Investors seeking precious metals exposure often compare GLD, PHYS, and SLV because these exchange-traded products deliver straightforward, physically backed access to gold and silver prices without the complexities of futures contracts or mining equities. Although GLD and PHYS compete directly in the gold segment, SLV targets silver, creating a natural comparison of two closely related yet distinct commodities. The three funds represent different structural approaches to the same broad theme of inflation hedging and portfolio diversification, with variations in cost, liquidity, and underlying metal characteristics that influence their behavior across market cycles.
SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) is a grantor trust sponsored by World Gold Trust Services, LLC that seeks to reflect the performance of the price of gold bullion, less expenses. The fund holds allocated physical gold bars stored in secure vaults with custodians including HSBC Bank plc and JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A. It maintains a single primary holding of physical gold and does not engage in derivatives, lending, or active management. The expense ratio is 0.40%. GLD trades on NYSE Arca with high daily volume, providing strong liquidity for institutional and retail investors alike.
Sprott Physical Gold Trust (PHYS) is a closed-end trust that invests substantially all assets in fully allocated physical gold bullion meeting London Good Delivery standards. The trust aims to track the LBMA Gold Price PM less expenses while offering redeemability for physical metal under certain conditions. It holds one primary asset—physical gold stored in Canadian vaults—and employs no derivatives or leverage. The expense ratio is approximately 0.40%. PHYS lists on NYSE Arca and the Toronto Stock Exchange, offering a structure with potential tax advantages for some investors compared with standard ETFs.
iShares Silver Trust (SLV) is a grantor trust sponsored by BlackRock that seeks to reflect the performance of the price of silver bullion, less expenses and liabilities. The fund holds allocated physical silver bars as its sole primary asset, stored with a custodian, and does not use futures or other derivatives. The expense ratio is 0.50%. SLV trades on NYSE Arca and benefits from silver’s dual demand drivers—monetary and industrial—resulting in a distinct risk profile from pure gold vehicles.
The precious metals sector is shaped by macroeconomic factors including real interest rates, U.S. dollar strength, inflation expectations, and central bank purchasing activity. Gold serves primarily as a monetary asset and portfolio diversifier, while silver combines monetary characteristics with significant industrial applications in solar energy, electronics, and medical devices. Capital flows into physical bullion vehicles often increase during periods of geopolitical uncertainty or equity market stress. Regulatory frameworks for grantor trusts remain stable, with no material changes affecting storage or redemption mechanics in recent cycles. Broader sector risks include volatility in commodity prices and shifts in global monetary policy.
In recent market cycles, GLD and PHYS have exhibited closely correlated movements driven by gold price dynamics, with modest differences attributable to expense ratios and minor structural variances. SLV has shown greater price volatility due to silver’s higher beta to economic growth and industrial demand. Over broader timeframes, gold-focused funds have tended to display lower drawdowns during equity selloffs compared with silver exposure. Relative positioning favors GLD for investors prioritizing liquidity and cost efficiency, while PHYS may appeal to those valuing its closed-end features and SLV suits portfolios seeking silver’s industrial tailwinds alongside precious metals characteristics.
Tickeron’s AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps identify trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening. Explore the AI Screener to discover additional opportunities aligned with your investment criteria.
Based on observable structural strength, diversification profile, cost efficiency, momentum stability, and risk-adjusted positioning, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a probabilistic edge to SPDR Gold Shares (GLD). Its combination of the lowest expense ratio among the three, highest liquidity, and established scale provides a marginal advantage for investors seeking efficient gold exposure within a diversified portfolio. PHYS offers comparable gold access with a slightly different trust structure, while SLV introduces higher volatility tied to silver’s industrial component. All decisions should reflect individual risk tolerance and overall asset allocation.
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
GLD saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on October 22, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 35 of the 51 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 69%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 22, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on GLD as a result. In 55 of 87 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 63%.
GLD moved below its 50-day moving average on September 23, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for GLD crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 28, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 7 of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 58%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GLD declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 66%.
The Aroon Indicator for GLD entered a downward trend on October 23, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
Following a +2.31% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GLD advanced for three days, in 295 of 349 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.
GLD may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator for PHYS entered a downward trend on October 23, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 122 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In 83 of the 122 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at 68%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 22, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on PHYS as a result. In 59 of 90 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 66%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for PHYS turned negative on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 34 of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 68%.
PHYS moved below its 50-day moving average on September 23, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for PHYS crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 25, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 10 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PHYS declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where PHYS's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 17 of 22 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
Following a +2.39% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PHYS advanced for three days, in 292 of 341 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 86%.
PHYS may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The 10-day moving average for SLV crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 01, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 16 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 89%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 28, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SLV as a result. In 75 of 87 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 86%.
SLV moved below its 50-day moving average on September 28, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SLV declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 85%.
The Aroon Indicator for SLV entered a downward trend on October 23, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
Following a +1.40% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SLV advanced for three days, in 285 of 316 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
SLV may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
| GLD | PHYS | SLV | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 3 days ago 77% | 3 days ago 88% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 79% | 3 days ago 79% | 3 days ago 90% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 63% | 3 days ago 66% | 3 days ago 86% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 69% | 3 days ago 68% | N/A |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 72% | 3 days ago 72% | 3 days ago 85% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 72% | 3 days ago 73% | 3 days ago 85% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 17 days ago 85% | 17 days ago 86% | 5 days ago 90% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 66% | 3 days ago 67% | 3 days ago 85% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 81% | 3 days ago 86% | 3 days ago 90% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 64% | 3 days ago 68% | 3 days ago 83% |
| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| SPTS | 28.78 | N/A | N/A |
| State Street SPDR Portfolio Short Term Treasury ETF (SPTS) | |||
| CBLS | 29.18 | N/A | N/A |
| Clough Hedged Equity ETF (CBLS) | |||
| AGZ | 107.14 | -0.09 | -0.08% |
| iShares Agency Bond ETF (AGZ) | |||
| BNDC | 21.39 | -0.02 | -0.11% |
| Northern Trust Core Select Bond ETF (BNDC) | |||
| UGLD | 18.19 | -0.21 | -1.14% |
| Direxion Daily Gold Bull 2X ETF (UGLD) | |||