Investors evaluating bearish and hedging tools often weigh three inverse ETFs from the same issuer that represent a clear tier of risk. SH provides un-leveraged inverse exposure to the S&P 500, SPXU delivers triple-leveraged inverse exposure to that same benchmark, and SRTY applies triple-leveraged inverse exposure to the small-cap Russell 2000 Index. Because they do not all track the same index or carry the same leverage, this ETF comparison is less about substitutes and more about tiered risk exposures, sector coverage, and relative positioning within the inverse-equity universe.
SH is an inverse, non-diversified ETF that seeks daily investment results, before fees and expenses, corresponding to the inverse (-1x) of the daily performance of the S&P 500 Index. Launched in June 2006, it is the most seasoned and least aggressive of the three funds. Rather than holding the 500 index stocks, the fund obtains exposure through S&P 500 short swaps and E-mini index futures, with the balance held in U.S. Treasury bills and money-market instruments. Sector exposure mirrors the S&P 500, led by Information Technology (about 39%), followed by Financials, Communication Services, Consumer Discretionary, and Health Care. Its net expense ratio is approximately 0.89%, and it resets its inverse target each trading day.
SPXU is a leveraged inverse ETF that seeks daily investment results equal to three times the inverse (-3x) of the S&P 500's daily performance. Introduced in June 2009, it uses S&P 500 short swaps and E-mini futures to reach roughly 300% inverse market exposure, supported by Treasury bills and money-market positions. Its sector profile is identical in composition to the S&P 500, dominated by mega-cap technology and communication names such as Nvidia, Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, and Alphabet, whose top-10 combined weight approaches 40% of the index. The net expense ratio is about 0.90%, and daily rebalancing makes its multi-day returns diverge significantly from a simple -3x of index returns.
SRTY seeks daily investment results equal to three times the inverse (-3x) of the Russell 2000 Index, a widely followed gauge of roughly 2,000 U.S. small-capitalization companies. Launched in February 2010, it obtains inverse leveraged exposure primarily through Russell 2000 swaps and futures. Unlike the concentrated mega-cap S&P 500 funds, its underlying index is broad and diversified, with individual holdings typically accounting for well under 1% of weight and sector exposure spread across Industrials, Financials, Health Care, Technology, and Consumer Discretionary. Its net expense ratio is 0.95%, though the gross ratio is about 1.23% before contractual waivers, and it also rebalances daily to maintain its -3x target.
The three funds sit at the intersection of two dominant macro themes: the multi-year leadership of large-cap growth equities and the historically higher volatility of small-cap stocks. Capital flows into passive large-cap products have reinforced the concentration of the S&P 500 in a handful of mega-cap technology and AI-related names, while the Russell 2000 has been more sensitive to interest-rate expectations, regional-bank stress, and financing conditions. Broader drivers such as inflation, Federal Reserve policy, and earnings trends among mega-cap versus small-cap issuers shape the relative behavior of these benchmarks. For inverse products, the key structural risk is the same across all three: daily reset and compounding can erode returns during choppy, range-bound markets even when the target index ultimately declines.
In recent months and across recent market cycles, the relative positioning of these funds has been driven almost entirely by leverage and index composition. SH has exhibited the lowest volatility of the group, moving roughly in line with daily declines in the S&P 500. SPXU amplifies those same moves threefold, producing sharper rallies during large-cap selloffs but steeper drawdowns during sustained rallies. SRTY adds a second layer of sensitivity, because the Russell 2000 has tended to be more volatile than the S&P 500; its moves are therefore often larger on both sides, with less exposure to mega-cap technology and greater exposure to cyclical and rate-sensitive small-cap sectors. Concentration risk is highest in SPXU, while SRTY offers broader, more dispersed sector exposure at the cost of elevated volatility.
Tickeron's AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics, making it faster and more efficient than manual screening to identify trade ideas, trending tickers, breakout candidates, and emerging market opportunities.
Based on observable structural characteristics, Tickeron's AI would likely favor SH among these three for its superior cost efficiency, lower volatility, and reduced exposure to daily compounding drag. While SPXU and SRTY offer greater tactical firepower for short-horizon hedging, their triple leverage and daily reset mechanics materially weaken risk-adjusted positioning over holding periods beyond a single day. SRTY adds small-cap concentration and financing sensitivity, further raising tail risk. A probabilistic, risk-adjusted framework would therefore tend to rank the simpler -1x large-cap inverse product as the more stable, lower-cost choice, with the leveraged funds reserved for experienced traders with disciplined, short-term horizons.
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The Stochastic Oscillator for SH moved into overbought territory on October 23, 2026. Be on the watch for a price drop or consolidation in the future -- when this happens, think about selling the stock or exploring put options.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SH declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 78%.
The Aroon Indicator for SH entered a downward trend on October 15, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 16, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on SH as a result. In 53 of 73 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SH just turned positive on October 15, 2026. Looking at past instances where SH's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 39 of 48 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.
SH moved above its 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for SH crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 23, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 9 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.
Following a +1.84% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SH advanced for three days, in 195 of 257 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
The Stochastic Oscillator for SPXU moved into overbought territory on October 23, 2026. Be on the watch for a price drop or consolidation in the future -- when this happens, think about selling the stock or exploring put options.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SPXU declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.
The Aroon Indicator for SPXU entered a downward trend on October 15, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 16, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on SPXU as a result. In 67 of 79 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 85%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for SPXU just turned positive on October 15, 2026. Looking at past instances where SPXU's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 50 of 52 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
SPXU moved above its 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +5.42% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SPXU advanced for three days, in 228 of 265 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 86%.
The 10-day RSI Oscillator for SRTY moved out of overbought territory on October 15, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 25 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In 23 of the 25 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at 90%.
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 52 of 57 cases where SRTY's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SRTY turned negative on October 21, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 42 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 40 of the 42 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 90%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SRTY declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.
SRTY broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 16, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Following a +7.19% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SRTY advanced for three days, in 246 of 269 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 167 of 183 cases where SRTY Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 90%.
| SH | SPXU | SRTY | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A | 2 days ago 90% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 83% | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 90% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 85% | N/A |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 81% | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 90% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 86% | 2 days ago 90% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 89% | 2 days ago 90% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 86% | 11 days ago 90% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 78% | 4 days ago 90% | 3 days ago 90% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A | 2 days ago 90% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 90% |