MGY
Price
$26.88
Change
-$0.24 (-0.88%)
Updated
Jun 17, 04:59 PM (EDT)
Capitalization
4.97B
48 days until earnings call
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
OVV
Price
$53.60
Change
+$0.10 (+0.19%)
Updated
Jun 17, 04:59 PM (EDT)
Capitalization
15.07B
36 days until earnings call
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
PR
Price
$18.57
Change
-$0.10 (-0.54%)
Updated
Jun 17, 04:59 PM (EDT)
Capitalization
15.54B
49 days until earnings call
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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MGY or OVV or PR

Header iconMGY vs OVV vs PR Comparison
Open Charts MGY vs OVV vs PRBanner chart's image
MGY vs OVV vs PR Comparison Chart in %
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Which Stock Would AI Choose? Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (MGY) vs. Ovintiv Inc. (OVV) vs. Permian Resources Corporation (PR) Stock Comparison

Key Takeaways

  • OVV leads with superior YTD return of approximately 48% and 1-year gain of 68%, outpacing MGY (28% YTD, 32% 1-year) and PR (42% YTD, 58% 1-year).
  • All three stocks have outperformed the S&P 500 in recent market activity, driven by elevated oil prices and strong Q1 production volumes across Eagle Ford, multi-basin, and Permian assets.
  • MGY reported Q1 2026 earnings beat with $0.54 EPS and $358M revenue, generating $146M free cash flow amid bolt-on acquisitions and 6% production growth.
  • PR raised full-year guidance post-Q1 results, emphasizing Permian efficiency, while OVV focuses on high-return inventory in Permian and Montney.
  • Energy sector tailwinds from geopolitical tensions support relative strength, but volatility tied to commodity prices remains a shared risk factor.

Introduction

This comparison examines MGY, OVV, and PR, three independent oil and gas exploration and production (E&P) companies focused on high-quality U.S. assets. Operating primarily in the Eagle Ford (MGY), multi-basin North America (OVV), and Permian Basin (PR), these firms benefit from recent oil price strength amid supply concerns. Traders seeking momentum in energy E&P and investors eyeing free cash flow generation in a volatile commodity environment will find value in analyzing their recent performance, production trends, and market positioning. All have delivered strong returns versus benchmarks in recent weeks, highlighting sector resilience.

MGY Overview and Recent Performance

Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation (MGY) is an independent E&P company engaged in acquiring, developing, exploring, and producing oil, natural gas, and NGLs, primarily in South Texas' Eagle Ford and Giddings areas. In recent market activity, MGY shares have shown resilience, with a YTD return of about 28% and 1-year gain near 32%, trading around $28. The stock experienced some pullback in recent weeks amid broader sector rotation but remains above key moving averages. Q1 2026 results exceeded expectations, posting $0.54 EPS (versus $0.51 consensus) and $359M revenue (up 2% YoY), driven by 6% production growth to 103 Mboe/d (thousand barrels of oil equivalent per day). Adjusted EBITDAX hit $253M, with $146M free cash flow supporting dividends and $155M in bolt-on acquisitions. Sentiment reflects confidence in Giddings inventory and capital discipline, bolstered by oil price support, though natural gas weakness tempers upside.

OVV Overview and Recent Performance

Ovintiv Inc. (OVV), formerly Encana, is a North American E&P firm with operations in the Permian, Anadarko, and Montney plays, emphasizing oil-rich assets. Recent performance has been robust, with YTD returns around 48% and 1-year gains of 68%, positioning shares near $58 amid elevated oil realizations. The stock has outperformed peers in recent weeks, reflecting multi-basin diversification and debt reduction efforts. While Q1 results are pending, prior quarters showed strong cash flow generation, with full-year 2025 non-GAAP free cash flow of $1.6B after $2.1B capex. Recent asset sales, like the $3B Anadarko divestiture, sharpened focus on core inventory, enhancing returns. Positive analyst updates and share buybacks have lifted sentiment, though Canadian exposure introduces some currency and gas price risks in recent market swings.

PR Overview and Recent Performance

Permian Resources Corporation (PR) concentrates on crude oil and liquids-rich natural gas in the Permian Basin, leveraging scale post-mergers. Shares have delivered solid gains, with YTD up 42% and 1-year around 58%, trading near $20 despite recent volatility. In recent weeks, PR benefited from Permian efficiency gains and oil price momentum but faced pressure from revenue misses in Q1. Earnings showed $1.39B revenue (slight YoY rise but below estimates) and $0.39 EPS (EPS beat), prompting raised full-year guidance on production. Strong cash flow supports returns to shareholders, with focus on low-cost inventory driving outperformance versus broader E&P peers. Sentiment hinges on basin differentials and drilling economics amid heightened activity.

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Head-to-Head Comparison

MGY, OVV, and PR share E&P models tied to oil prices but diverge in basins: MGY's Eagle Ford offers hybrid oil/gas with bolt-on M&A (mergers and acquisitions) for inventory; OVV's multi-basin (Permian/Montney/Anadarko) provides diversification but higher operational complexity; PR's pure Permian play emphasizes scale and low breakevens. Growth drivers include production ramps—MGY/ PR at 6%+ YoY, OVV via asset optimization. Recent momentum favors OVV's 48% YTD versus MGY/PR's 28-42%, reflecting broader exposure. Risks: MGY faces gas pricing in Eagle Ford; OVV currency/ Canadian gas volatility; PR basin crowding and differentials. Valuation sensitivity is acute to WTI (West Texas Intermediate) above $90, with all generating robust FCF (free cash flow) for dividends/buybacks. Sentiment leans positive on Permian (PR) catalysts but balanced by sector rotation.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Tickeron’s AI currently favors OVV based on trend consistency, multi-basin stability, and leading relative performance (48% YTD outpacing peers). Strong cash flow positioning and recent divestitures signal catalysts for sustained momentum, with probabilistic edge in volatile oil markets over MGY's regional focus or PR's basin concentration.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations

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COMPARISON
Comparison
Jun 18, 2026
Stock price -- (MGY: $26.86OVV: $53.50PR: $18.67)
Brand notoriety: MGY, OVV and PR are all not notable
The three companies represent the Oil & Gas Production industry
Current volume relative to the 65-day Moving Average: MGY: 144%, OVV: 62%, PR: 122%
Market capitalization -- MGY: $4.97B, OVV: $15.07B, PR: $15.54B
$MGY is valued at $4.97B, while OVV has a market capitalization of $15.07B, and PR's market capitalization is $15.54B. The market cap for tickers in this @Oil & Gas Production ranges from $135.49B to $0. The average market capitalization across the @Oil & Gas Production industry is $9.28B.

Long-Term Analysis

It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).

MGY’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileOVV’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s), and PR’s FA Score reflects 2 green FA rating(s).

  • MGY’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
  • OVV’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
  • PR’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
According to our system of comparison, PR is a better buy in the long-term than MGY, which in turn is a better option than OVV.

Short-Term Analysis

It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.

If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.

MGY’s TA Score shows that 2 TA indicator(s) are bullish while OVV’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s), and PR’s TA Score reflects 2 bullish TA indicator(s).

  • MGY’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 4 bearish.
  • OVV’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
  • PR’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 5 bearish.
According to our system of comparison, MGY is a better buy in the short-term than OVV and PR.

Price Growth

MGY (@Oil & Gas Production) experienced а -3.42% price change this week, while OVV (@Oil & Gas Production) price change was -4.96% , and PR (@Oil & Gas Production) price fluctuated -1.93% for the same time period.

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Oil & Gas Production industry was -7.50%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -13.18%, and the average quarterly price growth was +17.80%.

Reported Earning Dates

MGY is expected to report earnings on Aug 04, 2026.

OVV is expected to report earnings on Jul 23, 2026.

PR is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.

Industries' Descriptions

@Oil & Gas Production (-7.50% weekly)

The oil and gas production segment includes companies that specialize in exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas. These companies are focused on upstream operations. Companies typically identify deposits, drill wells, and extract raw materials from underground. The industry also includes related services like rig operations, feasibility studies, machinery rentals etc. Several operators in this industry work with various types of contractors such as engineering procurement and construction contractors, as well as with joint-venture partners and oil field service companies. Oil and gas often involves large fixed costs of production; so, declining crude oil prices, for example, is a potential negative for this industry. Conoco Phillips, EOG Resources, Inc. and Pioneer Natural Resources Company are some examples of companies operating in this space.

SUMMARIES
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FUNDAMENTALS
Fundamentals
PR($15.5B) and OVV($15.1B) has a higher market cap than MGY($4.97B). PR has higher P/E ratio than OVV and MGY: PR (20.85) vs OVV (17.63) and MGY (15.53). OVV YTD gains are higher at: 38.268 vs. PR (34.537) and MGY (24.178). PR has higher annual earnings (EBITDA): 3.31B vs. OVV (2.71B) and MGY (875M). MGY has more cash in the bank: 124M vs. OVV (44M) and PR (138K). MGY has less debt than PR and OVV: MGY (413M) vs PR (3.69B) and OVV (7.81B). OVV has higher revenues than PR and MGY: OVV (9.06B) vs PR (5.08B) and MGY (1.32B).
MGYOVVPR
Capitalization4.97B15.1B15.5B
EBITDA875M2.71B3.31B
Gain YTD24.17838.26834.537
P/E Ratio15.5317.6320.85
Revenue1.32B9.06B5.08B
Total Cash124M44M138K
Total Debt413M7.81B3.69B
FUNDAMENTALS RATINGS
MGY vs OVV vs PR: Fundamental Ratings
MGY
OVV
PR
OUTLOOK RATING
1..100
798166
VALUATION
overvalued / fair valued / undervalued
1..100
40
Fair valued
38
Fair valued
41
Fair valued
PROFIT vs RISK RATING
1..100
314219
SMR RATING
1..100
558083
PRICE GROWTH RATING
1..100
574950
P/E GROWTH RATING
1..100
28527
SEASONALITY SCORE
1..100
855085

Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.

OVV's Valuation (38) in the null industry is in the same range as MGY (40) in the Oil And Gas Production industry, and is in the same range as PR (41) in the Oil And Gas Production industry. This means that OVV's stock grew similarly to MGY’s and similarly to PR’s over the last 12 months.

PR's Profit vs Risk Rating (19) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as MGY (31) in the Oil And Gas Production industry, and is in the same range as OVV (42) in the null industry. This means that PR's stock grew similarly to MGY’s and similarly to OVV’s over the last 12 months.

MGY's SMR Rating (55) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as OVV (80) in the null industry, and is in the same range as PR (83) in the Oil And Gas Production industry. This means that MGY's stock grew similarly to OVV’s and similarly to PR’s over the last 12 months.

OVV's Price Growth Rating (49) in the null industry is in the same range as PR (50) in the Oil And Gas Production industry, and is in the same range as MGY (57) in the Oil And Gas Production industry. This means that OVV's stock grew similarly to PR’s and similarly to MGY’s over the last 12 months.

PR's P/E Growth Rating (7) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as MGY (28) in the Oil And Gas Production industry, and is somewhat better than the same rating for OVV (52) in the null industry. This means that PR's stock grew similarly to MGY’s and somewhat faster than OVV’s over the last 12 months.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
MGYOVVPR
RSI
ODDS (%)
N/A
N/A
N/A
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
78%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
80%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
82%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
67%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
75%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
69%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
67%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
71%
N/A
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
64%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
71%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
71%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
66%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
69%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
69%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 14 days ago
70%
Bullish Trend 14 days ago
71%
Bullish Trend 15 days ago
76%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 22 days ago
66%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
71%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
73%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
N/A
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
71%
N/A
Aroon
ODDS (%)
N/A
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
70%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
68%
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MGY
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
OVV
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
PR
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
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MGY and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MGY has been closely correlated with CHRD. These tickers have moved in lockstep 86% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if MGY jumps, then CHRD could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To MGY
1D Price
Change %
MGY100%
-0.96%
CHRD - MGY
86%
Closely correlated
+0.21%
OVV - MGY
85%
Closely correlated
+0.21%
MTDR - MGY
84%
Closely correlated
-1.58%
PR - MGY
83%
Closely correlated
-0.59%
DVN - MGY
83%
Closely correlated
-0.72%
More

OVV and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, OVV has been closely correlated with PR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 88% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if OVV jumps, then PR could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To OVV
1D Price
Change %
OVV100%
+0.21%
PR - OVV
88%
Closely correlated
-0.59%
CHRD - OVV
86%
Closely correlated
+0.21%
MGY - OVV
85%
Closely correlated
-0.96%
MTDR - OVV
85%
Closely correlated
-1.58%
DVN - OVV
84%
Closely correlated
-0.72%
More

PR and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PR has been closely correlated with OVV. These tickers have moved in lockstep 88% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if PR jumps, then OVV could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To PR
1D Price
Change %
PR100%
-0.59%
OVV - PR
88%
Closely correlated
+0.21%
CHRD - PR
85%
Closely correlated
+0.21%
MGY - PR
83%
Closely correlated
-0.96%
MTDR - PR
83%
Closely correlated
-1.58%
FANG - PR
83%
Closely correlated
-1.40%
More