AOSL Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

Momentum Indicator for AOSL turns negative, indicating new downward trend

AOSL saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on March 28, 2025. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 85 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 85 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 50-day moving average for AOSL moved below the 200-day moving average on March 10, 2025. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AOSL declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for AOSL entered a downward trend on April 02, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where AOSL's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 25 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 54 cases where AOSL's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for AOSL just turned positive on March 17, 2025. Looking at past instances where AOSL's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 49 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AOSL advanced for three days, in of 311 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

AOSL may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.657) is normal, around the industry mean (9.538). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (69.553). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (2.390). AOSL has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.022). P/S Ratio (0.874) is also within normal values, averaging (33.370).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. AOSL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. AOSL’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 75, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.