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APP
Stock ticker:
NASDAQ
AS OF
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Price
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Capitalization
8.63B

APP Applovin Corp Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

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A.I.Advisor
a Summary for APP with price predictions
08:00 PM EDT Jun 01, 2023

APP's RSI Oscillator remains in overbought zone for 15 days

The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 26 cases where APP's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on June 02, 2023. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on APP as a result. In of 34 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for APP turned negative on June 01, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 19 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 19 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where APP declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

APP broke above its upper Bollinger Band on May 11, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where APP advanced for three days, in of 136 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 93 cases where APP Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. APP’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.545) is normal, around the industry mean (31.480). P/E Ratio (416.667) is within average values for comparable stocks, (167.650). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.697) is also within normal values, averaging (4.158). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.068) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.174) is also within normal values, averaging (75.604).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. APP’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 89, placing this stock worse than average.

A.I.Advisor
published Highlights

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:MSFT), Oracle Corp (NYSE:ORCL), Salesforce (NYSE:CRM), Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE), Intuit (NASDAQ:INTU), SERVICENOW (NYSE:NOW), Uber Technologies (NYSE:UBER), Shopify (NYSE:SHOP), Palo Alto Networks (NASDAQ:PANW), Activision Blizzard (NASDAQ:ATVI).

Industry description

Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Packaged Software Industry is 7.87B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 291 to 2.49T. MSFT holds the highest valuation in this group at 2.49T. The lowest valued company is BLGI at 291.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was 2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 12%, and the average quarterly price growth was 23%. QGSI experienced the highest price growth at 234%, while LIQQF experienced the biggest fall at -80%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was 17%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 37% and the average quarterly volume growth was 28%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 52
P/E Growth Rating: 72
Price Growth Rating: 52
SMR Rating: 83
Profit Risk Rating: 89
Seasonality Score: 8 (-100 ... +100)
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A.I. Advisor
published Earnings

APP is expected to report earnings to fall 834.00% to 7 cents per share on August 09

Applovin Corp APP Stock Earnings Reports
Q2'23
Est.
$0.07
Q1'23
Missed
by $0.09
Q4'22
Missed
by $0.26
Q3'22
Missed
by $0.06
Q2'22
Missed
by $0.22
The last earnings report on May 10 showed earnings per share of 0 cents, missing the estimate of 7 cents. With 2.72M shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 8.63B.
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

Industry PackagedSoftware

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
N/A
Address
1100 Page Mill Road
Phone
+1 800 839-9646
Employees
810
Web
https://www.applovin.com
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APP and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, APP has been closely correlated with U. These tickers have moved in lockstep 75% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if APP jumps, then U could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To APP
1D Price
Change %
APP100%
-0.08%
U - APP
75%
Closely correlated
+2.92%
ESTC - APP
66%
Loosely correlated
+0.88%
HUBS - APP
65%
Loosely correlated
+1.23%
S - APP
63%
Loosely correlated
-35.14%
TTD - APP
63%
Loosely correlated
+1.34%
More

Groups containing APP

Correlation & Price change

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To APP
1D Price
Change %
APP100%
-0.08%
APP
(undefined stocks)
73%
Closely correlated
+1.30%