Applied Materials (AMAT) and Arm Holdings (ARM) represent two distinct yet interconnected segments of the semiconductor value chain, both positioned to benefit from accelerating artificial intelligence adoption. Equipment suppliers like AMAT provide the tools needed to manufacture advanced chips, while architecture licensors like ARM enable the design of energy-efficient processors used across AI workloads. This comparison is particularly relevant for traders and investors seeking exposure to AI-driven growth through companies with different business models, risk profiles, and sensitivities to capital expenditure cycles in the semiconductor industry.
Applied Materials, Inc. designs and manufactures equipment used in the fabrication of semiconductors, display products, and related technologies. The company’s solutions support key processes including deposition, etching, and inspection. In recent weeks, AMAT shares have traded with notable volatility following an all-time high near $739 in late June 2026. As of the July 24, 2026 close, the stock stood at approximately $536.25 after a 4.72% single-day decline amid broader market rotation in technology names. Year-to-date returns remain robust at over 109%. Recent analyst commentary has highlighted sustained demand for AI-related chipmaking tools, with multiple firms raising price targets during July. The company is scheduled to report fiscal third-quarter results on August 13, 2026.
Arm Holdings plc develops and licenses processor architectures widely used in mobile devices, data centers, automotive systems, and increasingly in artificial intelligence applications. The company generates revenue primarily through licensing fees and royalties. In recent market activity, ARM shares have consolidated after extraordinary gains, closing at approximately $260.01 on July 24, 2026, following an 8.14% decline that day. The stock rose more than 224% through the first half of 2026, reaching a market capitalization near $350 billion at one point. Investor attention centers on the company’s upcoming fiscal first-quarter 2027 earnings release on July 29, 2026, which is expected to provide updated guidance on royalty growth and AI-related design wins.
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AMAT and ARM differ substantially in business models. AMAT generates revenue from selling complex manufacturing equipment with exposure to cyclical wafer fabrication equipment (WFE) spending, while ARM earns high-margin licensing and royalty income with lower capital intensity. Growth drivers for both center on AI infrastructure buildout, yet AMAT benefits more directly from near-term capital expenditure by chipmakers, whereas ARM captures longer-term design adoption across end markets. Recent momentum has favored ARM on a year-to-date basis, though AMAT has shown greater stability in analyst target revisions during July. Risk factors include valuation compression for ARM due to elevated multiples and execution variability in equipment orders for AMAT. Market sentiment remains constructive for both amid AI tailwinds, tempered by sector-wide volatility.
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, earnings stability, and relative positioning within the AI supply chain, Tickeron’s AI framework would currently assign a higher probabilistic preference to AMAT. The company’s diversified equipment portfolio, recent record results, and more measured valuation profile relative to growth expectations support a steadier trajectory in the current environment. ARM continues to offer compelling long-term exposure through its licensing model, yet elevated volatility and upcoming earnings introduce a wider range of potential outcomes. This assessment reflects analytical probabilities rather than definitive forecasts.
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It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AMAT’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileARM’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AMAT’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while ARM’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
AMAT (@Electronic Production Equipment) experienced а +1.34% price change this week, while ARM (@Semiconductors) price change was -2.80% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Production Equipment industry was +2.28%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +1.08%, and the average quarterly price growth was +46.99%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +1.82%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -4.27%, and the average quarterly price growth was +45.24%.
AMAT is expected to report earnings on Nov 12, 2026.
ARM is expected to report earnings on Nov 04, 2026.
The electronic production equipment industry makes equipment used to produce semiconductors. Such equipment includes wafer fabrication, plasma etching and photo-resist processing equipment. The industry also makes chemical vapor deposition processing systems and photomasks, which are high-purity quartz plates that contain patterns to define integrated circuits layouts. Applied Materials, Inc., Lam Research Corporation, and KLA-Tencor Corporation are examples of electronic production equipment manufacturing companies.
@Semiconductors (+1.82% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
| AMAT | ARM | AMAT / ARM | |
| Capitalization | 424B | 298B | 142% |
| EBITDA | 11.1B | 1.16B | 960% |
| Gain YTD | 108.519 | 154.917 | 70% |
| P/E Ratio | 50.29 | 284.34 | 18% |
| Revenue | 29B | 5.16B | 562% |
| Total Cash | 8.24B | 3.89B | 212% |
| Total Debt | 7.27B | 464M | 1,566% |
AMAT | ||
|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 61 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 68 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 36 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 25 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 37 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 8 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 75 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
| AMAT | ARM | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 89% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 79% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 83% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 80% | 1 day ago 84% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 76% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 66% | 1 day ago 81% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 78% | 1 day ago 87% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 64% | 12 days ago 79% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 89% | 1 day ago 90% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 67% | 1 day ago 84% |
| 1 Day | |||
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| MFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| ATHAX | 17.84 | 0.09 | +0.51% |
| American Century Heritage A | |||
| BEGIX | 19.11 | N/A | N/A |
| Sterling Capital Equity Income Instl | |||
| PUMYX | 15.04 | N/A | N/A |
| PACE Small/Medium Co Growth Equity Y | |||
| LVAVX | 17.24 | N/A | N/A |
| LSV Conservative Value Equity Investor | |||
| VESGX | 56.48 | N/A | N/A |
| Vanguard Global ESG Select Stk Admiral | |||
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AMAT has been closely correlated with LRCX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 89% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if AMAT jumps, then LRCX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To AMAT | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMAT | 100% | -2.48% | ||
| LRCX - AMAT | 89% Closely correlated | +3.34% | ||
| KLAC - AMAT | 87% Closely correlated | +0.54% | ||
| ONTO - AMAT | 81% Closely correlated | +0.14% | ||
| NVMI - AMAT | 81% Closely correlated | +1.38% | ||
| ASML - AMAT | 79% Closely correlated | +2.09% | ||
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A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ARM has been closely correlated with LRCX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 74% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ARM jumps, then LRCX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ARM | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARM | 100% | +2.49% | ||
| LRCX - ARM | 74% Closely correlated | +3.34% | ||
| KLAC - ARM | 74% Closely correlated | +0.54% | ||
| AMAT - ARM | 73% Closely correlated | -2.48% | ||
| FORM - ARM | 73% Closely correlated | +2.25% | ||
| VECO - ARM | 66% Closely correlated | +0.60% | ||
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