OVLY Oak Valley Bancorp (CA) Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

OVLY's Stochastic Oscillator sits in oversold zone for 1 day

Be on the lookout for a price bounce soon.

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

Following a +0.91% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where OVLY advanced for three days, in 148 of 250 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 59%.

OVLY may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 138 of 222 cases where OVLY Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 62%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 23, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on OVLY as a result. In 56 of 109 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 51%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for OVLY turned negative on September 16, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 23 of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 48%.

OVLY moved below its 50-day moving average on September 30, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where OVLY declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 47%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 17 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 57, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 20 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 46 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. OVLY’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 46 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly weaker than average sales and a marginally profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 49 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.329) is normal, around the industry mean (1.321). P/E Ratio (12.152) is within average values for comparable stocks, (24.015). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.210) is also within normal values, averaging (1.186). Dividend Yield (0.022) settles around the average of (0.030) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.408) is also within normal values, averaging (3.747).

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 65 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.