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SPGM or URTH or VT
Which ETF would AI Choose? State Street SPDR Portfolio MSCI Global Stock Market ETF (SPGM) vs. iShares MSCI World ETF (URTH) vs. Vanguard Total World Stock ETF (VT)
Key Takeaways
- SPGM, URTH, and VT all provide passive, market-cap-weighted exposure to global equities but differ in geographic scope and diversification depth.
- VT offers the broadest diversification with approximately 10,000 holdings across developed and emerging markets via the FTSE Global All Cap Index.
- URTH focuses exclusively on developed markets through the MSCI World Index, resulting in higher U.S. concentration and fewer total holdings.
- SPGM tracks the MSCI ACWI IMI Index, blending developed and emerging markets with moderate holdings count and lower expense ratio than URTH.
- Expense ratios favor VT at 0.06% and SPGM at 0.09%, while URTH carries a higher 0.24% cost.
- Structural differences drive varying sensitivity to emerging-market volatility and U.S. large-cap dominance in recent market cycles.
Introduction
SPGM, URTH, and VT represent distinct approaches to global equity exposure within the same broad asset class. Each ETF pursues a passive indexing strategy but tracks different benchmarks that vary in market coverage, capitalization range, and regional allocation. Investors comparing these funds often seek core portfolio building blocks that balance cost, diversification, and liquidity. The comparison highlights how tiered geographic and size exposures influence risk profiles and positioning amid ongoing macroeconomic shifts.
State Street SPDR Portfolio MSCI Global Stock Market ETF (SPGM) Overview
SPGM seeks to track the MSCI ACWI IMI Index, which measures the performance of large-, mid-, and small-cap stocks across 23 developed and 27 emerging markets. The fund holds approximately 2,933 securities and employs representative sampling. Top holdings typically include major technology names such as NVIDIA, Apple, and Microsoft. Sector allocations emphasize information technology, financials, and consumer discretionary. SPGM maintains a low expense ratio of 0.09% and rebalances in line with index methodology to reflect market-cap weights.
iShares MSCI World ETF (URTH) Overview
URTH tracks the MSCI World Index, which captures large- and mid-cap equities from 23 developed markets. The ETF holds roughly 1,300 stocks and uses representative sampling for efficient replication. Holdings concentrate in U.S. names, with top positions often led by NVIDIA, Apple, and Microsoft. Sector exposure tilts toward information technology, financials, and industrials. URTH carries an expense ratio of 0.24% and follows quarterly index rebalancing protocols.
Vanguard Total World Stock ETF (VT) Overview
VT seeks to replicate the FTSE Global All Cap Index, providing exposure to large-, mid-, and small-cap stocks across developed and emerging markets worldwide. The fund holds approximately 10,000 securities through index sampling. Top holdings mirror broad market leaders including major U.S. technology firms. Sector breakdowns align closely with global market weights, featuring technology, financials, and healthcare. VT features the lowest expense ratio among the three at 0.06% and adheres to ongoing market-cap rebalancing.
Industry and Thematic Landscape
Global equity markets continue to reflect U.S. technology leadership alongside gradual emerging-market integration. Capital flows favor large-cap growth sectors while regulatory developments in trade and taxation influence cross-border allocations. Earnings trends among dominant technology holdings support valuation multiples, yet geopolitical tensions and monetary policy divergence introduce volatility across regions. Sector risks center on concentration in a handful of mega-cap companies and sensitivity to interest-rate cycles.
Performance and Positioning Comparison
In recent months, performance differentials have stemmed primarily from varying emerging-market and small-cap exposures. VT’s broader inclusion of smaller firms and emerging economies has produced modestly higher volatility relative to URTH’s developed-market focus. SPGM has occupied a middle ground, delivering diversification benefits without URTH’s elevated expense drag. Concentration risk remains highest in URTH due to its developed-market emphasis, while VT and SPGM provide greater cushion through wider capitalization and geographic spreads. Macro-factor sensitivity, particularly to U.S. dollar movements and global growth differentials, explains relative drawdown patterns across recent market cycles.
AI Screener
Tickeron’s AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps identify trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on structural strength, diversification profile, and cost efficiency, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign the highest probability of favor to VT. Its ultra-low expense ratio, extensive holdings count, and comprehensive global coverage provide superior risk-adjusted positioning across varied market environments compared with the narrower scope of URTH and the intermediate characteristics of SPGM.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
SPGM in +1.06% Uptrend, growing for three consecutive days on October 21, 2026
Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where SPGM advanced for three days, in 288 of 350 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 49 of 60 cases where SPGM's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 16, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SPGM as a result. In 59 of 78 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 76%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SPGM turned negative on October 14, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 35 of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 69%.
SPGM moved below its 50-day moving average on October 12, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for SPGM crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 06, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 9 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 69%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SPGM declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 70%.
The Aroon Indicator for SPGM entered a downward trend on September 22, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
URTH in upward trend: price may ascend as a result of having broken its lower Bollinger Band on October 23, 2026
URTH may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 35 of 40 cases where URTH's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 88%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 43 of 53 cases where URTH's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.
Following a +0.89% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where URTH advanced for three days, in 284 of 350 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 16, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on URTH as a result. In 62 of 81 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 77%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for URTH turned negative on October 16, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 53 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 38 of the 53 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 72%.
URTH moved below its 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for URTH crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 10 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 77%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where URTH declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 72%.
The Aroon Indicator for URTH entered a downward trend on September 22, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
VT's Stochastic Oscillator descends into oversold zone
The Stochastic Oscillator for VT moved into oversold territory on October 23, 2026. Be on the watch for the price uptrend or consolidation in the future. At that time, consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
Following a +0.94% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where VT advanced for three days, in 279 of 341 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 16, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on VT as a result. In 63 of 80 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 79%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for VT turned negative on October 14, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 38 of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 79%.
VT moved below its 50-day moving average on October 12, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for VT crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 05, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 9 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 69%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where VT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 71%.
The Aroon Indicator for VT entered a downward trend on September 22, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
| SPGM | URTH | VT | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 82% | 1 day ago 81% | 1 day ago 88% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 79% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 69% | 1 day ago 72% | 1 day ago 79% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 76% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 78% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 82% | 4 days ago 81% | 4 days ago 82% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 70% | 1 day ago 72% | 1 day ago 71% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 88% | N/A |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 60% | 3 days ago 62% | 3 days ago 64% |
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SPGM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, SPGM has been loosely correlated with AVGO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 55% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if SPGM jumps, then AVGO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To SPGM | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPGM | 100% | -0.49% | ||
| AVGO - SPGM | 55% Loosely correlated | -0.48% | ||
| TSM - SPGM | 54% Loosely correlated | +1.49% | ||
| AAPL - SPGM | 54% Loosely correlated | -0.14% | ||
| AMZN - SPGM | 54% Loosely correlated | -0.95% | ||
| MSFT - SPGM | 53% Loosely correlated | +0.66% | ||
More | ||||
URTH and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, URTH has been loosely correlated with AVGO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 58% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if URTH jumps, then AVGO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To URTH | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| URTH | 100% | -0.49% | ||
| AVGO - URTH | 58% Loosely correlated | -0.48% | ||
| MSFT - URTH | 57% Loosely correlated | +0.66% | ||
| AAPL - URTH | 57% Loosely correlated | -0.14% | ||
| AMZN - URTH | 56% Loosely correlated | -0.95% | ||
| META - URTH | 55% Loosely correlated | -0.96% | ||
More | ||||
VT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, VT has been loosely correlated with JPM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 45% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if VT jumps, then JPM could also see price increases.
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| Federated Hermes MDT Large Cap Core ETF (FLCC) | |||