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HRMY stock forecast, quote, news & analysis

Harmony Biosciences Holdings Inc is a commercial-stage pharmaceutical company focused on developing and commercializing therapies for patients living with rare neurological diseases who have unmet medical needs... Show more

A.I.Advisor
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A.I.Advisor
Nov 04, 2026

Why Harmony Biosciences (HRMY) Stock Is Down -13.8% in the Last 30 Days

Key Takeaways

  • Harmony Biosciences (HRMY) has declined roughly 13.8% over the last 30 days, falling from a closing price of $39.92 on October 5, 2026, to an intraday level near $34.42 in early November.
  • Over the last quarter, the stock is down about 11%, retreating from levels around $38.78 in early August after peaking near $43 in early September.
  • A planned CEO transition announced on October 12, 2026, triggered a sell-off of more than 5% in a single session despite reaffirmed full-year revenue guidance.
  • Third-quarter 2026 results reported in early November showed WAKIX net revenue of $268.9 million, up 12% year over year, but slightly below consensus and paired with a year-over-year decline in earnings per share.
  • Broader weakness across the pharmaceuticals sector and a mixed analyst landscape, including Sell and Hold ratings with lower price targets, added pressure during the period.
  • You can review additional detail on this ticker's Price Targets, Earnings, and Forecast on dedicated pages.
  • Explore Trending AI Robots to see how AI-driven trading strategies are currently positioning across the market.

Harmony Biosciences (HRMY) Company Overview and Market Position

Harmony Biosciences Holdings, Inc. is a commercial-stage pharmaceutical company headquartered in Plymouth Meeting, Pennsylvania, focused on developing and commercializing therapies for patients living with rare neurological diseases. Its lead product, WAKIX (pitolisant), is the first and only FDA-approved, non-scheduled treatment for excessive daytime sleepiness and cataplexy in adults and pediatric patients six years and older with narcolepsy.

WAKIX has become the company's flagship commercial asset, with Harmony targeting more than $1 billion in full-year 2026 net revenue. Beyond WAKIX, the company is advancing a neuroscience pipeline led by BP-205, an investigational orexin-2 receptor agonist, along with lifecycle programs for pitolisant and other rare-CNS assets. Investors follow HRMY closely because of the durability of the WAKIX franchise, the pipeline's long-term potential, and the company's sizable cash position, which supports strategic business development.

Harmony Biosciences (HRMY) Stock Price Performance: Last 30 Days vs. Quarter

Over the last 30 days, HRMY shares have fallen approximately 13.8%. The stock closed at $39.92 on October 5, 2026, and traded near $34.42 by early November, reflecting a steady downward drift punctuated by sharper single-day declines in mid-October and again in early November.

The quarterly picture is similarly negative but less severe. From a close near $38.78 on August 4, 2026, the stock is down roughly 11% over the trailing three months. Notably, the quarter included a strong early stretch: HRMY climbed to an intraday high above $43 in early September before momentum reversed. The subsequent pullback, driven by leadership-change headlines, sector rotation, and a softer earnings reaction, has left shares well below their late-summer peak.

What Drove HRMY Stock Price in the Last 30 Days

The most consequential catalyst of the period was the October 12, 2026, announcement of a planned leadership transition. The company said President and CEO Jeffrey M. Dayno, M.D., would retire at the end of 2026, with COO Peter Anastasiou set to become CEO effective January 1, 2027. Although Harmony characterized the move as a planned succession and reaffirmed its 2026 WAKIX revenue guidance of $1.0 billion to $1.04 billion, investors reacted negatively, sending shares down more than 5% that session.

Weakness in late October was compounded by broad declines across the pharmaceuticals sub-sector, with HRMY closing near session lows during a period of market-wide selling pressure. The final leg lower arrived with third-quarter 2026 results reported on November 4, 2026. WAKIX net revenue of $268.9 million grew 12% year over year, but it came in modestly below analyst expectations, while net income declined to $48.2 million, or $0.81 per diluted share, from $50.9 million, or $0.87 per share, a year earlier, partly reflecting higher royalty and milestone costs.

Analyst sentiment also remained divided. While several firms maintained Buy or Outperform ratings, Bank of America Securities reiterated a Sell rating with a $30 price target, and other institutions maintained Hold ratings with price targets near or below the prevailing share price, reinforcing a cautious near-term tone.

What Drove HRMY Stock Performance Over the Last Quarter

The broader three-month narrative reflects a stock that rallied early and then gave back its gains. HRMY rose into early September on continued strength in the WAKIX franchise and enthusiasm around its pipeline, including BP-205 single-ascending-dose data and preparations for pitolisant lifecycle programs. However, the rally was not sustained.

The October CEO-transition announcement introduced execution and succession uncertainty, even as management emphasized continuity in strategy. Around the same time, softer market conditions for biopharmaceutical names and lingering concerns about WAKIX's long-term exclusivity and generic competition weighed on sentiment. The early-November earnings report, which highlighted solid demand but higher operating costs and an EPS decline, reinforced the shift toward a more defensive posture among investors over the trailing quarter.

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HRMY Stock Forecast Drivers: What Investors Should Watch Next

Looking ahead, several factors are likely to shape HRMY's trajectory. The formal handoff of the CEO role to Peter Anastasiou on January 1, 2027, and any strategic updates that follow will be closely monitored. Investors will also track whether WAKIX continues to deliver consistent net patient additions and whether the company can sustain its path toward exceeding $1 billion in annual revenue.

Clinical and regulatory milestones remain central. Key watchpoints include the Pitolisant GR New Drug Application, which carries a PDUFA date of April 1, 2027, Phase 1b data for BP-205 in sleep-deprived healthy volunteers expected in the first quarter of 2027, and the initiation of Phase 2 studies planned for mid-2027. Ongoing patent litigation over the pitolisant franchise, with rulings expected around early 2027, will also influence the long-term revenue outlook. As with any biopharmaceutical investment, clinical setbacks, regulatory delays, and shifting payer dynamics remain meaningful risks.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for HRMY with price predictions
Nov 10, 2026

HRMY in downward trend: 10-day moving average moved below 50-day moving average on October 08, 2026

The 10-day moving average for HRMY crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 08, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 13 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 87%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 03, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on HRMY as a result. In 69 of 89 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 78%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for HRMY turned negative on November 04, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 41 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 32 of the 41 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 78%.

HRMY moved below its 50-day moving average on October 12, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where HRMY declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 74%.

The Aroon Indicator for HRMY entered a downward trend on November 10, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where HRMY's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 23 of 30 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a +4.03% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where HRMY advanced for three days, in 206 of 284 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.

HRMY may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 38 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 46 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 61 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. HRMY’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 81 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.930) is normal, around the industry mean (3.498). P/E Ratio (10.578) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-1.193). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (9.059). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (130.981) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.581) is also within normal values, averaging (440.869).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. HRMY’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 93, placing this stock worse than average.

A.I.Advisor
published Highlights

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Moderna (NASDAQ:MRNA), Regeneron Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:REGN), Incyte Corp (NASDAQ:INCY), Exelixis (NASDAQ:EXEL), Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:ARWR), Sarepta Therapeutics (NASDAQ:SRPT), Novavax (NASDAQ:NVAX), Nektar Therapeutics (NASDAQ:NKTR), Inovio Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:INO), Cel-Sci Corp (ASE:CVM).

Industry description

Biotechnology involves genetic or protein engineering to produce medicines/therapies for treating and preventing ailments. The industry also provides crucial ingredients for diagnostics. This multi-billion-dollar industry is heavily focused on research and development, as companies attempt to continually come up with cutting-edge solutions for health. New discoveries for the treatment of diseases provide opportunities for growth for a company in this industry. Discoveries, however, must pass the regulatory approval from the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) before they can make it to markets. Amgen Inc., Gilead Sciences, Inc. and Celgene Corporation are examples of companies in this industry.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Biotechnology Industry is 2.23B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 58 to 138.67B. VRTX holds the highest valuation in this group at 138.67B. The lowest valued company is SEELQ at 58.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Biotechnology Industry was 5%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -2%, and the average quarterly price growth was -13%. LABT experienced the highest price growth at 113%, while KPTI experienced the biggest fall at -80%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Biotechnology Industry was 2%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 12% and the average quarterly volume growth was -27%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 50
P/E Growth Rating: 43
Price Growth Rating: 65
SMR Rating: 93
Profit Risk Rating: 93
Seasonality Score: -5 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

a commercial-stage pharmaceutical company, which engages in the development and commercialization of therapies for the treatment of neurological disorders

Industry Biotechnology

Industry
N/A
Address
630 W. Germantown Pike
Phone
+1 484 539-9800
Employees
293
Web
https://www.harmonybiosciences.com
Why Harmony Biosciences (HRMY) Stock Is Down -13.8% in the Last 30 Days