Futu Holdings Ltd is an online broker providing one-stop online investing services... Show more
Futu Holdings Limited is a Hong Kong-based, technology-driven digital brokerage and wealth management platform listed on the Nasdaq. Founded by Leaf Hua Li, the company operates two flagship investing apps—Futubull, its core product across Greater China and Asia, and moomoo, its international brand—through which retail investors trade equities, options, funds, and, increasingly, digital assets.
Futu's revenue comes from three main sources: brokerage commissions and handling fees, interest income generated from margin financing and client cash balances, and "other" income spanning wealth management and corporate services such as IPO distribution and employee stock plan administration. As of its latest reported quarter, the company served roughly 30 million registered users and held more than HK$1.4 trillion (about US$178 billion) in client assets. Its competitive strengths include a self-developed trading stack, deep product functionality, and a multi-market presence across Hong Kong, Singapore, Malaysia, the United States, Australia, Japan, and Canada.
Over the trailing 30 days, FUTU fell from $109.68 on October 7 to $98.06 at the November 6 close—a decline of about 10.6%. The move was not linear: the shares traded near $110 in early October before breaking below $100 in late October, then tumbled to an intraday low of $87.41 on November 5 before rebounding 4.3% the following session.
The 30-day drop is consistent with the longer trend. Over the past three months the stock is down roughly 10%, and it remains well below its late-August 2026 peak near $127. For the year, FUTU has declined about 39%, and the shares trade in the lower portion of a 52-week range that spans roughly $80 to about $200.
Several forces converged to drive the recent decline. First, early November brought a sharp selloff across AI-linked and brokerage stocks, with the S&P 500 falling about 4.4% and the Nasdaq about 5.5% in a single session. Market commentary attributed the weakness to concerns that a shift in U.S. political control could slow data-center expansion and bring tighter oversight of Wall Street and crypto-related businesses—themes that disproportionately hit high-multiple financial and technology names.
Second, Futu carries an unresolved regulatory overhang in mainland China. Chinese regulators previously issued a notice of investigation and a penalty pre-notification proposing roughly RMB 1.85 billion in fines and confiscations for alleged unlicensed securities, fund sales, and futures activities, along with a personal fine for CEO Leaf Hua Li and a two-year wind-down of the company's mainland business. Futu has already halted buy orders and deposits for mainland clients while keeping sell orders active. Continued coverage of this issue—and of national-security concerns affecting cross-border brokers more broadly, including UP Fintech—kept sentiment subdued.
Rising U.S. Treasury yields and mixed economic data added further pressure in late October, and the shares traded below their 50-day and 200-day moving averages, reinforcing weak technical momentum even as the company's underlying results remained strong.
The three-month picture reflects a retreat from a mid-summer rally rather than a collapse in the business. After reporting second-quarter results in August—with total revenue up 35.6% year over year and non-GAAP net income up 40.1%—the stock spiked toward $127 before giving back those gains through September and October.
The retracement has been driven less by operating results than by valuation and risk reassessment. Investors have focused on the mainland regulatory settlement, cross-border compliance risk, and sensitivity to interest-rate and market-turnover swings, all of which have kept a lid on the multiple even as user growth, client assets, and trading volume set records. S&P Global Ratings reaffirmed Futu's BBB- long-term issuer credit rating with a stable outlook, citing its strong Hong Kong position and diversification, but that has not halted the equity de-rating.
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The next major catalyst is Futu's third-quarter earnings, which are expected around mid-November 2026. Investors will be watching trading volumes, net new funded accounts, client asset inflows, and interest income, as well as any commentary on the mainland wind-down timeline and its financial impact. Macroeconomic factors—including U.S. interest-rate expectations, Treasury yields, and equity-market turnover—will continue to influence both brokerage activity and valuation. Regulatory developments in mainland China and any further national-security scrutiny of cross-border brokers remain key risks, as does competitive pressure in Hong Kong, Singapore, and Malaysia. These are data points to monitor, not investment recommendations.
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FUTU moved below its 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 36 of 39 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 19, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on FUTU as a result. In 64 of 84 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 76%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for FUTU turned negative on October 16, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 35 of the 44 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 80%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where FUTU declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 80%.
The Aroon Indicator for FUTU entered a downward trend on November 10, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where FUTU's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 17 of 19 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 89%.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 49 of 65 cases where FUTU's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
Following a +7.37% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where FUTU advanced for three days, in 255 of 315 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.
FUTU may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 33 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 60 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.354) is normal, around the industry mean (3.120). P/E Ratio (1.231) is within average values for comparable stocks, (6.734). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.010) is also within normal values, averaging (0.809). Dividend Yield (0.106) settles around the average of (8.976) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (4.699) is also within normal values, averaging (16.899).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 74 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. FUTU’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 89 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. FUTU’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 88, placing this stock worse than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 97 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a technology company, which engages in online brokerage services and margin financing services for clients in Hong Kong and China
Industry InvestmentBanksBrokers