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GBDC
Stock ticker: NASDAQ
AS OF
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Price
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Capitalization
2.43B

GBDC Golub Capital BDC Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

an private equity fund

Technical Analysis# Of IndicatorsAvg. Odds
   
   
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A.I.Advisor
a Summary for GBDC with price predictions
08:00 PM EDT Sep 21, 2023

GBDC's RSI Indicator recovers from overbought zone

The 10-day RSI Oscillator for GBDC moved out of overbought territory on August 22, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 37 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In of the 37 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 69 cases where GBDC's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for GBDC turned negative on August 22, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 42 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 42 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GBDC declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on September 22, 2023. You may want to consider a long position or call options on GBDC as a result. In of 97 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GBDC advanced for three days, in of 315 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

GBDC may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 281 cases where GBDC Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.965) is normal, around the industry mean (3.499). P/E Ratio (14.771) is within average values for comparable stocks, (30.618). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (4.624). Dividend Yield (0.095) settles around the average of (0.071) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (12.937) is also within normal values, averaging (78.146).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. GBDC’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 80, placing this stock slightly better than average.

A.I.Advisor
published Highlights

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Bank of New York Mellon Corp (NYSE:BK), Ares Capital Corp (NASDAQ:ARCC), WisdomTree (NYSE:WT), AMTD IDEA Group (NYSE:AMTD).

Industry description

Investment Managers manage financial assets and other investments of clients. Management includes designing a short- or long-term strategy for buying/holding and selling of portfolio holdings. It can also include tax services and other aspects of financial planning as well. While it is perceived that the industry is faced with growing competition from robo-advisors/digital platforms and passive/ index-tracking funds, many investors still find value in actively managed in-person services that investment management companies often emphasize on. At the same time, many wealth managers are also incorporating digital initiatives/low cost options in addition to their in-person customized services. Their main sources of revenues are fees as a percentage of assets under management, in addition to a certain portion of clients’ gains from asset appreciation. BlackRock, Inc., Blackstone Group Inc and Brookfield Asset Management are some of the major investment management companies.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Investment Managers Industry is 5.18B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 57 to 108.81B. FDLPF holds the highest valuation in this group at 108.81B. The lowest valued company is RSERF at 57.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Investment Managers Industry was -2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 8%, and the average quarterly price growth was 13%. GGPXF experienced the highest price growth at 13%, while PNXPF experienced the biggest fall at -58%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Investment Managers Industry was -75%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 12% and the average quarterly volume growth was -22%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 36
P/E Growth Rating: 50
Price Growth Rating: 57
SMR Rating: 69
Profit Risk Rating: 80
Seasonality Score: -22 (-100 ... +100)
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Technical Analysis# Of IndicatorsAvg. Odds
   
   
Show details...
A.I. Advisor
published Earnings

GBDC is expected to report earnings to rise 6.51% to 45 cents per share on November 27

Golub Capital BDC GBDC Stock Earnings Reports
Q3'23
Est.
$0.46
Q2'23
Beat
by $0.01
Q1'23
Beat
by $0.02
Q4'22
Beat
by $0.02
Q3'22
Beat
by $0.03
The last earnings report on August 07 showed earnings per share of 43 cents, beating the estimate of 41 cents. With 398.42K shares outstanding, the current market capitalization sits at 2.43B.
A.I.Advisor
published Dividends

GBDC is expected to pay dividends on September 29, 2023

Golub Capital BDC GBDC Stock Dividends
A dividend of $0.37 per share will be paid with a record date of September 29, 2023, and an ex-dividend date of August 31, 2023. The last dividend of $0.04 was paid on September 15. Read more...
A.I. Advisor
published General Information

General Information

an private equity fund

Industry InvestmentManagers

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
N/A
Address
200 Park Avenue
Phone
+1 212 750-6060
Employees
N/A
Web
https://golubcapitalbdc.com
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GBDC and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, GBDC has been closely correlated with ARCC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 71% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if GBDC jumps, then ARCC could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To GBDC
1D Price
Change %
GBDC100%
+0.42%
ARCC - GBDC
71%
Closely correlated
+0.73%
TSLX - GBDC
69%
Closely correlated
+0.95%
FSK - GBDC
69%
Closely correlated
+0.56%
NMFC - GBDC
67%
Closely correlated
+0.63%
MFIC - GBDC
66%
Loosely correlated
+0.59%
More

Groups containing GBDC

Correlation & Price change

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To GBDC
1D Price
Change %
GBDC100%
+0.42%
GBDC
(undefined stocks)
82%
Closely correlated
+0.65%
private equity
(undefined stocks)
71%
Closely correlated
+0.15%
investment
(undefined stocks)
59%
Loosely correlated
-0.26%
Investment Managers
(undefined stocks)
56%
Loosely correlated
-0.11%