AAOI Applied Optoelectronics Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis
Applied Optoelectronics Inc is a provider of fiber-optic networking products, for four networking end-markets; internet data center, CATV, telecom, and FTTH... Show more
AAOI is expected to report earnings to rise 363.83% to 27 cents per share on November 05
Q3'26
Est.
$0.28
Q2'26
Beat
by $0.04
Q1'26
Missed
by $0.02
Q4'25
Beat
by $0.10
Q3'25
Missed
by $0.08
The last earnings report on August 06 showed earnings per share of 5 cents, beating the estimate of 1 cents. With 7.95M shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 11.47B.
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AAOI has been loosely correlated with LITE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 65% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if AAOI jumps, then LITE could also see price increases.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for AAOI turned positive on August 03, 2026. Looking at past instances where AAOI's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where AAOI's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 25 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on August 03, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on AAOI as a result. In of 86 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a +3 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AAOI advanced for three days, in of 271 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 3 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AAOI declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
AAOI broke above its upper Bollinger Band on August 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for AAOI entered a downward trend on August 06, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. AAOI’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (6.878) is normal, around the industry mean (7.449). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (69.137). AAOI's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is very low in comparison to the industry average of (1.191). AAOI has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.016). P/S Ratio (16.584) is also within normal values, averaging (14.863).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 75, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
