SRTY
Price
$27.10
Change
-$0.08 (-0.29%)
Updated
Oct 22 closing price
Net Assets
74.66M
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
TWM
Price
$25.01
Change
+$0.58 (+2.37%)
Updated
Oct 23, 11:27 AM (EDT)
Net Assets
63.63M
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
TZA
Price
$49.93
Change
+$1.80 (+3.74%)
Updated
Oct 23, 11:27 AM (EDT)
Net Assets
249.85M
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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SRTY or TWM or TZA

SRTY vs TWM vs TZA Comparison Chart in %
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A.I.Advisor
Oct 02, 2026

Which ETF would AI Choose? ProShares UltraPro Short Russell2000 (SRTY) vs. ProShares UltraShort Russell2000 (TWM) vs. Direxion Daily Small Cap Bear 3X ETF (TZA)

Key Takeaways

  • SRTY, TWM, and TZA all seek daily inverse exposure to the Russell 2000 Index but differ in leverage levels: SRTY and TZA target -3x while TWM targets -2x, resulting in distinct volatility and compounding profiles over multi-day periods.
  • Expense ratios are closely aligned at 0.95% for SRTY and TWM (ProShares) and 0.99% for TZA (Direxion), with structural costs primarily driven by derivatives and financing rather than traditional equity management fees.
  • Holdings consist predominantly of swaps, futures, and short-term Treasury instruments rather than individual equities, yielding minimal traditional diversification and high sensitivity to daily index movements and financing rates.
  • All three ETFs employ daily reset mechanisms that can lead to significant tracking divergence from longer-term index performance, particularly in volatile or trending small-cap markets.
  • Risk profiles scale with leverage, positioning TWM as a moderate inverse vehicle and SRTY/TZA as higher-beta instruments suited for short-term tactical hedging or directional bets on small-cap weakness.
  • Relative positioning favors structures with tighter expense control and swap counterparty stability, though all remain niche tools for sophisticated investors monitoring Russell 2000 dynamics.

Introduction

These three exchange-traded funds provide leveraged inverse exposure to the same underlying benchmark, the Russell 2000 Index, which tracks approximately 2,000 small-capitalization U.S. companies. SRTY, TWM, and TZA compete within the inverse small-cap equity category and represent tiered risk exposures through differing leverage multiples. Investors often compare them when seeking short-term hedges or tactical positions tied to small-cap performance, as their structural similarities allow clear differentiation based on leverage intensity, cost, and issuer methodology.

ProShares UltraPro Short Russell2000 (SRTY) Overview

SRTY seeks daily investment results, before fees and expenses, corresponding to three times the inverse (-3x) of the daily performance of the Russell 2000 Index. The fund primarily uses total return swaps, futures contracts, and short-term U.S. Treasury instruments to achieve its objective. It holds a limited number of derivative positions, typically around a dozen instruments, with no direct equity ownership. The net expense ratio stands at 0.95%. As a ProShares product, SRTY resets exposure daily and is structured as a non-diversified fund, emphasizing short-term tactical use rather than long-term buy-and-hold strategies.

ProShares UltraShort Russell2000 (TWM) Overview

TWM targets daily results equal to two times the inverse (-2x) of the Russell 2000 Index performance. Like its ProShares counterpart, the fund relies on swaps and futures for exposure while maintaining holdings in Treasury bills and cash equivalents. It features a comparable low count of derivative contracts and carries a net expense ratio of 0.95%. TWM offers a less aggressive leverage profile than -3x alternatives, potentially resulting in moderated daily volatility for investors seeking inverse small-cap exposure without maximum amplification.

Direxion Daily Small Cap Bear 3X ETF (TZA) Overview

TZA pursues daily investment results, before fees and expenses, of three times the inverse (-3x) of the Russell 2000 Index. Managed by Direxion, the ETF utilizes swaps, futures, and short positions, with holdings concentrated in a small number of derivative and Treasury instruments. The net expense ratio is 0.99%. TZA shares the daily reset characteristic common to leveraged inverse products and maintains a non-diversified structure focused on precise daily benchmark matching rather than broad sector or thematic allocation.

Industry and Thematic Landscape

The Russell 2000 Index reflects the performance of U.S. small-capitalization companies across sectors including healthcare, industrials, technology, and financials. Macroeconomic drivers such as interest rate policy, domestic economic growth, and credit conditions significantly influence small-cap valuations. Capital flows into or out of small-cap segments often respond to shifts in risk appetite, regulatory changes affecting smaller firms, and earnings trends among domestically oriented businesses. Geopolitical developments and supply-chain dynamics can also affect the broader small-cap environment, creating periods of heightened volatility that inverse leveraged products are designed to address on a short-term basis.

Performance and Positioning Comparison

In recent market cycles, the differing leverage levels have produced distinct volatility patterns, with -3x products exhibiting greater daily sensitivity to Russell 2000 movements than the -2x alternative. Over recent weeks and months, drawdowns and rebounds have varied in magnitude according to leverage, while daily resets introduce compounding effects that can cause longer-term results to diverge from simple multiples of index returns. Concentration in derivative instruments heightens exposure to counterparty and financing risks across all three ETFs, though structural similarities in benchmark targeting limit differentiation beyond leverage and minor expense variations.

AI Screener

Tickeron’s AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps identify trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Based on structural strength, TWM’s moderate -2x leverage combined with the lowest expense ratio among the three offers a relatively balanced risk-adjusted profile for inverse small-cap exposure. SRTY and TZA provide higher amplification but at elevated volatility and marginally higher cost in the case of TZA. Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a probabilistic preference to TWM for investors seeking inverse positioning with moderated daily beta and efficient cost structure within the observed parameters.

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations
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SUMMARIES
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for SRTY with price predictions
Oct 22, 2026

SRTY's RSI Oscillator recovers from overbought zone

The 10-day RSI Oscillator for SRTY moved out of overbought territory on October 15, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 25 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In 24 of the 25 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 53 of 57 cases where SRTY's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SRTY turned negative on October 21, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 42 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 41 of the 42 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 90%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SRTY declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

SRTY broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 16, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

Following a +7.19% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SRTY advanced for three days, in 246 of 269 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 166 of 182 cases where SRTY Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 90%.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for TWM with price predictions
Oct 22, 2026

TWM's RSI Indicator recovers from overbought zone

The 10-day RSI Indicator for TWM moved out of overbought territory on October 19, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 28 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In 26 of the 28 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 52 of 57 cases where TWM's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TWM turned negative on October 21, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 41 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 40 of the 41 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 90%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TWM declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

TWM broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 16, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

Following a +4.79% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TWM advanced for three days, in 236 of 265 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 89%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 176 of 199 cases where TWM Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 88%.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for TZA with price predictions
Oct 22, 2026

TZA's RSI Oscillator recovers from overbought zone

The 10-day RSI Indicator for TZA moved out of overbought territory on October 15, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 26 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In 24 of the 26 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 51 of 55 cases where TZA's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TZA turned negative on October 21, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 41 of the 43 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 90%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TZA declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

TZA broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 16, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

Following a +7.20% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TZA advanced for three days, in 249 of 273 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 167 of 185 cases where TZA Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 90%.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
SRTYTWMTZA
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
N/A
N/A
N/A
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
90%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
90%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 10 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 10 days ago
89%
Bullish Trend 10 days ago
90%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
90%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
88%
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
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SRTY
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
TWM
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
TZA
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
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