GBDC Golub Capital BDC Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

Momentum Indicator for GBDC turns positive, indicating new upward trend

GBDC saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on April 22, 2025. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 104 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In of the 104 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where GBDC's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 15 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for GBDC just turned positive on April 22, 2025. Looking at past instances where GBDC's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 52 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GBDC advanced for three days, in of 327 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

GBDC may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 3 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

GBDC moved below its 50-day moving average on April 02, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for GBDC crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on April 04, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GBDC declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for GBDC entered a downward trend on March 24, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 68, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.100) is normal, around the industry mean (2.779). P/E Ratio (9.088) is within average values for comparable stocks, (27.202). GBDC's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is slightly lower than the industry average of (3.172). Dividend Yield (0.088) settles around the average of (0.071) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (8.425) is also within normal values, averaging (11.704).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. GBDC’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.