CTBI Community Trust Bancorp Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 29 of 57 cases where CTBI's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 51%.

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 09, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on CTBI as a result. In 39 of 81 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 48%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for CTBI turned negative on October 21, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 46 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 19 of the 46 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 41%.

CTBI moved below its 50-day moving average on September 18, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for CTBI crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 23, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 4 of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 33%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CTBI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 49%.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator entered the oversold zone -- be on the watch for CTBI's price rising or consolidating in the future. That's also the time to consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Following a +1.61% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CTBI advanced for three days, in 160 of 298 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 54%.

CTBI may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 12 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 57, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 25 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 26 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 42 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CTBI’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 66 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.392) is normal, around the industry mean (1.246). P/E Ratio (11.407) is within average values for comparable stocks, (13.217). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.220) is also within normal values, averaging (1.190). Dividend Yield (0.042) settles around the average of (0.035) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.606) is also within normal values, averaging (3.738).

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 95 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.