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AMAT vs ARM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Applied Materials (AMAT) vs. Arm Holdings (ARM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Applied Materials (AMAT) supplies the equipment used to manufacture semiconductors, while Arm Holdings (ARM) designs and licenses chip architectures and intellectual property (IP).
- Both stocks have pulled back sharply in recent weeks as investors reassess the pace of artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure spending.
- AMAT trades at a comparatively lower valuation and pays a dividend, while ARM carries a premium valuation and higher volatility.
- Tickeron AI Verdict: AMAT is the favored ticker in this comparison, reflecting stronger relative stability and more diversified revenue.
- For deeper coverage, explore AMAT Major News, AMAT Today's Price Move, ARM Major News, and ARM Today's Price Move.
- To see which automated strategies are best suited to current market conditions, explore the Trending AI Robots.
Introduction
Investors comparing AMAT and ARM are weighing two very different ways to participate in the semiconductor and AI economy. Applied Materials is a "picks-and-shovels" equipment supplier whose tools build nearly every advanced chip, while Arm Holdings licenses the processor designs that power smartphones, data centers, and a growing share of AI infrastructure. Both names are closely tied to the same demand cycle, yet they differ sharply in business model, valuation, and volatility. This comparison is most relevant for traders and investors seeking to understand relative performance, market positioning, and which exposure better fits the current environment.
AMAT Overview and Recent Performance
Applied Materials is one of the world's largest suppliers of semiconductor manufacturing equipment, providing deposition, etching, and polishing systems used in wafer fabrication. Its Semiconductor Systems segment accounts for roughly three-quarters of revenue, while its Applied Global Services (AGS) unit provides recurring maintenance and software. This diversification across equipment, services, and software gives AMAT a relatively broad revenue base.
In recent weeks, the stock has experienced a significant pullback despite strong reported results. The company recently guided toward a record quarter, driven by demand for advanced packaging and high-bandwidth memory (HBM), the specialized memory used in AI accelerators. Sentiment, however, has been pressured by concerns about the sustainability of AI data-center spending, tighter U.S. export controls on China, and softer commentary from some equipment peers. As a result, AMAT has declined substantially from its 52-week high even as analysts maintain broadly constructive price targets.
ARM Overview and Recent Performance
Arm Holdings designs and licenses central processing unit (CPU) architectures and related semiconductor IP, earning revenue through licensing fees and royalties on chips that use its technology. Headquartered in Cambridge, United Kingdom, Arm's energy-efficient designs underpin most smartphones and an expanding presence in cloud and AI server processors. The company's gross margin is exceptionally high, reflecting the asset-light nature of its licensing model.
Like its equipment counterpart, ARM has sold off sharply in recent market activity, giving back a substantial portion of its earlier gains as investors grew cautious about AI infrastructure timelines. The stock's elevated valuation and high beta—meaning it tends to move more than the broader market—have amplified both its rally and its recent decline. Ongoing licensing disputes and insider share sales have added to the headline-driven volatility around the name.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The two companies occupy different positions in the semiconductor value chain. AMAT is capital-intensive and cyclical, with revenue tied to how much chipmakers spend on wafer-fab equipment. Its services business adds a recurring, less-volatile component and supports a modest dividend. In contrast, ARM operates an asset-light licensing model with very high gross margins and strong long-term royalty potential as AI workloads spread across more devices.
On growth drivers, both stocks benefit from the same AI buildout, but their risk profiles differ. AMAT faces direct exposure to export-control policy and customer capital-expenditure cycles, while ARM faces litigation risk over licensing terms and a valuation that leaves less room for error. Market sentiment has turned cautious on both in recent weeks, yet AMAT trades at a materially lower earnings multiple with steadier profitability, whereas ARM offers faster top-line growth potential at a significantly higher valuation and volatility.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, stability, diversification, and relative positioning, Tickeron's AI would currently lean toward AMAT over ARM. Applied Materials' broader revenue mix, recurring services income, lower valuation, dividend, and comparatively lower volatility suggest a more stable profile in a market where sentiment toward AI spending has turned uncertain. Arm's licensing model offers compelling long-term growth, but its premium valuation and higher beta make its recent swings more pronounced. This verdict is probabilistic in nature, reflecting current data rather than a prediction of future returns.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AMAT is a Hold and ARM is a Hold.
AMAT's RSI Oscillator ascending out of oversold territory
The RSI Indicator for AMAT moved out of oversold territory on November 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 29 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 25 of the 29 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 86%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 45 of 56 cases where AMAT's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.
Following a +11.97% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AMAT advanced for three days, in 250 of 316 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.
AMAT may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 13, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on AMAT as a result. In 55 of 86 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 64%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for AMAT turned negative on October 13, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 30 of the 45 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 67%.
AMAT moved below its 50-day moving average on October 13, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for AMAT crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 19, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 9 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 64%.
The 50-day moving average for AMAT moved below the 200-day moving average on November 09, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AMAT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 66%.
The Aroon Indicator for AMAT entered a downward trend on November 10, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 25 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 43 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 60 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 76, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 63 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. AMAT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 74 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (10.304) is normal, around the industry mean (5.670). P/E Ratio (28.486) is within average values for comparable stocks, (68.795). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.967) is also within normal values, averaging (0.801). Dividend Yield (0.006) settles around the average of (0.009) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (10.764) is also within normal values, averaging (27.897).
ARM's Indicator enters downward trend
The Aroon Indicator for ARM entered a downward trend on November 10, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 108 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In 94 of the 108 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at 87%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ARM turned negative on October 07, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 27 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 22 of the 27 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 81%.
ARM moved below its 50-day moving average on October 09, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for ARM crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 6 of 8 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 75%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ARM declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 80%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where ARM's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 18 of 19 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 6 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +11.74% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ARM advanced for three days, in 182 of 212 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 86%.
ARM may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 59 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 60 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 64 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. ARM’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 95 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: ARM's P/B Ratio (21.610) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (5.443). ARM has a moderately high P/E Ratio (178.184) as compared to the industry average of (15.640). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.327) is also within normal values, averaging (3.803). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.014) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (50.761) is also within normal values, averaging (46.468).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ARM’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 79, placing this stock worse than average.
AMAT | ||
|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 12 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 74 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 60 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 25 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 63 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 43 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
| AMAT | ARM | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 86% | 2 days ago 90% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 86% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | N/A |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 6 days ago 81% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 77% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 82% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 79% | 3 days ago 86% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 66% | 7 days ago 80% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 82% | 2 days ago 88% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 87% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AMAT’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while ARM’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- AMAT’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- ARM’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AMAT’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while ARM’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AMAT’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 7 bearish.
- ARM’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
AMAT (@Electronic Production Equipment) experienced а -2.46% price change this week, while ARM (@Semiconductors) price change was -10.37% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Production Equipment industry was +6.98%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -17.32%, and the average quarterly price growth was -31.40%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +6.13%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -11.41%, and the average quarterly price growth was -25.58%.
Reported Earning Dates
AMAT is expected to report earnings on Nov 12, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electronic Production Equipment (+6.98% weekly)The electronic production equipment industry makes equipment used to produce semiconductors. Such equipment includes wafer fabrication, plasma etching and photo-resist processing equipment. The industry also makes chemical vapor deposition processing systems and photomasks, which are high-purity quartz plates that contain patterns to define integrated circuits layouts. Applied Materials, Inc., Lam Research Corporation, and KLA-Tencor Corporation are examples of electronic production equipment manufacturing companies.
@Semiconductors (+6.13% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
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ARM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ARM has been closely correlated with LRCX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 74% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ARM jumps, then LRCX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ARM | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARM | 100% | -2.58% | ||
| LRCX - ARM | 74% Closely correlated | +0.49% | ||
| KLAC - ARM | 74% Closely correlated | +1.06% | ||
| AMAT - ARM | 73% Closely correlated | +0.53% | ||
| FORM - ARM | 73% Closely correlated | +0.50% | ||
| AMD - ARM | 67% Closely correlated | +1.30% | ||
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