GDXY
Price
$9.36
Change
-$0.45 (-4.59%)
Updated
Oct 22, 11:10 AM (EDT)
Net Assets
308.71M
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
GLDM
Price
$80.11
Change
-$1.68 (-2.05%)
Updated
Oct 22, 11:10 AM (EDT)
Net Assets
31.51B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
IAU
Price
$75.56
Change
-$2.15 (-2.77%)
Updated
Oct 22, 04:39 PM (EDT)
Net Assets
62.34B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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GDXY or GLDM or IAU

GDXY vs GLDM vs IAU Comparison Chart in %
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A.I.Advisor
Oct 21, 2026

Which ETF would AI Choose? YieldMax Gold Miners Option Income Strategy ETF (GDXY) vs. SPDR Gold MiniShares (GLDM) vs. iShares Gold Trust (IAU)

Key Takeaways

  • GDXY employs an actively managed synthetic covered call strategy targeting income from options on the VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX), resulting in a higher expense ratio of 1.00% and capped upside potential compared to the passive physical gold structures of GLDM and IAU.
  • GLDM and IAU both provide direct exposure to physical gold bullion via grantor trusts tracking the LBMA Gold Price, with GLDM offering the lowest expense ratio at 0.10% and IAU at 0.25%.
  • GDXY features approximately 28 holdings primarily in U.S. Treasuries and options for collateral and income generation, while GLDM and IAU each hold a single asset: allocated physical gold.
  • Investors seeking monthly income with gold miners exposure may consider GDXY, whereas those prioritizing cost-efficient, unlevered gold price tracking typically evaluate GLDM or IAU based on expense differentials and liquidity profiles.
  • Structural differences drive distinct risk profiles: GDXY introduces option premium volatility and concentration in miners, whereas GLDM and IAU deliver purer sensitivity to gold spot prices with minimal holdings concentration beyond the metal itself.
  • In the current environment of fluctuating gold prices amid macroeconomic factors, the lower-cost physical gold ETFs (GLDM and IAU) generally exhibit tighter tracking to bullion performance than the options-based GDXY.

Introduction

These three exchange-traded funds (ETFs) offer distinct approaches to gold-related exposure, making them relevant for comparison in the prevailing market environment. GDXY pursues an active options-income strategy tied to gold miners, while GLDM and IAU deliver straightforward physical gold price tracking through grantor trust structures. The comparison highlights differences in strategy, costs, diversification, and risk that influence suitability for various investor objectives within the precious metals sector.

YieldMax Gold Miners Option Income Strategy ETF (GDXY) Overview

The YieldMax Gold Miners Option Income Strategy ETF (GDXY) is an actively managed fund that seeks current income with secondary exposure to the price returns of the VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX), subject to caps on gains. It utilizes a synthetic covered call strategy involving options on GDX, collateralized by U.S. Treasuries and cash. The fund holds approximately 28 positions, with top holdings concentrated in short-term U.S. Treasury securities and options contracts. Sector allocation centers on fixed income for collateral and derivatives exposure. Its expense ratio stands at 1.00%. Distinguishing features include weekly distributions from option premiums and active management within a thematic gold miners framework.

SPDR Gold MiniShares (GLDM) Overview

The SPDR Gold MiniShares (GLDM) is a passively managed grantor trust designed to reflect the performance of the price of gold bullion, less expenses. It holds physical gold bars in secure vaults and tracks the LBMA Gold Price. The fund maintains a single holding: allocated gold bullion. Sector allocation is 100% precious metals via physical backing. Its expense ratio is 0.10%. Key structural characteristics include low-cost physical exposure, no options or derivatives overlay, and high liquidity as one of the larger gold ETFs by assets.

iShares Gold Trust (IAU) Overview

The iShares Gold Trust (IAU) is a passively managed grantor trust that seeks to reflect the performance of the price of gold bullion. It holds physical gold in allocated form across major vaults and tracks the LBMA Gold Price. The fund consists of one primary holding: physical gold bullion. Sector allocation focuses entirely on precious metals. Its expense ratio is 0.25%. Distinguishing features include a long-established structure since 2005, transparent gold inventory reporting, and efficient physical backing without leverage or options strategies.

Industry and Thematic Landscape

The gold sector operates within a broader precious metals theme influenced by macroeconomic drivers such as inflation expectations, interest rate cycles, geopolitical tensions, and central bank purchasing activity. Capital flows into gold ETFs often increase during periods of economic uncertainty or currency weakness. Regulatory environments for commodity trusts remain stable, with no recent major shifts affecting physical backing requirements. Earnings trends for gold mining companies, relevant to GDXY’s underlying exposure, depend on production costs and metal prices, while pure gold funds like GLDM and IAU respond directly to spot price movements and storage dynamics.

Performance and Positioning Comparison

In recent market cycles, GLDM and IAU have demonstrated close tracking to gold bullion prices with minimal deviation beyond expense drag, benefiting from their single-asset physical structures. GDXY has shown greater volatility due to its options overlay and miners exposure, often delivering higher income distributions but with capped participation in gold price rallies and potential drawdowns amplified by derivative positions. Relative positioning favors lower-cost physical funds for trend consistency in gold price movements, while GDXY suits income-oriented strategies amid fluctuating miner equities and option premiums.

AI Screener

Tickeron’s AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps identify trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening. Explore the AI Screener to discover additional opportunities aligned with your investment criteria.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Based on observable structural strengths, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign the highest probabilistic favorability to GLDM due to its lowest expense ratio, pure physical gold exposure, and efficient single-asset construction that minimizes tracking error and concentration risks beyond the underlying metal. IAU follows closely with similar physical backing at a modestly higher cost, while GDXY’s active options strategy introduces additional variables in volatility and capped returns that may suit specific income objectives but carry comparatively higher structural complexity.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

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SUMMARIES
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for GDXY with price predictions
Oct 21, 2026

GDXY in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on September 28, 2026

GDXY moved below its 50-day moving average on September 28, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 12 of 13 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 26 of 32 cases where GDXY's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 81%.

The 10-day moving average for GDXY crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 05, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 5 of 5 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GDXY declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 80%.

The Aroon Indicator for GDXY entered a downward trend on October 21, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 21, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on GDXY as a result. In 31 of 33 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

Following a +4.87% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GDXY advanced for three days, in 165 of 178 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

GDXY may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for GLDM with price predictions
Oct 21, 2026

GLDM saw its Stochastic Oscillator recovers from the overbought zone

The Stochastic Oscillator for GLDM moved out of overbought territory on October 14, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock and investors may want to consider selling or taking a defensive position. A.I.dvisor looked at 58 similar instances where the indicator exited the overbought zone. In 43 of the 58 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at 74%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

GLDM moved below its 50-day moving average on September 23, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for GLDM crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 28, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 8 of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GLDM declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 66%.

The Aroon Indicator for GLDM entered a downward trend on October 21, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 21, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on GLDM as a result. In 76 of 87 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 87%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for GLDM just turned positive on October 15, 2026. Looking at past instances where GLDM's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 41 of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.

Following a +2.32% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GLDM advanced for three days, in 279 of 330 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.

GLDM may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for IAU with price predictions
Oct 21, 2026

IAU saw its Stochastic Oscillator peaks and leaves the overbought zone

The Stochastic Oscillator for IAU moved out of overbought territory on October 14, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock and investors may want to consider selling or taking a defensive position. A.I.dvisor looked at 58 similar instances where the indicator exited the overbought zone. In 42 of the 58 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at 72%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

IAU moved below its 50-day moving average on September 23, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for IAU crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 28, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 8 of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where IAU declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.

The Aroon Indicator for IAU entered a downward trend on October 21, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 21, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on IAU as a result. In 78 of 88 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 89%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for IAU just turned positive on October 15, 2026. Looking at past instances where IAU's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 42 of 51 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.

Following a +2.35% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where IAU advanced for three days, in 286 of 339 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 84%.

IAU may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
GDXYGLDMIAU
RSI
ODDS (%)
N/A
N/A
N/A
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
81%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
74%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
72%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
87%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
89%
MACD
ODDS (%)
N/A
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
82%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
82%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
86%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
86%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
79%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
72%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
72%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 7 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 14 days ago
85%
Bullish Trend 14 days ago
84%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
80%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
66%
Bearish Trend 3 days ago
67%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
61%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
62%
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GDXY
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
GLDM
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
IAU
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
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