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MAX Stock Tickeron detected bearish Stock Pattern: Broadening Wedge Ascending MAX on October 31, 2024, netting in a 6.19% gain over 3 weeks

A.I.dvisor
at Tickeron.com
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+6.19% Gain from a Successful pattern Broadening Wedge Ascending
MAX - MediaAlpha
Tickeron
Ticker: MAX
Company: MediaAlpha
Gain from shortening: +6.19%
Confirmed: 10/31/24
Succeeded: 10/31/24
Total length: 21 days
On October 10, 2024, A.I.dvisor detected a Broadening Wedge Ascending Pattern (Bearish) for MediaAlpha (MAX, $18.26). 21 days later, on October 31, 2024, A.I.dvisor confirmed the Bearish pattern, setting a target price of the stock. On October 31, 2024, the stock hit the target price of $16.85 – resulting in a gain for traders who shorted the stock on the pattern detection date.

MAX sees MACD Histogram just turned negative

MAX saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on October 31, 2024. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 35 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 35 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 31, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on MAX as a result. In of 73 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

MAX moved below its 50-day moving average on October 31, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for MAX crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on November 06, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 10 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The 50-day moving average for MAX moved below the 200-day moving average on November 13, 2024. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MAX declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 9 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an Uptrend is expected.

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 9 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MAX advanced for three days, in of 243 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

MAX may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 176 cases where MAX Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. MAX’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: MAX's P/B Ratio (526.316) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (10.901). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (50.708). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (3.441). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.026) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.361) is also within normal values, averaging (19.253).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. MAX’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 90, placing this stock worse than average.

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MAX
Daily Signalchanged days ago
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General Information

Industry InternetSoftwareServices

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
N/A
Address
700 South Flower Street
Phone
+1 213 316-6256
Employees
137
Web
https://www.mediaalpha.com