ASPN stock forecast, quote, news & analysis
Aspen Aerogels Inc is an aerogel technology company that designs, develops, and manufactures high-performance aerogel insulation used in the energy industrial and sustainable insulation markets... Show more
Aspen Aerogels (ASPN) Stock Analysis: Q3 Earnings Beat and Data Center Entry Reshape the Growth Story
Key Takeaways
- Aspen Aerogels shares have traded in a narrow range over the trailing 30 days, holding near $5.75 after a volatile stretch around the company's third-quarter earnings report.
- Q3 2026 revenue of $85.2 million rose 71% quarter-over-quarter, while adjusted EBITDA of $20 million came in above the high end of management's outlook.
- The company secured its first data center infrastructure order and generated initial battery energy storage revenue, signaling diversification beyond electric vehicles.
- European thermal barrier revenue reached a record, with seven OEMs across eight programs contributing to growth.
- Recovery at the East Providence, Rhode Island manufacturing facility continues, with a full staged restart targeted for the first half of 2027.
- Analyst consensus remains a Buy with an average price target of $7.75, though individual ratings and targets remain mixed.
- For deeper detail on valuation and earnings expectations, explore Aspen Aerogels' Price Targets, Earnings, and Forecast pages.
- Traders can also explore Trending AI Robots for automated strategies across the broader market.
Current Market Snapshot
Aspen Aerogels, Inc. trades on the New York Stock Exchange as a small-cap advanced-materials name with elevated volatility, reflecting its exposure to the electric-vehicle supply chain, energy infrastructure spending, and the emerging data center and battery storage markets. Over the trailing 30 days, the stock has moved only modestly, holding around $5.75 after fluctuating between roughly $4.80 and $5.75 in recent weeks. The shares carry a beta well above the broader market, and daily swings around earnings and facility-update announcements have been pronounced.
Investor sentiment has been mixed. Bullish analysts point to margin recovery, revenue diversification, and a cleaner balance sheet, while more cautious voices cite ongoing EV demand uncertainty and the costs tied to the East Providence facility incident. This tension has kept the stock range-bound despite a better-than-expected quarterly report.
Aspen Aerogels (ASPN) Business Overview and Competitive Position
Aspen Aerogels designs, develops, and manufactures aerogel-based insulation and thermal-management materials used across two primary segments: Thermal Barrier and Energy Industrial. Its PyroThin aerogel thermal barriers help prevent thermal runaway in electric-vehicle battery packs, while products such as Pyrogel, Cryogel, and Spaceloft serve energy, refining, petrochemical, subsea, LNG, and cryogenic applications.
The company is positioned as a technology leader in sustainability and electrification solutions, with a diversified customer base that includes General Motors (NYSE: GM) in North America and a growing roster of European EV original equipment manufacturers. Investors follow the stock for its leverage to EV adoption, energy security spending, and newer adjacent opportunities in battery storage and data center infrastructure.
Recent Developments Driving ASPN
Aspen Aerogels reported third-quarter 2026 results in early November that exceeded expectations. Revenue of $85.2 million grew 71% sequentially and 17% year over year, while adjusted EBITDA of $20 million surpassed the high end of guidance. Non-GAAP earnings per share of $0.11 compared favorably with a consensus estimate for a loss, and the quarter showed a return to positive adjusted EBITDA as higher volumes absorbed fixed manufacturing costs.
Beyond the headline results, management highlighted two diversification milestones: a first data center infrastructure order scheduled for fourth-quarter delivery and initial revenue from battery energy storage customers. European thermal barrier sales reached a quarterly record, with seven OEMs across eight programs, and the company raised its 2026 European revenue outlook to roughly $30 million while targeting $50 million to $60 million in 2027.
The East Providence, Rhode Island facility continues its phased recovery following an April 2026 incident. The company reported $146.5 million in cash and restricted cash at quarter end, with net cash slightly above $60 million, supporting its ability to manage incident-related costs and debt repayment.
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2026 Outlook and What Investors Should Watch
Looking ahead, investors are likely to monitor several factors. Management guided fourth-quarter revenue to $60 million to $75 million and adjusted EBITDA to $5 million to $13 million, implying a full-year 2026 revenue range of roughly $233 million to $248 million. Execution against this guidance, and the pace of General Motors production recovery, will be key near-term signposts.
The company's progress in data center infrastructure and battery energy storage will be closely watched as potential new growth engines, while the timing and cost of the East Providence restart remain important operational variables. Macroeconomic risks, including EV demand trends, tariff exposure, and energy-sector capital spending, could also influence sentiment. Analyst views remain divided, with a consensus Buy rating and an average price target near $7.75, but a wide spread between the lowest and highest individual targets.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
ASPN's Stochastic Oscillator is sitting in overbought zone for 3 days
The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ASPN declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 86%.
ASPN broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 11, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for ASPN entered a downward trend on November 06, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 09, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on ASPN as a result. In 71 of 86 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ASPN just turned positive on November 09, 2026. Looking at past instances where ASPN's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 34 of 39 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 87%.
ASPN moved above its 50-day moving average on November 09, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for ASPN crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on November 11, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 12 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
Following a +6.18% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ASPN advanced for three days, in 217 of 264 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 42 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 42 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ASPN’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 49 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.117) is normal, around the industry mean (2.284). P/E Ratio (-3.230) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-17.137). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (1.548). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.039) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.017) is also within normal values, averaging (48.960).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 98 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ASPN’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 84, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
a manufacturer of reinforced, nanoporous aerogel insulation products
Industry ChemicalsSpecialty