CVLT Commvault Systems Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

CVLT in upward trend: 10-day moving average moved above 50-day moving average on September 18, 2026

The 10-day moving average for CVLT crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on September 18, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 13 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for CVLT just turned positive on September 14, 2026. Looking at past instances where CVLT's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 25 of 41 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 61%.

CVLT moved above its 50-day moving average on September 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a +2.45% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CVLT advanced for three days, in 261 of 378 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 201 of 275 cases where CVLT Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 73%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 41 of 57 cases where CVLT's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 72%.

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 01, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on CVLT as a result. In 64 of 89 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 72%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CVLT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 64%.

CVLT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on September 17, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 31 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 39 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CVLT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 53 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 65 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 94 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (117.647) is normal, around the industry mean (51.456). P/E Ratio (94.955) is within average values for comparable stocks, (82.636). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (4.920) is also within normal values, averaging (3.135). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.011) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.233) is also within normal values, averaging (69.875).