ARLO Stock Arlo Technologies (ARLO, $12.84) Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) Histogram turned negative on September 25, 2026
at Tickeron.com
This is a Bearish indicator signaling ARLO's price could decline from here. Traders may explore shorting the stock or put options. A.I. dvisor identified 44 similar cases where ARLO's MACD histogram became negative, and of them led to successful outcomes. Odds of Success:
ARLO sees its 50-day moving average cross bearishly below its 200-day moving average
The 50-day moving average for ARLO moved below the 200-day moving average on October 12, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 25, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ARLO as a result. In 64 of 86 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 74%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ARLO turned negative on September 25, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 31 of the 43 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 72%.
ARLO moved below its 50-day moving average on September 15, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ARLO declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 76%.
The Aroon Indicator for ARLO entered a downward trend on October 14, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.
Following a +3.77% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ARLO advanced for three days, in 240 of 300 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.
ARLO may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 44 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 62 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 78, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 73 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. ARLO’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 81 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (8.554) is normal, around the industry mean (9.236). P/E Ratio (45.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (38.255). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.509) is also within normal values, averaging (1.212). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.009) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.553) is also within normal values, averaging (2.201).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.