Paycom is a cloud-based human capital management provider offering payroll, compliance, and human resources management solutions... Show more
Paycom Software, Inc. is a cloud-based human capital management (HCM) provider that manages the entire employment lifecycle, from recruitment to retirement. Its platform covers payroll, talent acquisition, time and labor management, and HR administration on a single database. The company is best known for "Beti," its employee-driven payroll technology, and "IWant," an AI-powered engine that lets users retrieve data through natural language without navigating the software. Paycom competes with larger HCM vendors such as ADP (ADP) and Workday (WDAY), and investors follow the stock closely for its recurring-revenue model, high margins, and automation-driven efficiency gains.
Over the last 30 days, PAYC has risen about 16%, moving from a closing price of $226.24 on September 21, 2026 to a recent level around $262. The advance has been broad rather than tied to a single session, with the stock pushing higher through early-to-mid October as investor confidence in the company's profitability story built further.
The 30-day gain is part of a substantially larger move. Over the trailing three months, the stock has climbed roughly 80%, from a level near $144 in late July to its current range. That surge was led by an August rally following second-quarter earnings, and the stock has since consolidated and extended higher as analysts and institutional investors have embraced the company's margin expansion and capital-return strategy.
The recent 30-day advance has been supported by several verified developments. On September 21, KeyBanc raised its price target on Paycom to $280 from $270, maintaining an Overweight rating and citing confidence in the sustainability of the company's margin expansion and its accelerated pace of product innovation. Separately, TD Cowen published an upbeat outlook arguing that third-quarter results could exceed expectations and support higher growth and margin guidance, while flagging Paycom's November 4 earnings date as a key near-term catalyst. Analyst commentary around Paycom's valuation has also grown more positive, with several research notes highlighting stronger profitability trends and the impact of cost savings and share repurchases. The broader rally has been reinforced by enthusiasm for automation and AI-enabled HCM platforms, a theme that has drawn renewed investor attention to software names in recent months.
The larger three-month rally traces back to Paycom's second-quarter results, reported August 5, 2026. Revenue rose 9.8% year over year to $531.2 million, beating consensus estimates, while non-GAAP earnings of $2.78 per share topped expectations by a wide margin. Adjusted EBITDA margin expanded 320 basis points to 44.2%. Management raised full-year guidance, now projecting revenue of $2.197 billion to $2.212 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $1.007 billion to $1.022 billion, implying a record margin near 46% at the midpoint. The stock jumped sharply after the report.
Capital returns have been a defining feature of the quarter. Paycom repurchased roughly 20% of its shares outstanding in the first half of 2026, spending about $1.4 billion, and the board authorized a new $2 billion buyback program. Management framed the repurchases as opportunistic, citing a valuation disconnect. While the stock remains well below its 2021 peak, the combination of improving fundamentals, aggressive buybacks, and an expanding product footprint has driven the sustained advance.
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The most important near-term catalyst is Paycom's third-quarter earnings report on November 4, 2026, which will provide fresh data on new client wins, module attach rates, and margin trends. Investors will also be watching whether recently launched products, including Asset Management and Career and Succession Planning, begin to contribute more meaningfully to revenue. Macroeconomic factors such as interest rates and employment growth matter, since interest on client funds is part of Paycom's revenue and payroll volumes are tied to labor-market activity. Competitive pressure from bundled AI and automation offerings remains a key risk, as does the pace of client adoption of new modules. Finally, the company's continued use of share repurchases and any updates to full-year guidance will be closely monitored.
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The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for PAYC turned positive on October 09, 2026. Looking at past instances where PAYC's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 36 of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 07, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on PAYC as a result. In 52 of 80 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.
Following a +5.20% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PAYC advanced for three days, in 207 of 327 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.
The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 7 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 11 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PAYC declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 74%.
PAYC broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 20, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for PAYC entered a downward trend on October 08, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 1 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. PAYC’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 25 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 31 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 86 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (21.656) is normal, around the industry mean (-1.853). P/E Ratio (28.965) is within average values for comparable stocks, (15.200). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.167) is also within normal values, averaging (2.824). Dividend Yield (0.005) settles around the average of (0.075) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.549) is also within normal values, averaging (71.128).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. PAYC’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock worse than average.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
a provider of cloud-based human capital management software solutions
Industry PackagedSoftware