AVAV stock forecast, quote, news & analysis
AeroVironment Inc is a defense technology provider delivering integrated capabilities across air, land, sea, space, and cyber... Show more
Why AeroVironment (AVAV) Stock Is Up +11.8% in the Last 30 Days
Key Takeaways
- AeroVironment (AVAV) surged approximately 11.8% over the past 30 days, rebounding from a June low of $137.95 to trade near $154.20, driven largely by a blockbuster fiscal Q4 2026 earnings report.
- The company posted record quarterly revenue of $641.6 million, up 133% year-over-year, with non-GAAP EPS of $1.84 handily beating consensus estimates of $1.47.
- Funded backlog swelled to $1.2 billion and fiscal-year bookings reached $2.7 billion, signaling robust demand visibility across drone, counter-UAS, and space segments.
- Despite the powerful 30-day rebound, the stock remains down approximately 21% over the broader quarter, reflecting the lingering impact of a June accounting restatement that erased significant market value.
- Multiple Wall Street analysts reaffirmed Buy or Overweight ratings, though price targets were trimmed, with consensus targets around $267 still implying substantial potential upside.
AeroVironment (AVAV) Company Overview and Market Position
AeroVironment, Inc. is a defense technology leader headquartered in Arlington, Virginia, specializing in autonomous systems, precision strike and loitering munitions, counter-unmanned aircraft systems (counter-UAS), directed energy weapons, space-based platforms, and cyber and electronic warfare capabilities. The company is best known for its Switchblade family of loitering munitions, which have become a fixture of modern conflict, as well as its Raven and Puma small unmanned aerial systems widely deployed by the U.S. military and allied forces. Following its transformative acquisition of BlueHalo in May 2025 and Empirical Systems Aerospace in March 2026, AVAV now operates across two reporting segments: Autonomous Systems (AxS) and Space, Cyber and Directed Energy (SCDE). With a funded backlog of $1.2 billion, a national manufacturing footprint that includes facilities in Salt Lake City, Huntsville, and Dayton, and a growing portfolio of next-generation defense products, AeroVironment is positioned as a key beneficiary of rising global defense spending on drone and counter-drone technologies.
AeroVironment (AVAV) Stock Price Performance: Last 30 Days vs. Quarter
Over the last 30 days, AVAV stock climbed approximately 11.8%, moving from a closing price of $137.95 on June 26, 2026, to an intraday level of $154.20 as of July 27. The rally was anything but linear. Shares exploded higher following the June 29 earnings release, briefly touching $190.89 on July 2 before profit-taking and broader market pressure pulled the stock back into the $140–$160 range. In contrast, the quarterly picture remains negative: from April 27, 2026, when AVAV closed at $195.74, the stock has declined roughly 21%. The steepest damage occurred in June, when the company disclosed accounting errors in its fiscal third-quarter 10-Q filing that required a restatement, triggering a selloff that drove shares from around $204 on June 4 to as low as $135.20 by June 25. The subsequent 30-day rebound, while meaningful, has only partially recovered those losses.
What Drove AVAV Stock Price in the Last 30 Days
The primary catalyst behind the 30-day surge was AeroVironment's fiscal fourth-quarter 2026 earnings report, released after market close on June 29. The company delivered record quarterly revenue of $641.6 million, representing 133% year-over-year growth and exceeding Wall Street's consensus estimate of approximately $556 million. Non-GAAP adjusted earnings per share came in at $1.84, well ahead of the $1.47 analysts had projected, while adjusted EBITDA more than doubled to $140.1 million. Organic revenue growth, excluding acquisitions, was approximately 31% — a strong signal of underlying demand. Funded backlog reached $1.2 billion, up 65% from $726.6 million a year earlier, while full-year bookings hit $2.7 billion for a book-to-bill ratio of 1.4. The report, combined with management's fiscal 2027 revenue guidance of $2.125 billion to $2.225 billion and adjusted EBITDA guidance of $305 million to $325 million, reassured investors that the fundamental business remained intact despite the accounting misstep earlier in June. Additional positive developments included the U.S. Army's $117 million contract award for the P550 long-range reconnaissance drone, a new $43 million DoD contract for the PANTHER telemetry system, and the appointment of former Deputy Secretary of Defense William J. Lynn III to the company's board of directors.
What Drove AVAV Stock Performance Over the Last Quarter
The broader quarterly decline of approximately 21% was shaped primarily by a crisis of investor confidence in mid-to-late June. On June 22, AeroVironment disclosed in an SEC filing that its audit committee had identified errors in the carrying value used in the goodwill impairment calculation within its fiscal third-quarter 10-Q, resulting in an understatement of net loss by approximately $87.3 million. Although the company promptly filed corrected financials, the disclosure punctured what had been strong positive momentum following a May rally that had pushed shares above $214. The stock shed over 20% in June. Compounding the pressure, a securities class action lawsuit emerged with a lead-plaintiff deadline of July 27, adding legal uncertainty. While the blowout Q4 earnings report arrested the decline, the quarterly performance underscores how swiftly accounting-related credibility concerns can override strong operational results in the defense sector. Earlier in the quarter, AVAV had benefited from upbeat sentiment around its counter-UAS portfolio, the LOCUST directed-energy laser system, and multiple contract wins, but those gains were erased by the June accounting news.
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AVAV Stock Forecast Drivers: What Investors Should Watch Next
Looking ahead, several factors will shape AVAV's trajectory. The most immediate watchpoint is the resolution of the securities class action lawsuit, which could either lift an overhang or introduce financial liabilities. On the operational front, investors should monitor progress on the Salt Lake City manufacturing facility, which is expected to begin Switchblade production in spring 2027 with the potential to generate over $2 billion in annual output. The company's counter-UAS business — spanning Titan RF jamming systems, the LOCUST directed-energy laser, and the Freedom Eagle-1 kinetic interceptor — represents what management has described as a multi-billion-dollar opportunity over the next three to five years. Additionally, the federal budget process will play an outsized role: management has built fiscal 2027 guidance assuming a continuing resolution that delays funding until around March, meaning any earlier budget passage could provide upside. Analyst consensus remains overwhelmingly positive, with 20 of 24 covering firms maintaining Buy-equivalent ratings and an average price target near $267, though the stock's rich valuation — roughly 50 times forward adjusted earnings — leaves limited room for execution missteps.
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AVAV's RSI Oscillator ascends from oversold territory
The RSI Oscillator for AVAV moved out of oversold territory on June 30, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 27 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In of the 27 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on July 31, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on AVAV as a result. In of 85 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for AVAV just turned positive on July 22, 2026. Looking at past instances where AVAV's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 49 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
AVAV moved above its 50-day moving average on August 04, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +1 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AVAV advanced for three days, in of 296 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AVAV declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
AVAV broke above its upper Bollinger Band on August 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for AVAV entered a downward trend on July 07, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.944) is normal, around the industry mean (10.705). P/E Ratio (149.026) is within average values for comparable stocks, (64.198). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (8.304). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.016) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.196) is also within normal values, averaging (36.455).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. AVAV’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. AVAV’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 72, placing this stock worse than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
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General Information
a developer of unmanned aircraft and charging systems
Industry AerospaceDefense