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BDTX stock forecast, quote, news & analysis

Black Diamond Therapeutics Inc is a clinical-stage oncology company developing MasterKey therapies that target families of oncogenic mutations in patients with cancer... Show more

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A.I.Advisor
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A.I.Advisor
Nov 10, 2026

Black Diamond Therapeutics (BDTX) Stock Analysis: Silevertinib's Phase 3 Path Comes Into Focus

Key Takeaways

  • Black Diamond Therapeutics (BDTX) shares traded near $1.86 as of the most recent close, up roughly 1.6% from about $1.83 thirty days earlier, keeping the stock within a relatively tight trading range.
  • The stock has remained volatile intraday, ranging between approximately $1.60 and $2.14 over the past month, reflecting an event-driven, clinical-stage biotechnology profile.
  • The central catalyst is silevertinib (BDTX-1535), the company's brain-penetrant, fourth-generation EGFR inhibitor being developed for EGFR-mutant non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) and glioblastoma (GBM).
  • Black Diamond announced it would present updated Phase 2 silevertinib data and FDA feedback supporting a clear Phase 3 path toward potential accelerated approval in first-line EGFR non-classical mutation NSCLC.
  • The company reported approximately $118.3 million in cash, cash equivalents, and investments as of March 31, 2026, expected to fund operations into the second half of 2028.
  • Investors can review detailed Price Targets, Earnings, and Forecast data on dedicated pages for a fuller picture of the stock.
  • Readers can also explore Trending AI Robots to see how automated trading strategies are approaching opportunities across the market.

Current Market Snapshot

Black Diamond Therapeutics (BDTX) has traded in a narrow band over the trailing 30 days, closing near $1.86 after finishing around $1.83 a month earlier — a gain of roughly 1.6%. That headline stability masks considerable session-to-session volatility, with the stock touching an intraday low near $1.60 in mid-October before rebounding above $2.00 later in the month. As a pre-revenue, clinical-stage oncology company, BDTX is driven primarily by clinical data readouts and regulatory milestones rather than fundamental earnings, which leaves the share price sensitive to news flow and shifts in investor sentiment around its lead program.

Black Diamond Therapeutics (BDTX) Business Overview and Competitive Position

Black Diamond Therapeutics is a clinical-stage precision oncology company developing "MasterKey" therapies designed to target families of oncogenic mutations rather than single alterations. Its lead candidate, silevertinib (BDTX-1535), is an oral, covalent, brain-penetrant fourth-generation EGFR tyrosine kinase inhibitor. It selectively targets classical and more than 50 non-classical EGFR mutations in NSCLC and is also being evaluated in GBM, including newly diagnosed EGFRvIII-positive patients.

The company's platform emphasis on brain penetration and broad mutation coverage differentiates it from earlier-generation EGFR inhibitors. Beyond silevertinib, Black Diamond out-licensed its RAF MasterKey inhibitor BDTX-4933 to Servier, retaining milestone and royalty economics, and is exploring partnership options for the preclinical FGFR2/3 candidate BDTX-4876. The company's cash position of approximately $118.3 million as of March 31, 2026, provides runway into the second half of 2028, supporting continued clinical execution.

Recent Developments Driving BDTX

The most significant recent catalyst was Black Diamond's announcement that it would host an investor webcast to present updated Phase 2 data for silevertinib in frontline EGFR-mutant NSCLC, alongside FDA feedback supporting a clear Phase 3 path toward potential accelerated approval in first-line EGFR non-classical mutation NSCLC. Earlier disclosed data showed a 60% objective response rate and an 86% central nervous system objective response rate in frontline patients, with no new safety signals.

Around the same period, the company's third-quarter 2026 earnings were scheduled, keeping attention on operating expenses and cash runway. Analyst commentary has remained broadly constructive, with several firms maintaining Buy or Outperform ratings and price targets well above recent trading levels, though some notes have flagged sensitivity to the timing of updated clinical results. The combination of a pending data update, regulatory feedback, and a relatively low share price has kept trading active and sentiment closely tied to the silevertinib development timeline.

Trending AI Robots

Tickeron's Trending AI Robots page highlights a curated selection of automated trading strategies from a platform that offers hundreds of AI-powered bots trading thousands of tickers. Only the top-performing and most relevant robots are featured in this section, which spans strategies that differ in approach, holding timeframe, and performance metrics. Because each bot operates with its own risk profile and methodology, reviewing the available options can help traders identify approaches that align with their objectives. Those interested in systematic, data-driven trading may find it useful to explore the trending robots currently gaining attention.

2026 Outlook and What Investors Should Watch

Looking ahead, the primary driver for BDTX remains the clinical and regulatory progression of silevertinib. Investors are likely to focus on the updated Phase 2 data and the details of the FDA's feedback, which could clarify the design and timing of a pivotal trial and the pathway to potential accelerated approval in first-line EGFR non-classical mutation NSCLC. Additional milestones include the randomized Phase 2 trial in newly diagnosed EGFRvIII-positive GBM and any updates on partnership activity for BDTX-4876.

Key risks include clinical trial outcomes, regulatory decisions, potential financing needs, and competitive developments in the crowded EGFR inhibitor landscape. As with all clinical-stage biotechnology companies, the timing of data disclosures and regulatory interactions can drive meaningful swings in the share price, and outcomes remain uncertain until formally reported.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for BDTX with price predictions
Nov 11, 2026

BDTX's RSI Oscillator ascending out of oversold territory

The RSI Oscillator for BDTX moved out of oversold territory on October 14, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 34 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 29 of the 34 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 85%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.

Following a +12.05% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BDTX advanced for three days, in 199 of 241 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 10, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on BDTX as a result. In 60 of 69 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 87%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for BDTX turned negative on November 10, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 42 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 38 of the 42 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 90%.

BDTX moved below its 50-day moving average on October 23, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BDTX declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

BDTX broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 20, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for BDTX entered a downward trend on October 19, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 31 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.037) is normal, around the industry mean (3.498). P/E Ratio (-2.313) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-1.193). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (9.059). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (130.981) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.360) is also within normal values, averaging (440.869).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 80 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. BDTX’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 97 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 98 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. BDTX’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 93, placing this stock worse than average.

A.I.Advisor
published Highlights

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Moderna (NASDAQ:MRNA), Regeneron Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:REGN), Incyte Corp (NASDAQ:INCY), Exelixis (NASDAQ:EXEL), Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:ARWR), Sarepta Therapeutics (NASDAQ:SRPT), Novavax (NASDAQ:NVAX), Nektar Therapeutics (NASDAQ:NKTR), Inovio Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:INO), Cel-Sci Corp (ASE:CVM).

Industry description

Biotechnology involves genetic or protein engineering to produce medicines/therapies for treating and preventing ailments. The industry also provides crucial ingredients for diagnostics. This multi-billion-dollar industry is heavily focused on research and development, as companies attempt to continually come up with cutting-edge solutions for health. New discoveries for the treatment of diseases provide opportunities for growth for a company in this industry. Discoveries, however, must pass the regulatory approval from the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) before they can make it to markets. Amgen Inc., Gilead Sciences, Inc. and Celgene Corporation are examples of companies in this industry.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Biotechnology Industry is 2.23B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 58 to 138.67B. VRTX holds the highest valuation in this group at 138.67B. The lowest valued company is SEELQ at 58.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Biotechnology Industry was -0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -7%, and the average quarterly price growth was -14%. PEPG experienced the highest price growth at 115%, while KPTI experienced the biggest fall at -76%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Biotechnology Industry was -22%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 23% and the average quarterly volume growth was -37%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 50
P/E Growth Rating: 43
Price Growth Rating: 66
SMR Rating: 93
Profit Risk Rating: 93
Seasonality Score: -4 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

a biotechnology company that discovers and develops therapeutic agents to target unique oncogenic protein-isoforms.

Industry Biotechnology

Industry
N/A
Address
245 First Street
Phone
+1 617 252-0848
Employees
21
Web
https://www.blackdiamondtherapeutics.com
Black Diamond Therapeutics (BDTX) Stock Analysis: Silevertinib's Phase 3 Path Comes Into Focus