Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings Inc is the platform for cell programming, providing flexible, end-to-end services that solve challenges for organizations across diverse markets, from food and agriculture to pharmaceuticals to industrial and specialty chemicals... Show more
Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings, Inc. is a Boston-based cell engineering and synthetic biology company founded in 2008. The company operates a platform that programs cells for customers across pharmaceuticals, agriculture, industrial, food, and government and defense markets. Its offerings include cell engineering research and development solutions, the Ginkgo Datapoints biological data-generation service, and reconfigurable automation systems, anchored by its Nebula autonomous laboratory and Ginkgo Cloud Lab.
Ginkgo went public in September 2021 through a merger with a special purpose acquisition company. In 2026, the company completed the divestiture of its Biosecurity segment to refocus on its core cell engineering business and autonomous-lab infrastructure. Investors follow DNA closely for its positioning at the intersection of synthetic biology, laboratory automation, and AI-driven drug discovery, while also weighing its history of operating losses and declining revenue against that strategic pivot.
Over the last 30 days, DNA has moved from a closing price of roughly $12.35 in early October to about $10.08, a decline of approximately 18%. The move has been anything but linear. The stock spiked above $14 in the first week of October and touched an intraday high of $18.22 before retreating through the remainder of the month, including a double-digit percentage pullback in recent trading.
The trailing three-month picture is more mixed. Measured against its early-August level of about $8.94, DNA is still up roughly 13% over the quarter. That gain, however, reflects a powerful late-September and early-October surge — at one point the shares were up well over 100% in a matter of weeks — that has since been partially unwound. The 52-week range of $5.37 to $18.22 underscores the stock's extreme volatility.
The recent decline primarily reflects a reversal of momentum after an outsized rally. Enthusiasm around Ginkgo's AI and autonomous-lab story, reinforced by a September partnership between its Ginkgo Datapoints unit and Eli Lilly's (LLY) TuneLab, helped fuel a sharp run-up into early October. Additional announcements, including in-kind access to its Boston autonomous laboratory for the National Science Foundation's X-Labs program and the integration of Araceli Biosciences' high-content imaging into Nebula, extended the narrative-driven buying.
As the rally peaked, valuation concerns came to the forefront. Commentary questioning whether the share price had "outrun the business" circulated, and profit-taking accelerated. The pullback was compounded by a broadly cautious sell-side stance: three analysts maintain an average price target of $8.00, well below the stock's early-October peak, with ratings skewing toward sell. The stock's recent slide also reflects a return toward fundamentals after a period in which price appreciation outpaced reported revenue, which continued to decline year over year.
The broader quarterly trend has been defined by a dramatic recovery from August lows followed by consolidation. DNA traded near $6.50 to $7.00 for much of August and early September, pressured by weak financial results and an ongoing strategic transition. In the first quarter of 2026, revenue fell roughly 49% year over year while the company completed the divestiture of its Biosecurity business.
Sentiment shifted in late September as investors rotated toward AI-enabled biotechnology and laboratory automation themes. A stronger second-quarter topline result and accelerated cost reductions supported the rebound, and the Lilly TuneLab partnership added a tangible AI drug-discovery catalyst. The stock's subsequent retreat reflects a market reassessing how quickly these initiatives can translate into sustainable revenue and profitability, leaving DNA well above its summer lows but sharply below its recent peak.
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Investors will be watching Ginkgo's next quarterly earnings report, expected in early November 2026, for updates on revenue trajectory, cash burn, and progress toward narrowing losses. Guidance on the cell engineering and autonomous-lab businesses will be closely scrutinized, as will any additional commercial partnerships in AI-driven drug discovery.
Key variables include the pace of adoption of Ginkgo's automation and data-services offerings, the company's cash runway, and its path toward profitability. Analyst expectations remain cautious, with a consensus "Sell" rating and an average price target of $8.00. Broader sector sentiment toward small-cap biotechnology, AI-related names, and interest-rate expectations could also influence DNA's volatility going forward.
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The 50-day moving average for DNA moved above the 200-day moving average on October 07, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 60 of 68 cases where DNA's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 88%.
Following a +24.20% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where DNA advanced for three days, in 209 of 248 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 84%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 11, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on DNA as a result. In 81 of 86 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for DNA turned negative on November 11, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 47 of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 90%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where DNA declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.
The Aroon Indicator for DNA entered a downward trend on November 10, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 37 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. DNA’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 41 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.809) is normal, around the industry mean (3.498). P/E Ratio (-2.258) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-1.193). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (9.059). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (130.981) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.397) is also within normal values, averaging (440.869).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 90 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 98 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. DNA’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 93, placing this stock worse than average.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
Industry Biotechnology