NMIH sees MACD Histogram just turned negative
NMIH saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on August 18, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 41 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 24 of the 41 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 59%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for NMIH moved out of overbought territory on August 17, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 40 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 20 of the 40 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 50%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 04, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on NMIH as a result. In 44 of 87 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 51%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NMIH declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 54%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
Following a +2.53% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NMIH advanced for three days, in 232 of 337 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.
NMIH may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 178 of 267 cases where NMIH Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 67%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 24 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 54, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 36 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 44 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. NMIH’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 65 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 87 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.220) is normal, around the industry mean (1.140). P/E Ratio (8.640) is within average values for comparable stocks, (13.934). NMIH has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.025). NMIH's P/S Ratio (4.671) is slightly higher than the industry average of (2.568).
