BURL stock forecast, quote, news & analysis
Burlington Stores Inc is an off-price retailer offering an extensive selection of in-season, fashion-focused merchandise, including women's ready-to-wear apparel, menswear, youth apparel, baby, beauty, footwear, accessories, home, toys, gifts, and coats... Show more
Burlington Stores (BURL) Stock Analysis: Awaiting First-Quarter Results
Key Takeaways
- Burlington Stores, an off-price retailer, is set to report first-quarter fiscal 2026 results on May 28, 2026, with investors focused on sales trends and guidance updates.
- Recent analyst activity includes JPMorgan raising its price target while maintaining an Overweight rating, alongside other Buy affirmations and one new Hold initiation.
- The company delivered strong fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results in March, with double-digit sales growth and raised full-year outlook.
- Expansion continues through new store openings, supporting long-term growth in the competitive off-price retail sector.
- Market sentiment remains generally constructive ahead of the earnings release, supported by consensus Moderate Buy ratings.
Current Market Snapshot
In recent weeks, Burlington Stores stock has experienced notable volatility amid broader retail sector movements and anticipation surrounding its upcoming quarterly update. Investor attention has centered on the company's ability to sustain momentum in comparable store sales and overall revenue growth within the off-price retail space. Analyst commentary has provided additional support, contributing to a generally positive backdrop despite mixed broader market conditions affecting consumer discretionary names. The stock's performance reflects ongoing interest in Burlington's expansion strategy and operational execution as it navigates evolving consumer spending patterns.
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Recent Developments Driving BURL Price Action
Several notable developments over the past 30 days have shaped sentiment around Burlington Stores. On May 14, the company announced the timing for its first-quarter fiscal 2026 earnings release, scheduled before market open on May 28, followed by a conference call at 8:30 a.m. ET. This announcement has heightened focus on upcoming results, with investors monitoring for updates on sales trends, margin performance, and any adjustments to full-year guidance.
Analyst actions provided additional catalysts. On May 18, JPMorgan maintained its Overweight rating on the stock and raised its price target to $374 from $365, reflecting continued confidence in the retailer's growth prospects. Bank of America Securities reaffirmed its Buy rating on May 14, while Bernstein issued a Buy rating on May 13. In a more cautious move, Truist Securities initiated coverage with a Hold rating on May 18. These updates have contributed to a consensus Moderate Buy rating environment, with average price targets in the mid-$350 range.
Operational news included reports of a new Burlington store opening in South Lubbock, underscoring the company's ongoing store expansion efforts. This aligns with prior guidance for approximately 110 net new store openings in fiscal 2026. Earlier in the period, the March 5 release of fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results continued to influence sentiment, as those figures showed 11% total sales growth in the quarter and 4% comparable store sales growth, alongside raised full-year 2026 guidance for 8%-10% total sales growth and adjusted earnings per share of $10.95 to $11.45.
Price action in recent trading sessions has reflected this mix of anticipation and supportive commentary, with periods of upward movement tied to analyst upgrades and positioning ahead of the earnings date. Broader retail sector dynamics, including comparisons to peers like Ross Stores, have also played a role in daily fluctuations.
2026 Outlook and Key Factors to Monitor
As Burlington Stores progresses through fiscal 2026, investors will track several core themes grounded in the company's stated plans. Store expansion remains a central driver, with guidance calling for roughly 110 net new locations to support long-term revenue growth in the off-price segment. Comparable store sales performance in the 1%-3% range represents another focal point, reflecting efforts to capture share amid shifting consumer preferences for value-oriented shopping.
Operational efficiency and margin trends will warrant attention, particularly adjusted EBIT margin expectations of flat to up 20 basis points. Macroeconomic factors such as consumer spending patterns, inflation impacts on merchandise costs, and potential tariff effects will influence execution. Competitive positioning versus other off-price retailers and broader apparel retail trends also merit monitoring. Capital expenditure plans, net of landlord allowances at approximately $875 million, highlight continued investment in the store base and infrastructure. These elements collectively frame the strategic backdrop for the year.
Disclaimer
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BURL's RSI Oscillator ascends from oversold territory
The RSI Oscillator for BURL moved out of oversold territory on May 20, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 28 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In of the 28 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.
BURL moved above its 50-day moving average on June 09, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for BURL crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on June 11, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BURL advanced for three days, in of 302 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 250 cases where BURL Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on June 25, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on BURL as a result. In of 97 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for BURL turned negative on June 25, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 43 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BURL declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
BURL broke above its upper Bollinger Band on June 11, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. BURL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: BURL's P/B Ratio (11.655) is slightly higher than the industry average of (3.595). BURL has a moderately high P/E Ratio (35.007) as compared to the industry average of (17.991). BURL's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.874). BURL has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.033). BURL's P/S Ratio (1.832) is slightly higher than the industry average of (0.760).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. BURL’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
a provider of men's, women's and children's apparel
Industry ApparelFootwearRetail