CNOB ConnectOne Bancorp Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

CNOB in upward trend: price expected to rise as it breaks its lower Bollinger Band on September 01, 2026

CNOB may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 31 of 41 cases where CNOB's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where CNOB's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 28 of 38 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.

Following a +1.83% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CNOB advanced for three days, in 191 of 287 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 40 of 53 cases where CNOB's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 75%.

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 08, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on CNOB as a result. In 67 of 93 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 72%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for CNOB turned negative on August 06, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 42 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 32 of the 42 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 76%.

CNOB moved below its 50-day moving average on August 19, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for CNOB crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on August 24, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 12 of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 71%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CNOB declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 71%.

The Aroon Indicator for CNOB entered a downward trend on September 11, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 19 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 37 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.056) is normal, around the industry mean (1.365). P/E Ratio (9.876) is within average values for comparable stocks, (24.254). CNOB's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.682). Dividend Yield (0.024) settles around the average of (0.031) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.486) is also within normal values, averaging (3.789).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 46 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CNOB’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 78 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. CNOB’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 56, placing this stock worse than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 98 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.