ARM Arm Holdings plc Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

ARM in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on December 17, 2024

ARM moved below its 50-day moving average on December 17, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 5 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 19 cases where ARM's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The 10-day moving average for ARM crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on November 13, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 2 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ARM declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

ARM broke above its upper Bollinger Band on December 12, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on December 11, 2024. You may want to consider a long position or call options on ARM as a result. In of 21 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ARM just turned positive on December 02, 2024. Looking at past instances where ARM's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 8 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ARM advanced for three days, in of 80 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 71 cases where ARM Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ARM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (23.866) is normal, around the industry mean (11.034). ARM has a moderately high P/E Ratio (225.765) as compared to the industry average of (58.946). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.299) is also within normal values, averaging (3.172). ARM has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.021). P/S Ratio (40.984) is also within normal values, averaging (47.745).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ARM’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 68, placing this stock worse than average.