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Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
published in Blogs
May 22, 2019

Decker Outdoor (DECK, $148.59) gets analyst upgrade; shares jump +4%

Decker Outdoor shares climbed +4% Tuesday, on a rating upgrade by the Bank of America Merrill Lynch.

Bank of America analysts raised their rating on the footwear company’s stock to buy from neutral. Analyst Rafe Jadrosich also upped his price target to $180 from $150.

In a note to investors, Jadrosich mentioned earnings per share growth opportunity from Decker’s share buybacks, and low-to-mid single digit revenue growth (largely driven by the company’s HOKA brand) as factors behind the analyst’s optimism. According to the analyst, HOKA is expected to grow +40% in fiscal year 2019, thanks to new product offerings and market share gains in the running specialty segment. 

Jadrosich  believes that gross margin of Decker’s brand UGG could be at its peak, and that there is operating margin opportunity from cost savings and improving HOKA margins.

Related Ticker: DECK

DECK sees its Stochastic Oscillator climbs out of oversold territory

On January 06, 2025, the Stochastic Oscillator for DECK moved out of oversold territory and this could be a bullish sign for the stock. Traders may want to buy the stock or buy call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 54 instances where the indicator left the oversold zone. In of the 54 cases the stock moved higher in the following days. This puts the odds of a move higher at over .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where DECK advanced for three days, in of 357 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 283 cases where DECK Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on January 07, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on DECK as a result. In of 84 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where DECK declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 80, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. DECK’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: DECK's P/B Ratio (11.351) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (3.082). P/E Ratio (33.628) is within average values for comparable stocks, (28.555). DECK's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (1.991). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.036) among similar stocks. DECK's P/S Ratio (5.921) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (1.500).

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Nike (NYSE:NKE), Skechers USA (NYSE:SKX), VF Corp (NYSE:VFC), G-III Apparel Group Ltd (NASDAQ:GIII), Canada Goose Holdings (NYSE:GOOS), Lakeland Industries (NASDAQ:LAKE).

Industry description

Apparel/footwear might be slightly more ‘cyclical’ in the largely non-cyclical category of non-durables. While digital giants like Amazon have been rapidly expanding their presence, traditional clothing/footwear retailers have also been bulking up their online presence in recent years, to milk the burgeoning trend of online shopping among consumers across the globe. The apparel and footwear retail market was valued at around $ 360 billion in 2018, and this figure was expected to reach about $386 billion by 2020 (according to a Statista report). NIKE, Inc, V.F. Corporation and Under Armour, Inc. are some of the companies with the largest U.S. stock market caps in this segment.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Apparel/Footwear Industry is 6.77B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 1.66K to 140.24B. NKE holds the highest valuation in this group at 140.24B. The lowest valued company is SQBGQ at 1.66K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Apparel/Footwear Industry was 0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 2%, and the average quarterly price growth was 4%. ZGN experienced the highest price growth at 17%, while VNCE experienced the biggest fall at -27%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Apparel/Footwear Industry was 14%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -58% and the average quarterly volume growth was -12%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 50
P/E Growth Rating: 57
Price Growth Rating: 55
SMR Rating: 65
Profit Risk Rating: 80
Seasonality Score: 13 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a distributor of footwear, apparel and accessories

Industry ApparelFootwear

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Apparel Or Footwear
Address
250 Coromar Drive
Phone
+1 805 967-7611
Employees
4200
Web
https://www.deckers.com