ADP (ADP, $220.80) beats fiscal Q2 earnings expectations
Automatic Data Processing, Inc. posted second-quarter fiscal 2023 earnings that exceeded analysts’ expectations.
The human resources management company’s adjusted earnings per share for the quarter grew +19% from the year-ago quarter to $1.96, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.5% (according to Zacks Equity Research).
Total revenues were up +9.1% year-over-year to $4.4 billion, topping the Zacks Consensus Estimate by +0.3%.
Employer Services’ revenues rose +8% year-over-year on a reported basis and +10% on an organic constant-currency basis. Pays per control climbed +5% from the year-ago fiscal quarter.
PEO Services’ revenues grew +11% year over year to $1.5 billion. Average worksite employees paid by PEO Services rose +8% year-over-year to 711,000.
Interest on funds held for clients grew +77% to $187 million. Average client funds balance increased 4% to $33.4 billion, while average interest yield on client funds widened 90 basis points to 2.2%.
For fiscal 2023, ADP reaffirmed expectations of revenues growth of 8-9%. Adjusted EPS is still expected to increase 15-17%. Adjusted effective tax rate is estimated to be around 23%.
The company projects Employer Services revenues growth of about 8-9%, higher than prior outlook of 7-8%. It continues to expect PEO Services revenues to grow at 8-9% rate vs. prior estimate of 10-12%.
ADP in upward trend: 10-day moving average broke above 50-day moving average on January 29, 2025
The 10-day moving average for ADP crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on January 29, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on January 15, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on ADP as a result. In of 105 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ADP just turned positive on January 15, 2025. Looking at past instances where ADP's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
ADP moved above its 50-day moving average on January 27, 2025 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ADP advanced for three days, in of 334 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 305 cases where ADP Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for ADP moved out of overbought territory on February 07, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 40 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 40 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 4 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ADP declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
ADP broke above its upper Bollinger Band on February 19, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
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Fundamental Analysis Ratings
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
