BURL stock forecast, quote, news & analysis
Burlington Stores Inc is an off-price retailer offering an extensive selection of in-season, fashion-focused merchandise, including women's ready-to-wear apparel, menswear, youth apparel, baby, beauty, footwear, accessories, home, toys, gifts, and coats... Show more
Why Burlington Stores (BURL) Stock Is Down -11.7% in the Last 30 Days
Key Takeaways
- Burlington Stores (BURL) fell roughly 11.7% over the 30 days through early November 2026, closing near $239.90 and extending a broader multi-month decline.
- The drop reflects persistent post-earnings pressure, a series of analyst price-target cuts, and downward revisions to earnings estimates.
- Management guided third-quarter adjusted EPS to $1.60–$1.70, below the prior-year $1.80 and below consensus, as tariff refunds are reinvested into lower prices.
- Comparable-store sales slowed to 2% in the fiscal second quarter from 5% a year earlier, signaling softer demand from budget-conscious shoppers.
- Technical momentum has weakened, with the 50-day moving average crossing below the 200-day moving average in a "death cross" pattern.
- Shares sit well below their 52-week high of $378.33 and near their 52-week low of $226.85.
- For additional detail, review Burlington's Price Targets, Earnings, and Forecast pages.
- Explore Trending AI Robots to see how AI-driven trading bots are positioning across the market.
Burlington Stores (BURL) Company Overview and Market Position
Burlington Stores, Inc. is a leading off-price retailer that sells branded and private-label apparel, footwear, accessories, home goods, and baby products at prices generally below those of department and specialty stores. The company operates a nationwide network of stores and relies on an opportunistic buying model that lets it offer frequently changing assortments while keeping inventory costs low. Burlington traces its roots to 1972, when it opened its first location in Burlington, New Jersey, as Burlington Coat Factory.
Investors follow BURL for its store-expansion story and its "Burlington 2.0" initiatives, which focus on merchandising, store productivity, and a shift toward smaller-format locations. The company competes directly with off-price peers such as Ross Stores (ROST) and The TJX Companies (TJX), and its results are closely watched as a gauge of value-oriented consumer spending.
Burlington Stores (BURL) Stock Price Performance: Last 30 Days vs. Quarter
Over the 30 days ending in early November 2026, BURL declined from a closing price near $271.81 to approximately $239.90, a drop of about 11.7%. The move was uneven, with periodic rebounds giving way to renewed selling as analysts trimmed targets and the stock drifted toward its 52-week low.
The quarterly picture is more severe. From a closing level near $367.82 at the start of August, shares have fallen roughly 34.8% over the trailing three months. The bulk of that decline occurred in late August, when a fiscal second-quarter earnings update and cautious guidance triggered a sharp de-rating that has persisted into the fall.
What Drove BURL Stock Price in the Last 30 Days
Several forces pressured Burlington shares over the trailing 30 days. Most notably, analysts continued to lower price targets and earnings estimates. In late October, BofA reduced its target to $344 from $365, while other firms such as Goldman Sachs, Deutsche Bank, and Wells Fargo adjusted their outlooks amid cautious comparable-sales trends and higher freight-cost expectations. Zacks Research also downgraded BURL to a "Strong Sell" rating, reflecting the negative trajectory of earnings-estimate revisions.
On the fundamental side, investors weighed management's third-quarter guidance of $1.60–$1.70 in adjusted EPS, down from $1.80 a year earlier, as Burlington reinvests roughly $55 million in tariff refunds into lower prices rather than profitability. Softer comparable-store sales growth and margin pressure from merchandise pricing and freight costs further dampened sentiment. Technically, the stock's 50-day moving average crossing below its 200-day moving average reinforced bearish momentum, and the shares traded near their 52-week low of $226.85.
What Drove BURL Stock Performance Over the Last Quarter
The dominant catalyst for the quarterly decline was Burlington's fiscal second-quarter report released in late August 2026. The company posted adjusted EPS of $2.96, well above the $2.19 consensus estimate, but revenue of about $3 billion narrowly missed the $3.03 billion analysts expected. Comparable-store sales rose just 2%, down sharply from 5% in the prior-year period, and management issued below-consensus third-quarter guidance.
The company's decision to reinvest tariff refunds into consumer pricing, combined with higher freight and sourcing costs, raised questions about near-term margins. A wave of analyst target cuts followed, while broader rotation out of consumer-discretionary names compounded the pressure. Despite the selloff, the analyst consensus remained broadly constructive, with a "Moderate Buy" rating and an average price target near $368, underscoring a gap between near-term caution and longer-term growth expectations tied to store expansion.
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BURL Stock Forecast Drivers: What Investors Should Watch Next
Investors will be watching Burlington's next earnings release for confirmation that comparable-store sales have stabilized and that margin pressures from freight, tariffs, and pricing investments are easing. Management's updated guidance on comps, gross margin, and store openings will be central to the near-term narrative.
Beyond earnings, key factors include the pace of the company's "Burlington 2.0" store-format rollout, its plan to reach at least 1,500 stores by the end of 2028, and the health of the lower-income consumer amid elevated living costs and interest rates. Competitive dynamics with off-price rivals, tariff and trade policy developments, and broader sector rotation will also shape how BURL trades in the months ahead.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
BURL's RSI Oscillator climbs out of oversold territory
The RSI Indicator for BURL moved out of oversold territory on October 29, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 27 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 22 of the 27 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 81%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 38 of 51 cases where BURL's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for BURL just turned positive on November 04, 2026. Looking at past instances where BURL's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 33 of 42 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.
Following a +8.21% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BURL advanced for three days, in 219 of 305 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.
BURL may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 05, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on BURL as a result. In 64 of 94 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 68%.
BURL moved below its 50-day moving average on November 05, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BURL declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.
The Aroon Indicator for BURL entered a downward trend on November 05, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 25 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 72 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: BURL's P/B Ratio (7.867) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.924). P/E Ratio (22.075) is within average values for comparable stocks, (12.851). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.955) is also within normal values, averaging (0.517). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.066) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.212) is also within normal values, averaging (0.652).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 72 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. BURL’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 81 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. BURL’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 85, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
a provider of men's, women's and children's apparel
Industry ApparelFootwearRetail