ERIE stock forecast, quote, news & analysis

ERIE in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on September 08, 2026

ERIE moved below its 50-day moving average on September 08, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 28 of 38 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 74%.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 01, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ERIE as a result. In 67 of 91 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 74%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ERIE turned negative on August 26, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 36 of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 71%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ERIE declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 56%.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a +1.11% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ERIE advanced for three days, in 206 of 327 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.

ERIE may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 176 of 266 cases where ERIE Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 66%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 39 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 59 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. ERIE’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 68 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to slightly better than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 81 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ERIE’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 87, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 95 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (5.195) is normal, around the industry mean (6.445). P/E Ratio (22.236) is within average values for comparable stocks, (34.636). ERIE's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is very low in comparison to the industry average of (1.453). ERIE has a moderately high Dividend Yield (0.023) as compared to the industry average of (0.014). P/S Ratio (3.062) is also within normal values, averaging (3.006).

ERIE paid dividends on July 21, 2026