Black Diamond Therapeutics Inc is a clinical-stage oncology company developing MasterKey therapies that target families of oncogenic mutations in patients with cancer... Show more
Black Diamond Therapeutics (BDTX) has traded in a narrow band over the trailing 30 days, closing near $1.86 after finishing around $1.83 a month earlier — a gain of roughly 1.6%. That headline stability masks considerable session-to-session volatility, with the stock touching an intraday low near $1.60 in mid-October before rebounding above $2.00 later in the month. As a pre-revenue, clinical-stage oncology company, BDTX is driven primarily by clinical data readouts and regulatory milestones rather than fundamental earnings, which leaves the share price sensitive to news flow and shifts in investor sentiment around its lead program.
Black Diamond Therapeutics is a clinical-stage precision oncology company developing "MasterKey" therapies designed to target families of oncogenic mutations rather than single alterations. Its lead candidate, silevertinib (BDTX-1535), is an oral, covalent, brain-penetrant fourth-generation EGFR tyrosine kinase inhibitor. It selectively targets classical and more than 50 non-classical EGFR mutations in NSCLC and is also being evaluated in GBM, including newly diagnosed EGFRvIII-positive patients.
The company's platform emphasis on brain penetration and broad mutation coverage differentiates it from earlier-generation EGFR inhibitors. Beyond silevertinib, Black Diamond out-licensed its RAF MasterKey inhibitor BDTX-4933 to Servier, retaining milestone and royalty economics, and is exploring partnership options for the preclinical FGFR2/3 candidate BDTX-4876. The company's cash position of approximately $118.3 million as of March 31, 2026, provides runway into the second half of 2028, supporting continued clinical execution.
The most significant recent catalyst was Black Diamond's announcement that it would host an investor webcast to present updated Phase 2 data for silevertinib in frontline EGFR-mutant NSCLC, alongside FDA feedback supporting a clear Phase 3 path toward potential accelerated approval in first-line EGFR non-classical mutation NSCLC. Earlier disclosed data showed a 60% objective response rate and an 86% central nervous system objective response rate in frontline patients, with no new safety signals.
Around the same period, the company's third-quarter 2026 earnings were scheduled, keeping attention on operating expenses and cash runway. Analyst commentary has remained broadly constructive, with several firms maintaining Buy or Outperform ratings and price targets well above recent trading levels, though some notes have flagged sensitivity to the timing of updated clinical results. The combination of a pending data update, regulatory feedback, and a relatively low share price has kept trading active and sentiment closely tied to the silevertinib development timeline.
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Looking ahead, the primary driver for BDTX remains the clinical and regulatory progression of silevertinib. Investors are likely to focus on the updated Phase 2 data and the details of the FDA's feedback, which could clarify the design and timing of a pivotal trial and the pathway to potential accelerated approval in first-line EGFR non-classical mutation NSCLC. Additional milestones include the randomized Phase 2 trial in newly diagnosed EGFRvIII-positive GBM and any updates on partnership activity for BDTX-4876.
Key risks include clinical trial outcomes, regulatory decisions, potential financing needs, and competitive developments in the crowded EGFR inhibitor landscape. As with all clinical-stage biotechnology companies, the timing of data disclosures and regulatory interactions can drive meaningful swings in the share price, and outcomes remain uncertain until formally reported.
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The RSI Oscillator for BDTX moved out of oversold territory on October 14, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 34 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 29 of the 34 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 85%.
The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.
Following a +12.05% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BDTX advanced for three days, in 199 of 241 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 10, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on BDTX as a result. In 60 of 69 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 87%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for BDTX turned negative on November 10, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 42 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 38 of the 42 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 90%.
BDTX moved below its 50-day moving average on October 23, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BDTX declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.
BDTX broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 20, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for BDTX entered a downward trend on October 19, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 31 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.037) is normal, around the industry mean (3.498). P/E Ratio (-2.313) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-1.193). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (9.059). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (130.981) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.360) is also within normal values, averaging (440.869).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 80 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. BDTX’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 97 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 98 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. BDTX’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 93, placing this stock worse than average.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a biotechnology company that discovers and develops therapeutic agents to target unique oncogenic protein-isoforms.
Industry Biotechnology