CBSH Commerce Bancshares Inc Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

CBSH sees MACD Histogram crosses below signal line

CBSH saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on April 03, 2025. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 48 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 73 cases where CBSH's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on April 02, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on CBSH as a result. In of 89 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

CBSH moved below its 50-day moving average on March 04, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for CBSH crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on March 04, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 22 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CBSH declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for CBSH entered a downward trend on March 24, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator entered the oversold zone -- be on the watch for CBSH's price rising or consolidating in the future. That's also the time to consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CBSH advanced for three days, in of 291 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

CBSH may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 58, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CBSH’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: CBSH's P/B Ratio (2.313) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.033). P/E Ratio (14.404) is within average values for comparable stocks, (17.147). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.055) is also within normal values, averaging (2.366). Dividend Yield (0.020) settles around the average of (0.059) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.299) is also within normal values, averaging (2.927).