Palladyne AI Corp is a software company focused on autonomy for robotic systems and solutions... Show more
Palladyne AI Corp. is carving a niche in the embodied AI robotics sector, delivering software platforms like Palladyne IQ for industrial robots and cobots (collaborative robots), Palladyne Pilot for UAVs (unmanned aerial vehicles), and SwarmOS for multi-platform autonomy. Its edge-based AI/ML (artificial intelligence/machine learning) enables real-time reasoning and adaptation in unstructured environments without cloud latency, reducing programming needs dramatically.
The company's vertical integration—spanning software, avionics like BRAIN X2, and U.S.-manufactured hardware—strengthens its defense positioning amid supply chain concerns. Recent patents in swarming path planning bolster IP moats. While market share remains nascent, a pivot to defense from industrial applications aligns with high-margin software recurring revenue potential, differentiating it from hardware-centric rivals.
Investors eye Palladyne AI's Q1 2026 earnings, estimated for May 6, with consensus EPS at -$0.16 and revenue near $4.93 million—early indicators of guidance progress. Participation in Northern Strike 26-2, a key Department of War exercise, will demo SwarmOS with multi-OEM UAVs, potentially unlocking partnerships.
Defense milestones include U.S. Navy near-hypersonic missile development and propulsion subsystems for primes, with $1 million+ 2026 revenue tied to deliveries like July's missile components. Analyst sentiment remains bullish, with Lake Street's recent Buy initiation at $11 and consensus targets averaging $10.75 (high $14), reflecting optimism on backlog conversion. These could shift sentiment if demos yield follow-on contracts.
The AI robotics market, particularly defense autonomy, benefits from escalating geopolitical tensions driving U.S. spending via NDAA increases. Global defense robotics is poised for expansion, with autonomous platforms projected to grow significantly by decade's end.
Higher interest rates may pressure industrial capex but less so for budgeted defense outlays. Edge AI adoption accelerates amid data sovereignty and latency demands, favoring Palladyne's model. Regulatory pushes for U.S. manufacturing mitigate China risks, while commodity fluctuations impact hardware costs minimally for software-heavy plays.
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Palladyne AI targets $24-27 million in 2026 revenue per guidance, aligning closely with analyst estimates of $25.08 million, followed by $40.72 million in 2027. Structural drivers include defense market expansion via contracts and exercises, cost efficiencies from vertical integration, and scalable software margins as adoption grows.
Longer-term, watch technology transitions to advanced swarming and poly-functional robotics, competitive threats from Big Tech entrants, and regulatory tailwinds for domestic AI. Capital allocation prioritizes R&D and backlog execution, with consensus expectations supporting sentiment if milestones hit. Geopolitical dynamics and NDAA budgets will shape trajectory.
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Industry ComputerCommunications
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A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PDYN has been loosely correlated with ARQQ. These tickers have moved in lockstep 47% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if PDYN jumps, then ARQQ could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To PDYN | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PDYN | 100% | -0.17% | ||
| ARQQ - PDYN | 47% Loosely correlated | -11.20% | ||
| ZENA - PDYN | 46% Loosely correlated | +11.43% | ||
| AEVA - PDYN | 46% Loosely correlated | +3.67% | ||
| BKKT - PDYN | 46% Loosely correlated | +7.79% | ||
| AISP - PDYN | 44% Loosely correlated | -10.85% | ||
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| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To PDYN | 1D Price Change % |
|---|---|---|
| PDYN | 100% | -0.17% |
| Computer Communications industry (166 stocks) | 7% Poorly correlated | +3.70% |
PDYN saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on June 08, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 52 instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 52 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at .
The 10-day RSI Indicator for PDYN moved out of overbought territory on June 03, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 27 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 27 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on June 09, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on PDYN as a result. In of 85 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
PDYN moved below its 50-day moving average on June 23, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for PDYN crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on June 18, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PDYN declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
PDYN broke above its upper Bollinger Band on May 26, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
Following a +1 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PDYN advanced for three days, in of 219 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 140 cases where PDYN Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.575) is normal, around the industry mean (16.756). P/E Ratio (27.188) is within average values for comparable stocks, (65.613). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (1.733). PDYN has a moderately low Dividend Yield (0.000) as compared to the industry average of (0.023). P/S Ratio (41.322) is also within normal values, averaging (143.034).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. PDYN’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. PDYN’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 93, placing this stock worse than average.