These three exchange-traded funds (ETFs) compete within the U.S. energy sector, offering investors different approaches to the same thematic exposure. IEO focuses narrowly on exploration and production activities, IYE tracks a broader energy index that includes integrated oil companies and midstream operators, and VDE provides the most comprehensive coverage across the entire energy value chain. The comparison highlights how index construction, holdings count, and expense structures influence sector exposure and potential risk-return profiles in the current market environment.
IEO seeks to track the investment results of an index composed of U.S. equities in the oil and gas exploration and production sector. The fund typically holds 45-50 securities with a heavy emphasis on upstream companies. Top holdings often include ConocoPhillips (COP), Marathon Petroleum (MPC), Valero Energy (VLO), EOG Resources (EOG), and Phillips 66 (PSX), which can represent over 70% of assets in aggregate. The portfolio maintains nearly 100% allocation to the energy sector. IEO charges an expense ratio of approximately 0.40% and uses a passive, market-cap-weighted methodology with periodic rebalancing. Its concentrated structure emphasizes pure-play exploration and production firms.
IYE aims to track the performance of the Dow Jones U.S. Energy Sector Index or a similar Russell 1000 Energy RIC 22.5/45 Capped Index. The ETF generally contains around 40 holdings focused on the broader energy sector. Prominent positions frequently feature Exxon Mobil (XOM), Chevron (CVX), ConocoPhillips (COP), Marathon Petroleum (MPC), and Valero Energy (VLO). Sector allocation remains almost entirely within energy, spanning integrated oil and gas, exploration and production, refining, and storage. The fund maintains an expense ratio of 0.37% and follows a passive, rules-based indexing approach with regular rebalancing to maintain index alignment.
VDE seeks to track the MSCI US Investable Market Energy 25/50 Index, providing exposure to large-, mid-, and small-capitalization U.S. energy companies. The fund typically holds 110-116 securities, offering the broadest diversification among the three. Leading holdings commonly include Exxon Mobil (XOM), Chevron (CVX), ConocoPhillips (COP), Williams Companies (WMB), and Valero Energy (VLO). The portfolio allocates nearly 100% to energy with representation across integrated majors, exploration and production, midstream, and services. VDE features the lowest expense ratio at 0.09% and employs a passive, full-replication strategy when possible, with quarterly rebalancing.
The U.S. energy sector remains influenced by global oil and natural gas price dynamics, domestic production levels, regulatory policies on emissions and permitting, and capital expenditure trends among major operators. Macroeconomic factors such as economic growth, inflation, and geopolitical tensions in key producing regions continue to shape earnings visibility for integrated and upstream firms. Capital flows into the sector reflect investor interest in energy security and transition-related infrastructure, while earnings trends among top holdings depend on commodity realizations and operational efficiency. Sector risks include regulatory shifts, technological disruptions in renewables, and cyclical demand fluctuations tied to broader economic cycles.
In recent market cycles, the three ETFs have exhibited correlated movements driven by energy commodity prices, though structural differences produce variations in volatility and drawdowns. IEO's upstream concentration can amplify sensitivity to crude oil and natural gas price swings compared with IYE and VDE. VDE's inclusion of mid- and small-capitalization names may introduce modestly higher volatility in certain periods while providing potential diversification benefits. Relative performance differences often stem from varying exposure to integrated majors versus pure exploration and production companies, influencing resilience during commodity downturns or upswings. All three demonstrate trend consistency aligned with sector fundamentals rather than short-term price fluctuations.
Tickeron’s AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps identify trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening. Investors seeking data-driven insights into energy sector ETFs may find the platform useful for refining screening criteria.
Based on observable structural strength, diversification profile, cost efficiency, momentum stability, and risk-adjusted positioning, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign the highest probability of favor to VDE. Its significantly lower expense ratio, broader holdings count across market capitalizations, and comprehensive energy sector representation provide a balanced risk-adjusted profile relative to the more concentrated IEO and IYE. Probabilistic analysis favors VDE for investors prioritizing long-term cost efficiency and diversification depth within the sector theme.
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
The Stochastic Oscillator for IEO moved out of overbought territory on October 22, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock and investors may want to consider selling or taking a defensive position. A.I.dvisor looked at 65 similar instances where the indicator exited the overbought zone. In 56 of the 65 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at 86%.
The 10-day RSI Indicator for IEO moved out of overbought territory on October 19, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 42 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 36 of the 42 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 86%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where IEO declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 82%.
IEO broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 13, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 05, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on IEO as a result. In 72 of 81 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 89%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for IEO just turned positive on October 07, 2026. Looking at past instances where IEO's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 41 of 49 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 84%.
IEO moved above its 50-day moving average on October 01, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +4.58% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where IEO advanced for three days, in 352 of 390 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 284 of 312 cases where IEO Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 90%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for IYE turned positive on October 08, 2026. Looking at past instances where IYE's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 45 of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 05, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on IYE as a result. In 78 of 88 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 89%.
IYE moved above its 50-day moving average on October 01, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +0.39% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where IYE advanced for three days, in 339 of 373 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 291 of 319 cases where IYE Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 90%.
The RSI Oscillator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 13 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where IYE declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 80%.
IYE broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 12, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
VDE moved above its 50-day moving average on October 01, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 53 of 58 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 05, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on VDE as a result. In 80 of 89 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for VDE just turned positive on October 08, 2026. Looking at past instances where VDE's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 43 of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 86%.
Following a +0.46% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where VDE advanced for three days, in 342 of 377 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
The RSI Oscillator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 13 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
VDE broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 12, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for VDE entered a downward trend on October 08, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
| IEO | IYE | VDE | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 86% | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 79% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 86% | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 77% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 89% | 2 days ago 89% | 2 days ago 90% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 84% | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 86% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 83% | 2 days ago 89% | 2 days ago 90% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 88% | 2 days ago 88% | 2 days ago 89% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 12 days ago 90% | 4 days ago 90% | 4 days ago 90% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 82% | 25 days ago 80% | N/A |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 72% | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 79% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 82% |
| 1 Day | |||
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A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, IEO has been closely correlated with EOG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 89% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if IEO jumps, then EOG could also see price increases.
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, IYE has been closely correlated with CVX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 88% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if IYE jumps, then CVX could also see price increases.
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, VDE has been closely correlated with CVX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 89% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if VDE jumps, then CVX could also see price increases.