C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. is one of the world's largest third-party logistics (3PL) providers, connecting shippers with an extensive network of roughly 85,000 contracted transportation partners across truckload, less-than-truckload, intermodal, ocean, and air freight. Founded in 1905 and headquartered in Eden Prairie, Minnesota, the company operates through two primary segments: North American Surface Transportation (NAST) and Global Forwarding, alongside its Robinson Fresh produce sourcing and distribution business. Management has emphasized a "Lean AI" operating model that combines disciplined cost management with custom-built artificial intelligence tools to expand margins and automate manual processes. Investors follow CHRW closely as a bellwether for global freight demand and supply-chain activity.
Over the last 30 days, CHRW declined approximately 13%, falling from a closing price of about $148 on September 28, 2026, to roughly $129 as of October 28, 2026. The drop accelerated in early October and again following the third-quarter earnings release, when the stock set a new 52-week low.
The broader three-month trend has been decidedly weaker. From a level of about $169 in late July 2026, CHRW has fallen roughly 24%, reflecting a sequence of earnings-driven volatility, the RXO acquisition announcement, and persistent investor concerns about costs, cash flow, and transaction dilution. The recent 30-day move therefore sits within a longer-running downtrend rather than an isolated pullback.
The most significant catalyst was the October 5, 2026, announcement that C.H. Robinson agreed to acquire rival freight broker RXO for approximately $5.8 billion, or $30.25 per share, funded with about 57% cash and 43% stock. The equity component raised immediate dilution concerns among shareholders, and CHRW shares fell roughly 11% in pre-market trading that day while RXO stock surged.
On October 28, 2026, CHRW reported third-quarter results that beat consensus estimates, with adjusted EPS of $1.80 versus $1.75 and revenue up 29.5% year over year to $5.36 billion. However, the beat was overshadowed by a 10.6% rise in operating expenses, a $12.2 million lease impairment charge, and a decline in operating cash flow to $124.1 million from $275.4 million a year earlier. The stock fell roughly 10% intraday as investors focused on the cost and cash-flow pressures. In response, multiple analysts trimmed price targets, reinforcing the downward sentiment.
Over the past three months, CHRW's decline has been shaped by a combination of earnings reactions and strategic uncertainty. The stock fell sharply in late July following its second-quarter report, and the subsequent announcement of the RXO transaction introduced questions about integration risk and balance-sheet leverage, even as management projected roughly $300 million in annual cost synergies and EPS accretion within nine months of closing. Broader freight-industry pressures, including higher tariffs and labor costs, have compounded the narrative, leaving investors cautious even as the company's core segments continue to report margin expansion and market share gains.
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Looking ahead, investors are likely to monitor the progress and regulatory path of the RXO acquisition, including the timing of its expected first-half 2027 close and the pace of cost-synergy realization. Freight-market fundamentals, transportation pricing trends, and NAST and Global Forwarding margin performance will remain central to the earnings narrative, along with operating cash-flow recovery and expense discipline. Analyst expectations, currently reflecting a consensus Moderate Buy rating with an average price target well above recent trading levels, may continue to shift as integration details emerge. Macroeconomic factors such as tariff policy, labor costs, and global trade volumes also remain key variables for CHRW's near-term outlook.
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The RSI Oscillator for CHRW moved out of oversold territory on November 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 25 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 18 of the 25 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 72%.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
Following a +1.24% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CHRW advanced for three days, in 238 of 338 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.
CHRW may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 28, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on CHRW as a result. In 55 of 96 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 57%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for CHRW turned negative on October 28, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 28 of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 58%.
CHRW moved below its 50-day moving average on October 05, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CHRW declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 54%.
The Aroon Indicator for CHRW entered a downward trend on November 02, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 28 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 62 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 64 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. CHRW’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 70 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: CHRW's P/B Ratio (9.240) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.670). CHRW has a moderately high P/E Ratio (24.331) as compared to the industry average of (7.462). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.805) is also within normal values, averaging (5.110). Dividend Yield (0.020) settles around the average of (0.019) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.095) is also within normal values, averaging (2.034).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 73 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a provider of multimodal transportation services and logistics solutions
Industry OtherTransportation