Abhoy Sarkar's Avatar
published in Blogs
Jul 17, 2020

Tesla (TSLA, $1,505.09) price target doubled by Credit Suisse analysts

Tesla got a major price target boost from Credit Suisse analysts.

Credit Suisse  analysts doubled their price target on the electric carmaker’s shares to $1,400 from $700.  Analysts Dan Levy and AJ Denham mentioned in a note that they see “multiple factors” causing the recent sharp run-up in Tesla stock,  including “EV euphoria” and short-sale covering and buying by momentum investors. The analysts cited tailwinds like Tesla’s Battery Day (when the company will unveil a long-lasting battery) and possibly positive earnings to be reported for the second-quarter as reasons behind their optimism for the stock.

However, Levy  and Denham  cautioned that Tesla shares at current levels are “priced to perfection, we believe any material near-term negative datapoint could lead to a drawdown”.

According to Tickeron, TSLA's Aroon indicator reaches into Uptrend on July 16, 2020

For traders, this could mean going long on the ticker or exploring call options in the next month. In 219 of 277 cases where TSLA Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 79%.

Current price $1505.09 is above $882.96 the highest support line found by A.I. Throughout the month of 06/15/20 - 07/16/20, the price experienced a +51% Uptrend. During the week of 07/09/20 - 07/16/20, the stock enjoyed a +8% Uptrend growth.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator exceeded the 0 level on June 25, 2020. Traders may consider buying the ticker or exploring call options. In 48 of 67 cases where the ticker's Momentum Indicator exceeded 0, its price rose further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 72%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) just turned positive. Considering data from situations where TSLA's MACD histogram became positive, in 32 of 42 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 76%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 11 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

The Stochastic Indicator may be shifting from an Uptrend to a Downtrend. In 45 of 63 cases where TSLA's Stochastic indicator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 71%.

The higher Bollinger Band was broken -- a price fall is expected as the ticker heads toward the middle band, which invites the trader to consider selling or shorting the ticker, or exploring put options. In 30 of 43 cases where TSLA's price broke its higher Bollinger Band, its price dropped further during the following month. The odds of a continued Downtrend are 70%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Tickeron has a positive outlook on this ticker and predicts a further increase by more than 4.00% within the next month with a likelihood of 41%. During the last month, the daily ratio of advancing to declining volumes was 2 to 1.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 3 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 34 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TSLA’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 95 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: TSLA's P/B Ratio (56.59) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (12.21). P/E Ratio (0.00) is within average values for comparable stocks, (143.05). TSLA's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.00) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.05). Dividend Yield (0.00) settles around the average of (2.02) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.01) is also within normal values, averaging (6.73).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 97 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

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