AGIO Agios Pharmaceuticals Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

Momentum Indicator for AGIO turns negative, indicating new downward trend

AGIO saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on December 08, 2023. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 97 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 97 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 65 cases where AGIO's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

AGIO moved below its 50-day moving average on December 08, 2023 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AGIO declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

AGIO broke above its upper Bollinger Band on December 01, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for AGIO entered a downward trend on November 07, 2023. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for AGIO just turned positive on November 01, 2023. Looking at past instances where AGIO's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The 10-day moving average for AGIO crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on December 07, 2023. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AGIO advanced for three days, in of 274 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.399) is normal, around the industry mean (20.733). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (137.900). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (7.704). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.035) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (51.282) is also within normal values, averaging (330.425).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. AGIO’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. AGIO’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 95, placing this stock worse than average.