Netflix (NFLX) Stock Price, Chart, Company Profile & AI Analysis
Netflix’s relatively simple business model involves only one business, its streaming service... Show more
Why Netflix (NFLX) Is Down -11% in the Last 30 Days
Key Takeaways
- NFLX stock declined -11% over the last 30 days amid post-earnings selloff and cautious Q2 guidance.
- Over the past quarter, shares are up +7% from early February levels, recovering from acquisition-related lows.
- Q1 earnings beat boosted price temporarily to $108 before drop; $25B buyback announced.
- Termination of Warner Bros. deal freed capital but introduced short-term volatility.
- Strong ad-tier growth and subscriber engagement remain key positives amid competition.
Netflix (NFLX) Company Overview and Market Position
Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) is the leading global streaming entertainment service, offering a vast library of films, TV series, documentaries, and original content. Its core business model relies on subscription revenue from over 325 million paid memberships worldwide, supplemented by rapidly growing advertising revenue from its ad-supported tier. Operating in the highly competitive media and entertainment industry, Netflix holds a dominant position with superior content investment, pricing power, and international expansion. These fundamentals, including robust free cash flow generation and content slate strength, underpin resilience despite recent price movement tied to guidance and M&A (mergers and acquisitions) developments.
Netflix (NFLX) Stock Price Performance: Last 30 Days vs. Quarter
Over the last 30 days, NFLX stock fell -11%, closing around $88.25 from approximately $99.39 on April 8. The movement was volatile and trend-driven downward, peaking near $108 post-Q1 earnings on April 16 before a sharp ~9% drop the next day and further declines to recent lows around $87.
For the past quarter, shares rose +7% from $82.20 around early February to the current level. Performance featured recovery from February lows near $76 amid acquisition uncertainty, a rally to April highs, then pullback, exhibiting range-bound volatility overall.
What Drove NFLX Stock Price in the Last 30 Days
The primary catalyst was Netflix's Q1 2026 earnings on April 16, which beat expectations with $12.25 billion revenue (up 16% YoY) and $1.23 EPS, fueled by membership growth, price hikes, and a $2.8 billion termination fee from the failed Warner Bros. deal. Shares surged initially to $107.79 but plunged ~9% the next day on cautious Q2 guidance ($0.78 EPS below consensus $0.84) and news of co-founder Reed Hastings stepping down as board chair. A subsequent $25 billion share buyback announcement provided some support, but broader market sentiment and profit-taking drove the net decline. Analyst caution on shifting from subscriber growth to monetization amid competition added pressure.
What Drove NFLX Stock Performance Over the Last Quarter
The quarter's +7% gain reflected recovery from early lows, primarily after Netflix walked away from its $83 billion Warner Bros. acquisition bid on February 26, citing unfavorable terms against rival Paramount Skydance. Shares had dipped to $75.86 in mid-February amid deal uncertainty and regulatory concerns, but termination freed up capital, enabling focus on core streaming and the $2.8 billion fee boost. Q1 results highlighted ad revenue doubling trajectory to $3 billion annually, pricing power, and live content engagement. Macro factors like stabilizing consumer demand and sector rotation supported the rebound, though competition from DIS and WBD weighed on sentiment. Institutional buying post-deal exit amplified the uptrend.
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NFLX Stock Forecast Drivers: What Investors Should Watch Next
Investors should monitor Q2 earnings for ad-tier adoption progress and operating margin expansion toward 31.5%. Upcoming content slate, including live sports and originals like Bridgerton S4, could drive engagement. Macro conditions such as interest rates impacting consumer spending and streaming bundling trends merit attention. Regulatory scrutiny on M&A and competitive moves by DIS or AMZN pose risks, while buyback execution offers support. Shifts in institutional ownership and analyst updates on valuation (current P/E ~43) will influence sentiment.
Disclaimer
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NFLX's RSI Indicator climbs out of oversold territory
The RSI Indicator for NFLX moved out of oversold territory on June 10, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 32 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In of the 32 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 9 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NFLX advanced for three days, in of 331 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
NFLX may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on May 27, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on NFLX as a result. In of 77 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for NFLX turned negative on June 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 45 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NFLX declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator for NFLX entered a downward trend on June 09, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. NFLX’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 78, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (11.099) is normal, around the industry mean (12.785). P/E Ratio (26.452) is within average values for comparable stocks, (102.994). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.611) is also within normal values, averaging (14.244). NFLX has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.015). P/S Ratio (7.564) is also within normal values, averaging (3.013).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
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General Information
a provider of online movie rental subscription services
Industry MoviesEntertainment