AXP American Express Company Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

AXP in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on August 17, 2026

AXP moved below its 50-day moving average on August 17, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 29 of 34 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 85%.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on August 17, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on AXP as a result. In 44 of 74 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 59%.

The 10-day moving average for AXP crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on August 19, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 11 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 79%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AXP declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 64%.

The Aroon Indicator for AXP entered a downward trend on September 17, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.

The 50-day moving average for AXP moved above the 200-day moving average on August 12, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.

Following a +2.20% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AXP advanced for three days, in 213 of 331 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.

AXP may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 4 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 26 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. AXP’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 64 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 94 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (6.131) is normal, around the industry mean (4.196). P/E Ratio (18.882) is within average values for comparable stocks, (15.116). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.261) is also within normal values, averaging (2.224). Dividend Yield (0.011) settles around the average of (0.083) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.824) is also within normal values, averaging (5.901).