CERT Certara Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis
Certara Inc accelerates medicines to patients using biosimulation software and technology to transform traditional drug discovery and development... Show more
CERT is expected to report earnings to rise 12.00% to 8 cents per share on November 11
Q3'26
Est.
$0.09
Q2'26
Missed
by $0.02
Q1'26
Missed
by $0.02
Q4'25
Missed
by $0.02
Q3'25
Beat
by $0.03
The last earnings report on August 04 showed earnings per share of 7 cents, missing the estimate of 10 cents. With 192.60K shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 1.16B.
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CERT has been loosely correlated with SLP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 53% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if CERT jumps, then SLP could also see price increases.
CERT sees its 50-day moving average cross bullishly above its 200-day moving average
The 50-day moving average for CERT moved above the 200-day moving average on August 26, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CERT advanced for three days, in of 304 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
CERT may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 111 cases where CERT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for CERT moved out of overbought territory on August 21, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 25 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 25 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 02, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on CERT as a result. In of 87 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for CERT turned negative on August 10, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 43 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
CERT moved below its 50-day moving average on September 09, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CERT declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CERT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.204) is normal, around the industry mean (7.166). CERT's P/E Ratio (103.571) is considerably higher than the industry average of (44.602). CERT's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.474). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.045) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.857) is also within normal values, averaging (5.936).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. CERT’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 98, placing this stock worse than average.
