OVLY Oak Valley Bancorp (CA) Forecast, Technical & Fundamental Analysis

OVLY in upward trend: price rose above 50-day moving average on November 30, 2023

OVLY moved above its 50-day moving average on November 30, 2023 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend. In of 64 similar past instances, the stock price increased further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 57 cases where OVLY's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on December 04, 2023. You may want to consider a long position or call options on OVLY as a result. In of 126 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for OVLY just turned positive on December 04, 2023. Looking at past instances where OVLY's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 51 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The 10-day moving average for OVLY crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on November 10, 2023. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where OVLY advanced for three days, in of 230 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 173 cases where OVLY Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where OVLY declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

OVLY broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 14, 2023. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 79, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. OVLY’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.583) is normal, around the industry mean (1.018). P/E Ratio (6.154) is within average values for comparable stocks, (17.469). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (2.350). Dividend Yield (0.012) settles around the average of (0.045) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.546) is also within normal values, averaging (2.587).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.