OVLY Oak Valley Bancorp (CA) Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

OVLY's RSI Indicator climbs out of oversold territory

The RSI Indicator for OVLY moved out of oversold territory on March 17, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 16 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In of the 16 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on March 26, 2025. You may want to consider a long position or call options on OVLY as a result. In of 114 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for OVLY just turned positive on March 25, 2025. Looking at past instances where OVLY's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

OVLY may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In of 56 cases where OVLY's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

OVLY moved below its 50-day moving average on March 03, 2025 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for OVLY crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on March 05, 2025. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The 50-day moving average for OVLY moved below the 200-day moving average on March 14, 2025. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where OVLY declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for OVLY entered a downward trend on March 24, 2025. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 59, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.219) is normal, around the industry mean (1.033). P/E Ratio (6.509) is within average values for comparable stocks, (17.147). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (2.366). Dividend Yield (0.016) settles around the average of (0.059) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.437) is also within normal values, averaging (2.927).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. OVLY’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.