 2024 that seeks current income while providing indirect exposure to the price returns of the VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX), subject to limits on potential gains. It implements a synthetic covered call strategy using standardized exchange-traded and FLEX options, combined with U.S. Treasuries as collateral. The fund typically holds 19 to 28 positions, dominated by short-term Treasury bills and notes alongside options overlays. Its expense ratio stands at approximately 1.00%. Distinguishing features include weekly or monthly distributions from option premiums and a non-diversified structure focused on generating yield rather than full participation in underlying miner performance.

SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) Overview

SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) is a physically backed grantor trust launched in November 2004 that aims to reflect the performance of the price of gold bullion, less expenses. It holds allocated physical gold stored in secure vaults and tracks the LBMA Gold Price PM index. The fund maintains a straightforward structure with no equity holdings or derivatives, resulting in effectively one primary asset: physical gold. Its expense ratio is 0.40%. Key characteristics include high liquidity, tight tracking to spot gold, and status as one of the largest and most established gold ETFs, with shares trading on NYSE Arca.

abrdn Physical Gold Shares ETF (SGOL) Overview

abrdn Physical Gold Shares ETF (SGOL) is a physically backed grantor trust launched in September 2009 that seeks to reflect the performance of the price of gold bullion, less the trust’s expenses. It holds allocated physical gold bullion bars meeting London Good Delivery standards, custodied primarily in London and Zurich. The fund tracks the LBMA Gold Price PM and contains no stock or options positions. Its expense ratio is 0.17%, making it one of the lower-cost options in the physical gold category. Distinguishing aspects include responsible sourcing criteria for post-2012 refined gold and a focus on transparent, efficient physical exposure.

Industry and Thematic Landscape

The gold sector operates within a broader commodities and precious metals environment influenced by geopolitical tensions, central bank purchasing activity, inflation expectations, and U.S. dollar strength. Capital flows into physical gold vehicles have remained steady in recent months as investors seek portfolio diversification amid equity market volatility. Regulatory frameworks for grantor trusts emphasize secure custody and transparency, while options-based strategies face additional considerations around derivatives usage. Macroeconomic drivers such as real interest rates and supply constraints on mined gold continue to shape sector risks, including price sensitivity to economic data releases and monetary policy shifts. These factors affect all three ETFs but manifest differently based on each fund’s exposure mechanism.

Performance and Positioning Comparison

In recent weeks and months, SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) and abrdn Physical Gold Shares ETF (SGOL) have exhibited close alignment with spot gold price movements, benefiting from low expense ratios that support tighter tracking and reduced drag over broader market cycles. YieldMax Gold Miners Option Income Strategy ETF (GDXY) has shown distinct behavior due to its options overlay, delivering elevated distribution yields but with potential limitations on upside capture during strong gold rallies and added volatility from the covered call positions. Relative positioning highlights GDXY’s higher sensitivity to gold miner equity dynamics and option premium environments, contrasted with the more stable, direct commodity exposure of the physical trusts. Concentration risk remains minimal for the physical ETFs, while GDXY’s structure introduces dependency on options counterparties and Treasury collateral performance.

AI Screener

Tickeron’s AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps identify trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening. Investors seeking data-driven insights into ETFs like YieldMax Gold Miners Option Income Strategy ETF (GDXY), SPDR Gold Shares (GLD), or abrdn Physical Gold Shares ETF (SGOL) may find the platform a useful resource for refining their research process.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Based on observable structural strength, diversification profile, cost efficiency, momentum stability, and risk-adjusted positioning, Tickeron’s AI would likely assign a probabilistic preference to abrdn Physical Gold Shares ETF (SGOL) in the current environment. Its lowest expense ratio among the three, combined with straightforward physical gold backing and minimal structural complexity, supports favorable risk-adjusted characteristics for investors prioritizing efficient long-term exposure over income generation. SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) follows closely due to its established liquidity, while YieldMax Gold Miners Option Income Strategy ETF (GDXY) may appeal in scenarios emphasizing yield despite higher costs and capped participation.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

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SUMMARIES
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for GDXY with price predictions
Oct 22, 2026

GDXY in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on September 28, 2026

GDXY moved below its 50-day moving average on September 28, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 13 of 13 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 24 of 32 cases where GDXY's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 75%.

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 22, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on GDXY as a result. In 28 of 33 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 85%.

The 10-day moving average for GDXY crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 05, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 5 of 5 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GDXY declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 80%.

The Aroon Indicator for GDXY entered a downward trend on October 22, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

Following a +4.87% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GDXY advanced for three days, in 165 of 178 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

GDXY may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for GLD with price predictions
Oct 22, 2026

GLD sees MACD Histogram crosses below signal line

GLD saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on October 22, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 37 of the 51 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 73%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 22, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on GLD as a result. In 58 of 87 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.

GLD moved below its 50-day moving average on September 23, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for GLD crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 28, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 8 of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GLD declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 66%.

The Aroon Indicator for GLD entered a downward trend on October 22, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.

Following a +2.31% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GLD advanced for three days, in 295 of 349 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.

GLD may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for SGOL with price predictions
Oct 22, 2026

SGOL sees MACD Histogram crosses below signal line

SGOL saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on October 22, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 37 of the 51 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 73%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 22, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SGOL as a result. In 58 of 87 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.

SGOL moved below its 50-day moving average on September 23, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for SGOL crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 28, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 8 of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SGOL declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 68%.

The Aroon Indicator for SGOL entered a downward trend on October 22, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.

Following a +2.31% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SGOL advanced for three days, in 276 of 330 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 84%.

SGOL may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
GDXYGLDSGOL
RSI
ODDS (%)
N/A
N/A
N/A
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
75%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
86%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
86%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
85%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
67%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
67%
MACD
ODDS (%)
N/A
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
73%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
73%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
82%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
72%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
71%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
79%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
72%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
72%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 7 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 14 days ago
85%
Bullish Trend 14 days ago
84%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
80%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
66%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
68%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
63%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
62%
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GDXY
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
GLD
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
SGOL
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
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