ERIE Erie Indemnity Company Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for ERIE moved out of overbought territory on October 23, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 29 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 12 of the 29 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 41%.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ERIE declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 58%.

ERIE broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 08, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on ERIE as a result. In 55 of 91 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ERIE just turned positive on October 08, 2026. Looking at past instances where ERIE's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 26 of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 52%.

ERIE moved above its 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for ERIE crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 26, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 9 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.

Following a +5.91% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ERIE advanced for three days, in 199 of 325 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 61%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 168 of 261 cases where ERIE Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 64%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 39 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 45 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ERIE’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 68 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to slightly better than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 81 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ERIE’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 86, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 98 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (5.315) is normal, around the industry mean (2.599). P/E Ratio (20.241) is within average values for comparable stocks, (18.024). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (17.200) is also within normal values, averaging (8.322). Dividend Yield (0.023) settles around the average of (0.045) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.070) is also within normal values, averaging (2.968).