ARQT Arcutis Biotherapeutics Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis
Arcutis Biotherapeutics Inc is a commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on developing and commercializing treatments for dermatological diseases with high unmet medical needs... Show more
ARQT is expected to report earnings to fall 18.27% to 8 cents per share on October 29
Q3'26
Est.
$0.09
Q2'26
Beat
by $0.07
Q1'26
Missed
by $0.04
Q4'25
Beat
by $0.05
Q3'25
Beat
by $0.15
The last earnings report on August 05 showed earnings per share of 10 cents, beating the estimate of 3 cents. With 698.83K shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 3.25B.
A.I. Advisor
published General Information
General Information
a company, which engages in the development and commercialization of treatments for dermatological diseases.
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ARQT has been loosely correlated with XNCR. These tickers have moved in lockstep 42% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if ARQT jumps, then XNCR could also see price increases.
ARQT sees its 50-day moving average cross bullishly above its 200-day moving average
The 50-day moving average for ARQT moved above the 200-day moving average on July 31, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 65 cases where ARQT's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ARQT advanced for three days, in of 297 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
ARQT may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for ARQT moved out of overbought territory on July 10, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 28 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 28 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on July 31, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ARQT as a result. In of 86 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ARQT turned negative on July 13, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 45 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
ARQT moved below its 50-day moving average on August 13, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for ARQT crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on August 13, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ARQT declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for ARQT entered a downward trend on August 13, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ARQT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (14.728) is normal, around the industry mean (20.281). ARQT has a moderately high P/E Ratio (117.409) as compared to the industry average of (25.508). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (3.845). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.019) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (7.348) is also within normal values, averaging (437.072).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ARQT’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 93, placing this stock worse than average.
