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MANH or PD or WDAY
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Manhattan Associates (MANH) vs. PagerDuty (PD) vs. Workday (WDAY) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- MANH pairs a high-margin, debt-free balance sheet with accelerating cloud growth, but faces a near-term revenue headwind from license and maintenance attrition.
- PD has dramatically improved profitability and free cash flow, yet its revenue growth has decelerated sharply and its customer count is contracting.
- WDAY offers the largest scale and a diversified enterprise software franchise, though subscription growth guidance has consistently disappointed investors.
- Relative performance diverges by stage: MANH is a mature, profitable compounder; PD is a small-cap turnaround story; WDAY is a large-cap growth leader facing deceleration concerns.
- All three have been shaped in recent weeks by earnings reactions, AI-related product announcements, and shifting software-sector sentiment.
Introduction
Investors comparing MANH, PD, and WDAY are effectively weighing three very different segments of the enterprise software market: supply-chain execution, digital operations management, and cloud-based human capital and financial management. Each company reports solid fundamentals, but their market positioning, growth profiles, and risk characteristics differ meaningfully. This stock comparison is most relevant to investors seeking to understand how profitability, growth momentum, and valuation sensitivity trade off against one another. A momentum trader, a value-oriented investor, and a long-term growth buyer would each likely reach a different conclusion about which of these three names best fits current conditions.
MANH Overview and Recent Performance
Manhattan Associates develops software for supply-chain management, inventory, and omnichannel commerce operations, serving retailers, manufacturers, and logistics providers. In recent market activity, the company has stood out for its disciplined financial profile: full-year 2025 revenue rose roughly 4% to about $1.08 billion, while cloud subscription revenue climbed roughly 21% to approximately $408 million. Remaining performance obligations (RPO, or contracted future revenue not yet recognized) grew about 25% to $2.2 billion, signaling strong bookings momentum. The company ended the period with roughly $329 million in cash and no debt, and its adjusted operating margin remained near 36%. Sentiment has been supported by record cloud bookings and new AI capabilities, including commercial AI agents and an "Agent Foundry." The main near-term drag is a projected headwind from declining maintenance and license revenue as customers migrate to the cloud.
PD Overview and Recent Performance
PagerDuty operates a digital operations management platform that helps organizations detect and respond to IT (information technology) incidents and outages in real time. The company is a much smaller enterprise than its two peers here, with a market capitalization below $1 billion. In recent quarters, PagerDuty's story has been defined by a profitability inflection: management reported a roughly 700-basis-point (7 percentage point) expansion in non-GAAP operating margin during its latest fiscal year and turned free cash flow positive. However, top-line momentum has slowed considerably, with quarterly revenue growth of about 2.7% year over year and a modest sequential decline in total customers. The company is transitioning from seat-based to usage-based pricing and secured a new AWS (Amazon Web Services) resilience competency, but weaker forward revenue guidance triggered a sharp sell-off following its most recent earnings report.
WDAY Overview and Recent Performance
Workday provides cloud-based software for human capital management (HCM, meaning workforce and HR functions), financial management, planning, and analytics. It is the largest and most diversified of the three, serving more than 11,000 organizations and reporting annual revenue above $8 billion. Recent performance has been characterized by steady double-digit growth: its latest quarter delivered revenue of about $2.53 billion, up roughly 14.5% year over year, with an adjusted operating margin near 30% and free cash flow margin near 48%. Subscription revenue backlog remains substantial at roughly $25 billion. Still, sentiment has been pressured because forward subscription growth guidance of 12–13% came in below consensus, echoing a broader pattern of deceleration. Investors continue to watch the company's AI portfolio, including "Workday Illuminate," and its recent acquisitions in talent and document intelligence.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
These three companies occupy distinct risk-and-reward profiles. MANH is the most consistently profitable and balance-sheet-strong name of the group, with cloud migration serving as its primary growth engine; its sensitivity to valuation is lower given its margins, but its total revenue growth is comparatively modest. PD offers the most dramatic operating-margin improvement and a low valuation relative to its cash flow, yet it carries the greatest execution risk: slowing growth, a shrinking customer base, and a pricing-model transition introduce meaningful uncertainty. WDAY sits in the middle on growth and profitability, combining scale and recurring-revenue stability with the market's growing impatience over decelerating subscription growth. On sector exposure, MANH leans toward logistics and retail technology, PD toward IT operations and developer tooling, and WDAY toward enterprise HR and finance. Market sentiment has favored MANH's execution and punished PD and WDAY for guidance shortfalls.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors, Tickeron's AI would likely assign the strongest relative positioning to MANH, reflecting its trend consistency, high and stable margins, debt-free balance sheet, and accelerating cloud bookings. While WDAY offers greater scale and PD presents a deeper-value turnaround profile, each currently carries a more visible catalyst risk tied to guidance and growth deceleration. The AI's preference for MANH would stem from a more balanced combination of stability, momentum, and positive catalysts rather than any single metric, and it should be understood as a probabilistic read on current conditions rather than a definitive forecast.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
MANH in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on October 12, 2026
MANH moved above its 50-day moving average on October 12, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In 27 of 35 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 12, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on MANH as a result. In 65 of 92 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for MANH just turned positive on October 12, 2026. Looking at past instances where MANH's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 36 of 53 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 68%.
The 10-day moving average for MANH crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 13, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 9 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.
Following a +4.00% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MANH advanced for three days, in 234 of 343 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 68%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 8 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MANH declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 68%.
MANH broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 15, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for MANH entered a downward trend on October 07, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 14 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 18 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 36 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. MANH’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 71 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. MANH’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 96 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (88.172) is normal, around the industry mean (-1.734). P/E Ratio (67.668) is within average values for comparable stocks, (15.183). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.566) is also within normal values, averaging (2.824). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.074) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (11.338) is also within normal values, averaging (71.128).
Aroon Indicator for PD shows an upward move is likely
PD's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on October 16, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 100 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In 79 of the 100 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at 79%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on September 29, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on PD as a result. In 73 of 99 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for PD just turned positive on October 09, 2026. Looking at past instances where PD's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 34 of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 68%.
Following a +1.77% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PD advanced for three days, in 196 of 276 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for PD moved out of overbought territory on October 16, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 20 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 17 of the 20 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 85%.
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PD declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 80%.
PD broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 15, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 15 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 25 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 34 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. PD’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 57 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (5.842) is normal, around the industry mean (-1.734). P/E Ratio (8.364) is within average values for comparable stocks, (15.183). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (2.824). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.074) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.508) is also within normal values, averaging (71.128).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. PD’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock worse than average.
WDAY's MACD Histogram just turned positive
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for WDAY turned positive on October 15, 2026. Looking at past instances where WDAY's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 36 of 49 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 15, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on WDAY as a result. In 62 of 87 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
WDAY moved above its 50-day moving average on October 19, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for WDAY crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 21, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 11 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.
Following a +6.90% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where WDAY advanced for three days, in 173 of 303 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 57%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where WDAY declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 71%.
WDAY broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for WDAY entered a downward trend on October 07, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 37 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. WDAY’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 54 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 81 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (7.834) is normal, around the industry mean (-1.734). P/E Ratio (42.681) is within average values for comparable stocks, (15.183). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.689) is also within normal values, averaging (2.824). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.074) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.773) is also within normal values, averaging (71.128).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 93 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. WDAY’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock worse than average.
MANH | PD | WDAY | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 31 | 44 | 27 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 96 Overvalued | 57 Fair valued | 81 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 71 | 100 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 14 | 15 | 54 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 36 | 34 | 37 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 18 | 25 | 93 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 37 | n/a | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
PD's Valuation (57) in the Packaged Software industry is in the same range as WDAY (81) in the Information Technology Services industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for MANH (96) in the Packaged Software industry. This means that PD's stock grew similarly to WDAY’s and somewhat faster than MANH’s over the last 12 months.
MANH's Profit vs Risk Rating (71) in the Packaged Software industry is in the same range as PD (100) in the Packaged Software industry, and is in the same range as WDAY (100) in the Information Technology Services industry. This means that MANH's stock grew similarly to PD’s and similarly to WDAY’s over the last 12 months.
MANH's SMR Rating (14) in the Packaged Software industry is in the same range as PD (15) in the Packaged Software industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for WDAY (54) in the Information Technology Services industry. This means that MANH's stock grew similarly to PD’s and somewhat faster than WDAY’s over the last 12 months.
PD's Price Growth Rating (34) in the Packaged Software industry is in the same range as MANH (36) in the Packaged Software industry, and is in the same range as WDAY (37) in the Information Technology Services industry. This means that PD's stock grew similarly to MANH’s and similarly to WDAY’s over the last 12 months.
MANH's P/E Growth Rating (18) in the Packaged Software industry is in the same range as PD (25) in the Packaged Software industry, and is significantly better than the same rating for WDAY (93) in the Information Technology Services industry. This means that MANH's stock grew similarly to PD’s and significantly faster than WDAY’s over the last 12 months.
| MANH | PD | WDAY | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 85% | 2 days ago 67% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 87% | 2 days ago 71% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 71% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 73% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 63% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 64% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 71% | 4 days ago 57% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 17 days ago 68% | 17 days ago 80% | 17 days ago 71% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 82% | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 71% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 80% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
MANH’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green while PD’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s), and WDAY’s FA Score reflects 0 green FA rating(s).
- MANH’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- PD’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- WDAY’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
MANH’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while PD’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s), and WDAY’s TA Score reflects 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- MANH’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- PD’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- WDAY’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
MANH (@Packaged Software) experienced а +6.70% price change this week, while PD (@Packaged Software) price change was -0.12% , and WDAY (@Packaged Software) price fluctuated +6.79% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Packaged Software industry was +2.81%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -3.45%, and the average quarterly price growth was +4.65%.
Reported Earning Dates
MANH is expected to report earnings on Oct 27, 2026.
PD is expected to report earnings on Nov 24, 2026.
WDAY is expected to report earnings on Nov 24, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Packaged Software (+2.81% weekly)Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.
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MANH and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MANH has been closely correlated with BLKB. These tickers have moved in lockstep 67% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if MANH jumps, then BLKB could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MANH | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MANH | 100% | +2.69% | ||
| BLKB - MANH | 67% Closely correlated | +5.22% | ||
| WDAY - MANH | 67% Closely correlated | +3.46% | ||
| PCTY - MANH | 67% Closely correlated | +4.93% | ||
| FRSH - MANH | 65% Loosely correlated | +3.34% | ||
| DOCU - MANH | 65% Loosely correlated | +3.60% | ||
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PD and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PD has been closely correlated with WDAY. These tickers have moved in lockstep 71% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if PD jumps, then WDAY could also see price increases.
WDAY and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, WDAY has been closely correlated with ADBE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 76% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if WDAY jumps, then ADBE could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To WDAY | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WDAY | 100% | +3.46% | ||
| ADBE - WDAY | 76% Closely correlated | +6.07% | ||
| ASAN - WDAY | 75% Closely correlated | +3.88% | ||
| NOW - WDAY | 75% Closely correlated | +2.53% | ||
| FRSH - WDAY | 74% Closely correlated | +3.34% | ||
| INTU - WDAY | 72% Closely correlated | +5.75% | ||
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